2012: A Monster Year? (box office predictions)

[Liam_H]

If you're talking about domestic that's probably true. But WW The Hobbit will clean up.

 

[jmc]

Early worldwide predictions:

WWG

1. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey 1,25 b
2. The Dark Knight Rises 1 b
3. The Amazing Spider-Man 800
4. The Avengers 700
5. Snow White and the Huntsman 600
6. John Carter 500

600 for Snow White? Seriously?

 

[echostation]

avengers will make more than spider-man

 

[Hush]

What about this weekend aye? Pretty suprising early numbers for a notoriously TV driven weekend.

 

[Selim844]

600 for Snow White? Seriously?

Yup. I think it will be a surprise hit, at least around the world. I don't think nobody expected Alice to do a billion, so you never know.

 

[Geralt of Rivia]

I doubt TDKR will reach 1 billion. The hype surrounding Heath Ledger's death and his performance really helped push TDK over the 1 billion line imo. And I think the GA is slightly fed up with Batman and CBM movies in general. Not that CBM wont make big cash anymore I just don't see them making TDK or Rami's Spider-Man numbers. I think TDKR will bring in around 700, Avengers 600 and TASM 400-500. Yep, I said it. I don't think TASM will go down all too well with GA. The road they are going in is not how most perceive Spider-Man and it's too soon for a reboot after Rami's Spidey flicks, imo of course.

 

[Hush]

I doubt TDKR will reach 1 billion. The hype surrounding Heath Ledger's death and his performance really helped push TDK over the 1 billion line imo. And I think the GA is slightly fed up with Batman and CBM movies in general. Not that CBM wont make big cash anymore I just don't see them making TDK or Rami's Spider-Man numbers. I think TDKR will bring in around 700, Avengers 600 and TASM 400-500. Yep, I said it. I don't think TASM will go down all too well with GA. The road they are going in is not how most perceive Spider-Man and it's too soon for a reboot after Rami's Spidey flicks, imo of course.

If the GA is tired of CBM's then why did Thor, Captain America and X-Men: First Class do so well?

Also Ledger may have had a lot to do with TDK's success but Nolans name carries weight and the supporting cast in this movie (TDKR) has some names that people go to theaters for in Hathaway, Levitt along with the remaining original cast. People like Batman, hell a parody of the trailer mixed with Lion King has unusually high hits for a Fan made trailer and your gonna tell me only nerds watched that? This film will be bigger than people think.

 

[chaseter]

avengers will make more than spider-man

Domestic yes, easily. Overseas...idk.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

Spider-man is the most popular superhero worldwide.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

I doubt TDKR will reach 1 billion. The hype surrounding Heath Ledger's death and his performance really helped push TDK over the 1 billion line imo. And I think the GA is slightly fed up with Batman and CBM movies in general. Not that CBM wont make big cash anymore I just don't see them making TDK or Rami's Spider-Man numbers. I think TDKR will bring in around 700, Avengers 600 and TASM 400-500. Yep, I said it. I don't think TASM will go down all too well with GA. The road they are going in is not how most perceive Spider-Man and it's too soon for a reboot after Rami's Spidey flicks, imo of course.

You do realize that Chris Nolan is a brand name, right? And that TDKR has been labeled as the most anticipated film of the decade (along with The Hobbit) by majority of media outlets and critics?

If this film doesn't make over 850 million, I'll be shocked. Personally, I don't care if it makes less than what is predicted to accumulate but with all the attention this film is getting (especially after the prologue and trailer), I say this film is destined to be EPIC.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

Spider-man is the most popular superhero worldwide.

Yep, with Superman being the most recognizable.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

Yeah.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

Yeah.

Too bad though that Superman will never make Spiderman money. People can say what they want about TAS, but in the end, Webb's Spidey will probably outgross majority of the films this year.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

I wouldn't ever say never. People probably thought the same way about Batman in 2002.

 

[Liam_H]

What about Batman in 2002?

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

When Spider-man was released, and Batman was still healing from B&R.

 

[Project862006]

i think avengers might do better than TDKR imo avengers offers something new TDKR does'nt seem like soemthing new or ground breaking it sounds like a fairly simple story

me personally am more pumped for avengers and i feel avengers has a better trailer

 

[DoomsdayApex]

I wouldn't ever say never. People probably thought the same way about Batman in 2002.

True, it'll be interesting to see what MoS will bring to the table in 2013 -- good move by WB to push back the movie, by the way.

I see MoS making Returns money however.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

i think avengers might do better than TDKR imo avengers offers something new TDKR does'nt seem like soemthing new or ground breaking it sounds like a fairly simple story

me personally am more pumped for avengers and i feel avengers has a better trailer

Eh, I severely doubt that. TDKR is riding off the steam from TDK (one of the most successful sequels of all time).

As for the ground-breaking aspect, both don't offer anything ground-breaking, but at the same time they do.

 

[Project862006]

well returns made near 400 million WW so is that really that bad

 

[Project862006]

Eh, I severely doubt that. TDKR is riding off the steam from TDK (one of the most successful sequels of all time).

As for the ground-breaking aspect, both don't offer anything ground-breaking, but at the same time they do.

i am looking forward to TDKR because i know it will be good because of nolan and the great actors but the trailer gave me a meh feeling

it likely will be a better film but i am just going off trailers and my personal hype

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

True, it'll be interesting to see what MoS will bring to the table in 2013 -- good move by WB to push back the movie, by the way.

I see MoS making Returns money however.

I said Superman could make Spider-man money. I never said the Superman movie that would that would be MoS.

 

[Darthkush]

Why hasn't anybody mentioned Pixar's Brave? I'm kind of shocked nobody has. It's Pixar, it's a non-sequel and it doesn't have the stench of Cars(which it's sequel still made close to 200 million domestically, even though it's the least liked pixar franchise...by people over the age of 8 anyway.).

I see the year shaking out like this...

1. The Hobbit
2. Dark Knight Rises
3. Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn pt. 2(only because it's the finale, otherwise it'd be lower).
4. The Avengers
5. Brave
6. Amazing Spider-man
7. Men in Black III
8. Battleship
9. G.I. Joe Retaliation
10. Prometheus

Hunger Games is not gonna be huge. There's too much of an overestimation going on with the media. It maybe decent but i feel like the marketing is trying too hard to make it twilight and it just isn't. John Carter will flop as it's marketing is horrible and Taylor Kitsch is not a convincing lead. It might be a good movie, but i won't matter cause most people won't go. Prometheus is only hotly anticipated by us internet folks. Do you think regular people are hyped about an Alien Prequel just because Ridley Scott is directing it? If anything, i'm betting that would be a turn off for them as they're seemingly tired of all alien or predator stuff. I'm sure it'll be good, but i don't see regular people dying to see it. GI joe could flop or underwhelm but i see it making about what the first film made. Avengers is still just another marvel superhero flick so it has a definite ceiling. It'll probably perform like the first Iron Man at best. Spider-man and MIB III are up in the air right now but name brand recognition should help them both do at least 150 million and likely more. Brave will quietly make 200 million, possibly more. Battleship has buzz and should do an easy 120-150 million. Dark Knight rises and Hobbit is a tossup domestically. Batman will have a bigger opening but Hobbit will do better worldwide and who becomes the top domestic grosser is too hard to call.

 

[Darthkush]

Why hasn't anybody mentioned Pixar's Brave? I'm kind of shocked nobody has. It's Pixar, it's a non-sequel and it doesn't have the stench of Cars(which it's sequel still made close to 200 million domestically, even though it's the least liked pixar franchise...by people over the age of 8 anyway.).

I see the year shaking out like this...

1. The Hobbit
2. Dark Knight Rises
3. Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn pt. 2(only because it's the finale, otherwise it'd be lower).
4. The Avengers
5. Brave
6. Amazing Spider-man
7. Men in Black III
8. Battleship
9. G.I. Joe Retaliation
10. Prometheus

Hunger Games is not gonna be huge. There's too much of an overestimation going on with the media. It maybe decent but i feel like the marketing is trying too hard to make it twilight and it just isn't. John Carter will flop as it's marketing is horrible and Taylor Kitsch is not a convincing lead. It might be a good movie, but i won't matter cause most people won't go. Prometheus is only hotly anticipated by us internet folks. Do you think regular people are hyped about an Alien Prequel just because Ridley Scott is directing it? If anything, i'm betting that would be a turn off for them as they're seemingly tired of all alien or predator stuff. I'm sure it'll be good, but i don't see regular people dying to see it. GI joe could flop or underwhelm but i see it making about what the first film made. Avengers is still just another marvel superhero flick so it has a definite ceiling. It'll probably perform like the first Iron Man at best. Spider-man and MIB III are up in the air right now but name brand recognition should help them both do at least 150 million and likely more. Brave will quietly make 200 million, possibly more. Battleship has buzz and should do an easy 120-150 million. Dark Knight rises and Hobbit is a tossup domestically. Batman will have a bigger opening but Hobbit will do better worldwide and who becomes the top domestic grosser is too hard to call.

oh, i forgot to mention. Depending on the marketing, Expendables II could sneak in there and knock out my number 9 and 10 if they underperform or it overperforms. A lot could happen.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

Why hasn't anybody mentioned Pixar's Brave? I'm kind of shocked nobody has. It's Pixar, it's a non-sequel and it doesn't have the stench of Cars(which it's sequel still made close to 200 million domestically, even though it's the least liked pixar franchise...by people over the age of 8 anyway.).

I love Pixar but I'm not that excited for Brave. Not because of Cars 2, and not because I think it won't be good, but there are many other movies I'm anticipating more.