Deadpool & Wolverine Deadpool & Wolverine at the BoX office

[AverageMan]

This thing will cruise to $600m domestic & $1.5b-1.6b world wide.
Absolute smash.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

13 Tuesday (domestic, obviously)

 

[BlackFox]

Yeah, it could beat the original Avengers. Sounds amazing that it could be anywhere near Infinity War.

Anything over $600m is going to be a heck of a result as it will probably end up doing more overseas in most cases for these films so $1.3-$1.4B looks like it could be on the cards.

 

[Iceman]

Anything over $600m is going to be a heck of a result as it will probably end up doing more overseas in most cases for these films so $1.3-$1.4B looks like it could be on the cards.

We’ll have to see if the overseas starts getting stronger but the domestic won’t take long at all to get to $500m and it’s not much further at that point. It’s looking good for repeat views from the GA.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

WW update.

 

[Iceman]

WW update.

Are there any significant overseas markets left to open? If not then it doesn’t seem to be outperforming the domestic as many big films seem to do (often by a lot). I guess a lot of the humour wouldn’t land to non-English speaking audiences. Still that domestic number is crazy. If $50mish is accurate for the 3rd weekend then it will be surging a good way past $500m in a few days.

 

[Spider-Fan]

And people tried telling me Twisters would have an adverse effect on this movie's legs. Meanwhile that movie hasn't made back its budget WW

I tried to tell people that Ole SF thought that was foolish to underestimate this one

 

[lenz]

Are there any significant overseas markets left to open? If not then it doesn’t seem to be outperforming the domestic as many big films seem to do (often by a lot). I guess a lot of the humour wouldn’t land to non-English speaking audiences. Still that domestic number is crazy. If $50mish is accurate for the 3rd weekend then it will be surging a good way past $500m in a few days.

Deadpool has been pretty balanced vs. other blockbusters in the past. Never 50/50, but not 60(+)/40(-) either. Deadpool had a domestic/foreign split of 46/54%. Deadpool 2 was like 43/57%.

As a comparison, the current R-rated champ, Joker, had a split of 31/69%.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Are there any significant overseas markets left to open? If not then it doesn’t seem to be outperforming the domestic as many big films seem to do (often by a lot). I guess a lot of the humour wouldn’t land to non-English speaking audiences. Still that domestic number is crazy. If $50mish is accurate for the 3rd weekend then it will be surging a good way past $500m in a few days.

I think it’s opened everywhere. As lenz said this is pretty much the pattern for Deadpool films.

 

[BlackFox]

Are there any significant overseas markets left to open? If not then it doesn’t seem to be outperforming the domestic as many big films seem to do (often by a lot). I guess a lot of the humour wouldn’t land to non-English speaking audiences. Still that domestic number is crazy. If $50mish is accurate for the 3rd weekend then it will be surging a good way past $500m in a few days.

Its might be the rating system that works slightly differently between US and Europe which has an effect on DP movies.

 

[Iceman]

Its might be the rating system that works slightly differently between US and Europe which has an effect on DP movies.

I’d actually forgotten what an R rating meant. Just looked it up: “R: RESTRICTED. Under 17 requires accompanying parent or adult guardian.”. That vs harder 15 age limit in UK for eg regardless of parents.

Joker made $335m and $728m overseas so I don’t think it would be the rating alone anyway being the reason for the balance between dom and overseas (as @lenz mentioned ). Unfortunately the overseas not being a bigger share of D&W will mean it won’t see as big an overall number, but the domestic is truly crazy regardless and the overalll can still get to $1.2/1.3B if overseas at least keeps pace with dom.

 

[BlackFox]

I’d actually forgotten what an R rating meant. Just looked it up: “R: RESTRICTED. Under 17 requires accompanying parent or adult guardian.”. That vs harder 15 age limit in UK for eg regardless of parents.

Joker made $335m and $728m overseas so I don’t think it would be the rating alone anyway being the reason for the balance between dom and overseas (as @lenz mentioned ). Unfortunately the overseas not being a bigger share of D&W will mean it won’t see as big an overall number, but the domestic is truly crazy regardless and the overalll can still get to $1.2/1.3B if overseas at least keeps pace with dom.

Joker is probably still a bigger name and better known than Deadpool with audiences outside of the US for certain so that probably helped it. If the sequel is good it probably has a chance of beating D&W when it takes the crown next week for the R rating title before the year is out.

 

[lenz]

Joker is probably still a bigger name and better known than Deadpool with audiences outside of the US for certain so that probably helped it. If the sequel is good it probably has a chance of beating D&W when it takes the crown next week for the R rating title before the year is out.

The fact Joker made 740m overseas is extremely impressive. Deadpool & Wolverine could beat it's worldwide total by 300m + and still come up ~100m short of that number. I expect the sequel to be more front loaded. Joker + Harley (or Gaga, take your pick) is a formula that offers huge potential. I haven't been following the musical aspect if the film too closely, so that can be hit or miss with audiences, but if the film is received similar to the first its got a real shot.

 

[Pennywise]

 

[BlackFox]

 

[BlackFox]

The fact Joker made 740m overseas is extremely impressive. Deadpool & Wolverine could beat it's worldwide total by 300m + and still come up ~100m short of that number. I expect the sequel to be more front loaded. Joker + Harley (or Gaga, take your pick) is a formula that offers huge potential. I haven't been following the musical aspect if the film too closely, so that can be hit or miss with audiences, but if the film is received similar to the first its got a real shot.

Yeah I expect it will be a bit of a monster that one as well, it has a lot going for it, Joker himself already has a cult following as a villain before you even add that Gaga effect. The musical aspect could be a draw back for some but as of yet we dont know how much or how little that is a part of the film and whether its any good of course but I wouldnt be surprised if it takes back the lead for R rates films if it gets good reviews/WOM etc. It will no doubt open big either way.

 

[Iceman]

Yeah I expect it will be a bit of a monster that one as well, it has a lot going for it, Joker himself already has a cult following as a villain before you even add that Gaga effect. The musical aspect could be a draw back for some but as of yet we dont know how much or how little that is a part of the film and whether its any good of course but I wouldnt be surprised if it takes back the lead for R rates films if it gets good reviews/WOM etc. It will no doubt open big either way.

Joker was fine for me but I had no itch to rewatch it and not a whole lot of interest in a follow up. The musical angle while introducing Gaga as Harley got me interested again. Depending how far they take the musical part it feels like a high risk strategy that could fall apart or really become a big hit with audiences. Domestically at least D&W is setting an impossible mark to overtake.

 

[Iceman]

Can smell a billion (a bit like burnt rubber ) right now but it will be far gone past it the minute it gets here.

 

[BlackFox]

Jokes was fine for me but I had no itch to rewatch it and not a whole lot of interest in a follow up. The musical angle while introducing Gaga as Harley got me interested again. Depending how far they take the musical part it feels like a high risk strategy that could fall apart or really become a big hit with audiences. Domestically at least D&W is setting an impossible mark to overtake.

It was well made clearly but like you said I found it quite dark and heavy and not one I have revisited since the cinema, D&W certainly has that more rewatchability to it with its more fun and brightly colored tone, plus all the fan servicey moments and great action set pieces you want to see again as soon as they are over. Domestically it might be hard for Joker Sequel to catch that depending on where it lands but its looking like the $600m+ range. The first Joker seemed to do amazing overseas though last time out and I guess a lot might depend if it can do that again.

 

[lenz]

 

[blueharvest]

 

[Pennywise]

 

[psylockolussus]

Marvel's B11ions Club
$2,799,439,100 Endgame
$2,052,415,039 Infinity War
$1,922,598,800 No Way Home
$1,520,538,536 Avengers
$1,405,018,048 Age of Ultron
$1,374,959,729 Black Panther
$1,215,577,205 Iron Man 3
$1,155,046,416 Civil War
$1,132,679,685 Far from Home
$1,131,416,446 Captain Marvel
$1,000,000,000 Deadpool & Wolverine

 

[BlackFox]

 

[BlackFox]

Incredible achievement for an R rated movie. Deadpool has risen in popularity rapidly over the years fast but to achieve $1billion is a great return (with more to come!) and its kind of mad to think how we got here considering how dirty these two characters got treated in Origins all those years ago but to bring back Hugh as Wolverine, maybe for the last time we shall see, was a masterstroke that pushed this over the edge for people and they made FULL use of the MCU sandbox to just go have fun in the playground and create something that has really struck a chord with old Fox-fans but also MCU fans who may have lost a bit of interest lately.

In terms of just sheer fun they smashed this out the park and congrats to Ryan, Shawn, Hugh and everyone involved for this achievement, its fully deserved. Maybe not the movie we expected but certainly the one that was needed.