2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions) - Part 1

Discussion in 'Misc. Films' started by Thread Manager, Jul 19, 2013.

  1. Thread Manager

    Thread Manager Moderator

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    This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]450073[/split]
     
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  2. Marvin

    Marvin Well-Known Member

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    Sorry for the lame title, clearly not my game. Seeing as how this is the follow up to the supposed monster year, I found that title fitting.

    Figure I'd start this now. Predictions later, once we get a good feel for the line up, but no need for discussions to wait.

    This has to be the Rocks year, he has 4 pretty significant films dropping in 4 back to back months and if even 3 of them are solid, he will be cemented as the modern 80's action star re incarnate.

    Snitch in Feb
    GI Joe in March
    Pain & Gain(and Bay) in April
    Fast 6 in May
    ...and hercules the year after.

    High hopes for him. However if they all flop, sheesh.
     
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  3. Blackman

    Blackman C'mon Son

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    Personally I was disappointed by all the summer movies I've seen. Not that they were necessarily bad movies.
     
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  4. onyxrose81

    onyxrose81 Well-Known Member

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    Some big films have been released but they've all been mediocre.
     
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  5. MrMaooz

    MrMaooz Well-Known Member

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    I haven't been dissapointed at all.
     
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  6. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    I thought this summer was way better than last year. Only movie I flat out disliked that I have seen was Pacific Rim. I'd take almost all of the films I've seen over Avenger's and TDKR. I know that's a minority opinion but I don't care how popular my opinions are.
     
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  7. MrMaooz

    MrMaooz Well-Known Member

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    Tell you the truth though, Star Trek and MOS pretty much made my Summer. I thought both were fantastic.
     
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  8. Mace Dolex

    Mace Dolex Powerful User

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    The thing with The Rock is that he needs a star vehicle to build a franchise to really get into the action groove of old veterans like Stallone with Rambo/Rocky and Schwarzenegger with Terminator.

    Dwayne Johnson is a likable and charismatic guy but this new Hercules thing ain't gonna pan out unless of course it's Marvel's verson of Herc introduced in The Avengers films.
     
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  9. BestGirl

    BestGirl Chillin' on Dragonstone

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    That's how I feel. So many of this years's summer movies have been so vanilla. MOS has been my favorite blockbuster but I'm not sure I would've cared for it had I not been a Superman fan.

    ETA: The Great Gatsby has been my favorite summer movie overall but I can see how it would polarize the audience.
     
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  10. jmc

    jmc away for a while

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    It's not going to surprise me if within the next few years there's going to be fewer and fewer big budgeted movies being released. We're at the absurd level where every film over a 3-4 month period is trying to present itself as an event movie, many of which struggle to break even let alone make a profit, especially when you hear things like Harry Potter 6 didn't even break even in spite of making a crap load of cash. That is a concern because it means studios are over relying on additional forms of revenue to earn money back on the film, and there's only so many franchises that will ever be capable of doing that like Star Wars.
     
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  11. DarthSkywalker

    DarthSkywalker May the Force Be With You

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    That was Harry Potter 5, and it made plenty of money. Adding the expenses of other films to its bill in an attempt to avoid paying bonuses doesn't change that.

    Every HP was incredibly profitable before ever leaving the theater.
     
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  12. :eek:

    :eek: Well-Known Member

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    Funny thing though it's been a strong summer domestically from a box office perspective. There was a time before the summer season began when 2013 was around $300 million behind 2012. That gap has, as of July 18, narrowed to just $70 million.
     
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  13. mclay18

    mclay18 Well-Known Member

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    It's too bad July 2013 will lag behind last year's July earnings. Pacific Rim just didn't turn into that massive hit WB was hoping for. While The Conjuring will be a moneymaker, thanks to it costing a fraction of PC's production budget, I don't think it'll be a big juggernaut.

    Maybe it's time WB should rethink their summer blockbuster playbook, since Alan Horn and Jeff Robinov were ousted.
     
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  14. :eek:

    :eek: Well-Known Member

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    Top 20 worldwide

    1. Iron Man 3 $1211,7 million
    2. Fast & Furious 6 $712,6 million
    3. Man of Steel $635,3 million
    4. Despicable Me 2 $587,9 million
    5. The Croods $582,3 million
    6. Monsters University $533,8 million
    7. Oz The Great and Powerful $491,9 million
    8. World War Z $457,2 million
    9. Star Trek Into Darkness $448,7 million
    10. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $371,9 million
    11. The Hangover Part III $350,7 million
    12. The Great Gatsby $329,9 million
    13. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
    14. Oblivion $285,6 million
    15. Epic $241,2 million
    16. After Earth $235,7 million
    17. Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters $225,7 million
    18. Journey to the West: Conquering the Demons $207,9 million
    19. Lost in Thailand $205,4 million
    20. Now You See Me $200,5 million
     
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  15. Bruce Malone

    Bruce Malone Well-Known Member

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    Crazy how big the Fast and Furious franchise has become the last few years.
     
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  16. hammerhedd11

    hammerhedd11 OHaiMark

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    As much as it's an undeniable hit, I wonder if the Fast and Furious films have hit a certain ceiling, domestically at least, in terms of how much they can earn. Domestically, Fast and Furious Six only made about $30 million more than Fast Five. Maybe this is the fault of my own expectations, but with the near unanimous praise for Fast Five, seemingly bringing in a larger audience, and with an almost equal level of love for Six, I was predicting a significant bump, upwards of the $300 mil mark. Internationally, the sequel also added an additional $60 mil from Five, nothing to scoff at, but with the mammoth amount of growth for sequels nowadays in both domestic and international terms, I can't help but wonder if this series has reached its maximum potential.
     
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  17. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    Who cares if it has hit a ceiling or not? 700 plus million dollars is huge. Also the movie went directly up against The Hangover 3 which had to hurt it's overall gross. The problem now or days is entertainment watchers (and some studios) expect every movie to hit 1 bil and act like it's a disappointment when it doesn't. It's ridiculous. If a movie has to hit 1 bil to be successful too much was spent on the film.
     
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  18. hammerhedd11

    hammerhedd11 OHaiMark

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    "As much as it's an undeniable hit"

    This was literally my first sentence. I never mentioned that not hitting a billion was a disappointment, nor did I call it a failure. I am just curious about a film's particular audience and whether or not certain films can continue to grow, or whether or not they stay within a certain range time and time again (like the Twilight and Harry Potter series, mostly staying within a very close range film to film). Discussing such an idea is not as appointing failure.

    Who cares if it has hit a ceiling or not?
    Anyone that cares to discuss box office, I guess. I don't know why, especially in a thread dedicated to people like me who are very interested in how films perform, that you seem to take so personally some harmless speculation.
     
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  19. redhawk23

    redhawk23 Wrestlin'

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    I really wonder if they'll move Jupiter Ascending out of its July slot. I really don't see it doing any better than Pacific Rim.
     
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  20. :eek:

    :eek: Well-Known Member

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    DESPICABLE ME 2: DESPICABLE IN CHINA?

    July 24, 2013
    Without explanation, China has refused to allow Universal’s animated Despicable Me 2 to be included among the 34 foreign films that the country allows to be screened in its theaters each year. Chinese authorities had previously barred World War Z and The Lone Ranger. China has become the second-largest market for films (behind the U.S.), and even though studios collect only about 25 percent of ticket sales in that country, each movie shown there has the potential of bringing tens of millions of dollars into the studios’ coffers. Universal had no immediate comment on the Chinese decision, but it could not have been entirely unexpected; the original Despicable Me did not get a release in China, either.
     
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  21. Octoberist

    Octoberist point blank

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    Well..that's random of them.
     
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  22. Octoberist

    Octoberist point blank

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    I'm with you. Not that any of the movies are bad, nothing really resonated with me. Nor was there a movie that broke out and captured the public's attention like what Avatar, The Dark Knight, or the Avengers did. So far, most of the movies came and went. Came and went. Came and went. Nothing felt like an event, even with Iron Man 3 or Pac Rim.

    However, I think the true gem of the summer are the smaller films. Mud and This is the End for example.
     
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  23. :eek:

    :eek: Well-Known Member

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    ANALYSIS: 'Fast & Furious' Poised For Strong Run In China

    on July 24, 2013

    If Fast & Furious 6's theatrical run were to end today, its $712.8 million global haul would still be viewed as a massive success.
    But Fast & Furious 6's run is not over yet. Far from it. Universal's juggernaut will open in China, the world's second-largest theatrical market, on July 26. This release will be particularly important for Universal following the confusing rejection of Despicable Me 2 by government officials in China.
    Sources tell BoxOffice that Fast & Furious 6 could end up with $70 million in China even though rampant piracy--a problem that also hurt such blockbusters as Inception and Skyfall--is likely to hinder the film slightly. A $70 million haul in China would help Fast & Furious 6 hit $800 million globally, and it would also mark a sizable improvement over 2011's Fast Five's $40.5 million haul in the Middle Kingdom.
    A wild card for Fast & Furious 6 comes in the form of co-star Dwayne Johnson. Johnson has quite the following in China. 2012's Journey 2: The Mysterious Island roped in a healthy $59 million there, while earlier this year G.I. Joe: Retaliation posted a strong $54 million take.
    The global growth from Fast Five to Fast & Furious 6 is staggering. Fast Five revived the property by taking in $628.6 million, and now Fast 6 is running 14.2 percent ahead of it. Universal may not have a superhero franchise like Warner Bros. or Disney, but they've effectively turned the Fast and Furious films into something just as strong. The question now is whether or not Fast 7 can join the club of films that have grossed $1 billion worldwide. We certainly aren't ruling that out.
     
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  24. MrMaooz

    MrMaooz Well-Known Member

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    Forecast: 'Wolverine' To Go Berserk On Box Office This Weekend


    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3705&p=.htm
     
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  25. Heretic

    Heretic Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, those Wolverine forecasts were off. The predictions were sharply lowered early Saturday...I've heard it could be as low as 53 million (that's near the low end of estimates) making it the worst debut in franchise history.
     
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