Box office*

[BoredGuy]

Hopefully this makes bank in the few weeks before Lilo & Stitch and Mission Impossible come out cuz they make take the wind out of Thunderbolts sails

But who knows I guess, the last MI didn't do that great, and most of the live action Disney movies have been a let down too

This looks like a pretty packed summer though. Kinda wish Thunderbolts had a Fall release or something

 

[Sithborg]

It is going to need some good WOM, because I think Final Destination is in prime position to break out.

 

[psylockolussus]

This has more competition than Brave New World, though daily tallies could be much higher because its the summer season?

Anyway, I only want this to do well so it would benefit Fantastic 4 in July*

 

[psylockolussus]

Marvel’s Thunderbolts* Is Bombing in China, Box Office Numbers Revealed - Comic Book Movies and Superhero Movie News - SuperHeroHype

Marvel Studios' Thunderbolts* movie is bombing at the box office in China, marking the worst MCU movie launch in 14 years.

www.superherohype.com

Brave New World's biggest international markets were
UK $22 million
Mexico $16 million
France/China $14 million
South Korea $11 million
Brazil $10 million
Germany $9 million
Australia $8 million

 

[sdgrandia86]

Got tickets for tomorrow opening day and Sunday with my brother. Word of mouth seems to be positive and people seem to be excited. Hoping box office and ticket sales show that so that we can get more movies based around obscure characters. Legit excited for this.

 

[RiXi]

It's already out here. I'll probably go watch it in a couple hours.

 

[DarkKnight88]

I have a feeling it may end up under its current projections. 60-65 domestically. Even with the good reviews, there just doesn't seem to be the hype for it. I mean, look how dead it is in here a few days before it opens. The trailers/previews didn't help.

And with Sinners literally killing it, who knows if it may retake the #1 position in Thunderbolt's second weekend.

 

[lenz]

Got tickets for tomorrow opening day and Sunday with my brother. Word of mouth seems to be positive and people seem to be excited. Hoping box office and ticket sales show that so that we can get more movies based around obscure characters. Legit excited for this.

If the good reviews hold up and the box office is solid for this, I would expect 400 m or so, maybe slightly higher. I think overall goodwill gets this a sequel considering all the theatrical misses recently. Goodwill you can build on. This will certainly be the lowest grossing cbm this summer, but it may end up being the best and very likely the least controversial. When the dust settles in the fall, it may be in a much better position than we see it now.

 

[Chris B]

I have a feeling it may end up under its current projections. 60-65 domestically. Even with the good reviews, there just doesn't seem to be the hype for it. I mean, look how dead it is in here a few days before it opens. The trailers/previews didn't help.

And with Sinners literally killing it, who knows if it may retake the #1 position in Thunderbolt's second weekend.

I'll be surprised if it doesn't meet its current projections. We'll just need to see if the good reviews carries over to audiences beyond that.

 

[psylockolussus]

I have a feeling it may end up under its current projections. 60-65 domestically. Even with the good reviews, there just doesn't seem to be the hype for it. I mean, look how dead it is in here a few days before it opens. The trailers/previews didn't help.

And with Sinners literally killing it, who knows if it may retake the #1 position in Thunderbolt's second weekend.

The hype is quite nonexistent. It what happens when they built a movie over characters that weren't interesting enough to sell a movie.

$180 million is a big budget. I was expecting lower than that.

 

[Sithborg]

Marvel Studios’ ‘Thunderbolts*’ Striking $11M Thursday Night – Box Office

Disney/Marvel Studios' 'Thunderbolts*' is off to a good start with $11M in Thursday night previews.

deadline.com

Solid start. I think with the good reviews, it should be able to hit projections. The MCU isn't review proof anymore. But that means good reviews can help.

 

[Zyraquis]

At best it can achieve theatrical break even (450m on 180m budget) which means it can eke out an overall small profit (best can scenario so far). Big budget films are quite risky these days as people are less ready to make a trip to cinema as before but I don't know how can Marvel shrink to below $150m budgets everything is so expensive now and it's not getting any cheaper.

 

[lenz]

At best it can achieve theatrical break even (450m on 180m budget) which means it can eke out an overall small profit (best can scenario so far). Big budget films are quite risky these days as people are less ready to make a trip to cinema as before but I don't know how can Marvel shrink to below $150m budgets everything is so expensive now and it's not getting any cheaper.

This post is right on point. People need to remember that back in 2008-2011, the cost value of these films could be stretched out much more than they can today. Basically 180m for a budget now is like paying around 100-110m back in the MCU's inception.
,
The argument can be that it's possible to pay under 100m today for an MCU production with great action and spectacle, which is true. Look at things like John Wick, for example. That would ultimately require focusing on doing production very differently and focusing more on characters that can shine with lower budgets (street-level). Hiring experienced directors would help, assuming they'd be interested.

Mileage will vary.

 

[mace1]

THUNDERBOLTS* (2025)
Cinemascore
A-

Home - Cinemascore

[...]Read More...

www.cinemascore.com

 

[psylockolussus]

$32 million opening day, North America*

 

[legendkillin]

I am not sure good reviews are going to help it much. The movie was good and very enjoyable, but it didn't have any of the sound or effects that would make some people think it is must see in theater. I expect it to get big streaming numbers when it is out on plus. It doesn't give the even feel of D&W either because these characters are viewed as cast offs that weren't popular in previous shows/movies. I don't think it gets the big BO but people will watch at home, these characters are not going anywhere for 3-5 years.
If F4 credit scene picks up where this left off that will also make more people watch. Casuals are more excited for F4.

 

[psylockolussus]

$32 million opening day, North America*

$31.5 million according to Box Office Mojo

 

[psylockolussus]

‘Thunderbolts*’ Rolls To $162M+ Global Opening; ‘Minecraft’ Nears $900M WW & ‘Sinners’ Has Another Saintly Hold – International Box Office

Marvel/Disney’s Thunderbolts* opened to $162.1 million at the global box office

deadline.com

‘Thunderbolts*’ Now Aiming For $73M-$77M, ‘Sinners’ Full Of Grace With $33M+, ‘Rust’ Not Good – Saturday Box Office Update

Disney/Marvel Studios' 'Thunderbolts*' is off to a good start with $11M in Thursday night previews.

deadline.com

What are the chances of this doubling $165 million for its entire run? Even if it doubles it later on, its still not over $400 million.

I hope there's a lot of money in streaming and merchandises, because a lot of these films are going to have a hard time making a profit in theaters alone.

 

[Zyraquis]

IIRC only 1 or 2 MCU movies didn’t make final domestic 2x opening weekend. With its better reviews and audience I can see perhaps 2.4-2.5x opening, adding overseas it should make more than $400m

 

[blueharvest]

 

[psylockolussus]

Thats actually pretty good. Not far from Brave New World's 3 day opening weekend.

Worldwide though, it needs 2.5 multiplier to hit $400 million.

 

[psylockolussus]

North America*
84 Marvels
82 Blade II
76 Thunderbolts
73 Morbius
70 Blade
65 Dark Phoenix
56 Fant4stic
52 Blade: Trinity
51 Spirit of Vengeance
43 Madame Web
33 Punisher
25 Kraven the Hunter
24 Elektra
24 New Mutants
16 Howard the Duck
8 War Zone

 

[Sithborg]

I think it may inch up to $78. And based on some of the later demos, may be ready for a good hold on Mothers Day weekend.

 

[psylockolussus]

It released day-and-date globally, and, as previously noted, was not expected to do mega business in China and Korea (see below). China nevertheless is the top opening market (it started on a non-traditional Wednesday) with $10.4M through Sunday.

After that, the UK, which had super summer weather heading into the weekend, grossed $7.7M.

In Latin America, Thunderbolts* opened at No. 1 in every market and had the 2nd highest debut of 2025 across the region, Brazil (including previews) and Mexico (including previews) as well as Central America, Chile and Paraguay. The regional opening weekend was ahead of Ant-Man, Shang-Chi, Eternals and Captain America: Brave New World.

Across Europe, Thunderbolts* opened at No. 1 in all markets except for Finland and Sweden which were behind the continued play of Minecraft.

Thunderbolts* had the 2nd highest opening of 2025 in the Middle East and 3rd highest opening of 2025 in France and Spain as well as Iceland, Portugal and South Africa.

Across Asia-Pacific, Thunderbolts* was No. 1 non-local in all markets except for Japan where it was the No. 2 studio title. It scored the 2nd highest studio opening of 2025 in New Zealand, Hong Kong, Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand; and the best non-local opening of 2025 in Hong Kong, India, Malaysia and Singapore.

The Top 10 starts were: China ($10.4M), UK ($7.7M), Mexico ($7.3M), Brazil ($4M), France ($3.8M), Germany ($3.6M), Korea ($3.5M), Australia ($3.4M), Japan ($3.2M) and Spain ($2.8M).

‘Thunderbolts*’ Rolls To $162M+ Global Opening; ‘Minecraft’ Nears $900M WW & ‘Sinners’ Has Another Saintly Hold – International Box Office

Marvel/Disney’s Thunderbolts* opened to $162.1 million at the global box office

deadline.com

 

[psylockolussus]

The actual numbers are lower - $74,300,608.

$160 million globally, after five days. We'll see if the new title works*