Ant-Man and The Wasp Ant-Man and the Wasp - Box Office Discussion

[Stark Bauer]

AMATW is guaranteed to beat Thor 2 now...which is Spectacular and which I totally unexpected...looking to finish with $220-230 M domestically.

 

[ultradog]

AMATW is guaranteed to beat Thor 2 now...which is Spectacular and which I totally unexpected...looking to finish with $220-230 M domestically.

I could see it catching X2($215M), it should be about $5M behind it after Thursday. But I don't see how it could surpass $220M by much at all. It'll be $16M+ behind Logan($226M) on Thursday.

 

[NHawk19]

2018 is a MASSIVE year for superhero movies .

5
This is sort of a weird spread right now. Last year the 500 Mill range took 17th place, 2016 it was 14th, 2015 it was 11th, 2014 it was 13th.

To date it looks like 500 million is top 10. Granted there's still a lot to come, and a few that will probably get over 600 or more, I really thought AMatW would be top 10 WW but doesn't look like it will be at the moment.

 

[rayc1971]

5
This is sort of a weird spread right now. Last year the 500 Mill range took 17th place, 2016 it was 14th, 2015 it was 11th, 2014 it was 13th.

To date it looks like 500 million is top 10. Granted there's still a lot to come, and a few that will probably get over 600 or more, I really thought AMatW would be top 10 WW but doesn't look like it will be at the moment.

you still got venom-aquaman-bumblebee-fantastic beast-that could all do 600mill and up left

 

[Stark Bauer]

I could see it catching X2($215M), it should be about $5M behind it after Thursday. But I don't see how it could surpass $220M by much at all. It'll be $16M+ behind Logan($226M) on Thursday.

True, I will change my prediction to $215-230 million

 

[Donald Thomas]

Aloha,
as of Aug 1, 2018

Domestic: $188,053,779 47.0%
+ Foreign: $212,242,879 53.0%
= Worldwide: $400,296,658

Spidey rules
Long Live the King of Wakanda

 

[Iceman]

you still got venom-aquaman-bumblebee-fantastic beast-that could all do 600mill and up left

Yep, Poppins too.

 

[Creo]

you still got venom-aquaman-bumblebee-fantastic beast-that could all do 600mill and up left

I think they're all going to canabalize each other. I honestly don't know that any of them are going to do super well due to their release schedules.

 

[rayc1971]

I think they're all going to canabalize each other. I honestly don't know that any of them are going to do super well due to their release schedules.

yeah one of those films need to move to thanksgiving weekend aquaman bumblebee and alita battle angel all open dec 21st

 

[seriesofdreams]

I think they're all going to canabalize each other. I honestly don't know that any of them are going to do super well due to their release schedules.

Venom should be relatively fine unless it outright gets panned and bombs at the BO. But, that's in October.

The Thanksgiving through Christmas logjam is going to be rough. Bumblebee-Battle Angel-Aquaman on the same weekend with Mary Poppins 2 days beforehand? Not to mention all of the awards season flicks.


Caught a matinee of AMATW this past Sunday, I'm really hoping the movie has enough in it through August to hit $215 DOM and take over 'Solo'. It would be satisfying for some reason.

 

[Zyraquis]

600m would be amazing for Aquaman given how disenchanted people were last time around with other big names in it. This needs to be a very special movie with great word of mouth to pull off 600m with also other holiday competitions. It is possible but won’t be easy.

Bumblebee has a built it (yet eroding) base already and one other word — China, so I can see it do 600m. Mary Poppins I can see mainly a US draw, was it even a big thing in the UK back in the day? It is unlikely to be a big draw anywhere in Asia.

If Antman 2 can make 600m there is a slight chance to be top 10 in the world barring any unexpected smash hit. Not too shoddy.

 

[8ulk87]

To date it looks like 500 million is top 10. Granted there's still a lot to come, and a few that will probably get over 600 or more, I really thought AMatW would be top 10 WW but doesn't look like it will be at the moment.

Actually i think you re wrong.

Although AntMan2 wont pass Deapool 2 which sits at n5 with 732,5 mil WW it will DEFINATELY pass Ready Player One which sits at n6 with 582 mil WW.

I honestly dont see how 5 more movies can bet 600 mil WW by the end of the year.

Which movies have the potential to do so ? Not many.

AntMan2 will finish at number 9 or 10.

-Currently Mission 6 has potential to beat AntMan2 and probably will succeed with a gross of 600-700 mil. So thats one.

-August has no movies with potential to beat 600 mil WW neither does September , The Predator is tracking really low.

-October has Venom which isnt a guaranteed hit. 400-500 mil WW will be great for that movie and honestly i think thats the realistic target.

-November only has Fantastic Beasts 2 with potential for 600+ mil WW. So thats a possible second movie for the top 10.

-December is the only month with 2 or more potential contenders none of which is a guaranteed hit.

Bumblebee comes of the "disaster" that was Transformers 5.
Aquaman comes of the "disaster" that was Justice League.
And Mortal Engines is an unknown property which can easily bomb.

So yeah, it doesnt look that bad for AntMan2.

 

[Web-Head]

Seeing it again tomorrow for my birthday

 

[SomeOldGuy]

$1.2 million Thursday puts it at $189.3 million headed into the weekend. Ought to be 194-195 after Sunday. Should hit the 200 mark next Friday or Saturday.

 

[Iceman]

Yep, looking forward to $200m.

 

[eon001]

It's not going to make a billion, but it will make a tidy profit. Funny hearing some people panicking about the box office. Some people are going as far as saying there wont be a 3rd movie.

Marvel's strategy has always been to stay the course and improve on the last film. They don't abandon franchise's if they don't break records. Remember Captain America the first Avenger made less than 400 million world wide.

 

[iEquinox]

It passed Thor: The Dark World at the same point in its release on Thursday(Day 28).

A lead it should hold forever.

 

[Flint Marko]

Remember Captain America the first Avenger made less than 400 million world wide.

That's pretty nuts to think about at this point. Still one of my favorite superhero movies.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

That's pretty nuts to think about at this point. Still one of my favorite superhero movies.

A big part of that was Paramount had no idea how to market the film. Plus, the MCU hadn't quite hit its stride yet. I think once Avengers hit big and then Disney took over is when the MCU was able to start releasing somewhat unknown solo hero films and average $550 million as a baseline. Most studios would kill for that kind of starting point.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

ANT-MAN AND THE WASP
$1.804M Friday Estimate
$191.1M Domestic Total

Deadline projecting a bit over 6 for the weekend right now, which would be another really good hold.

 

[legendkillin]

A big part of that was Paramount had no idea how to market the film. Plus, the MCU hadn't quite hit its stride yet. I think once Avengers hit big and then Disney took over is when the MCU was able to start releasing somewhat unknown solo hero films and average $550 million as a baseline. Most studios would kill for that kind of starting point.

It also didn't have any real stars to pull people in.
Iron Man had RDJ
Hulk had Edward Norton he has his following
Thor had Portman and Hopkins
Evans was known as Human Torch and doing a few other movies(Not Another Teen Movie and Scott Pilgrim). He was always enjoyable but not a draw.

 

[legendkillin]

Never found a chance to see it for my third time. Movie pass started acting stupid so that didn't help either.

 

[Web-Head]

Saw it again today and there was still about 15 people in there and it's been out a month... Pretty good.

 

[Stark Bauer]

Actually i think you re wrong.

Although AntMan2 wont pass Deapool 2 which sits at n5 with 732,5 mil WW it will DEFINATELY pass Ready Player One which sits at n6 with 582 mil WW.

I honestly dont see how 5 more movies can bet 600 mil WW by the end of the year.

Which movies have the potential to do so ? Not many.

AntMan2 will finish at number 9 or 10.

-Currently Mission 6 has potential to beat AntMan2 and probably will succeed with a gross of 600-700 mil. So thats one.

-August has no movies with potential to beat 600 mil WW neither does September , The Predator is tracking really low.

-October has Venom which isnt a guaranteed hit. 400-500 mil WW will be great for that movie and honestly i think thats the realistic target.

-November only has Fantastic Beasts 2 with potential for 600+ mil WW. So thats a possible second movie for the top 10.

-December is the only month with 2 or more potential contenders none of which is a guaranteed hit.

Bumblebee comes of the "disaster" that was Transformers 5.
Aquaman comes of the "disaster" that was Justice League.
And Mortal Engines is an unknown property which can easily bomb.

So yeah, it doesnt look that bad for AntMan2.

I think you are greatly underestimating Venom, Creed 2, Spider Man Into The Spiderverse, and Bumblebee (by the people behind Kubo and the two strings).

 

[SomeOldGuy]

@ERCboxoffice
ANT-MAN AND THE WASP carried off another $17M worldwide this weekend, $426M total.

Dom/OS breakdown:

Domestic: $195,469,435 45.9%
+ Foreign: $230,800,000 54.1%
= Worldwide: $426,269,435