MCU Fantastic Four Box Office Predictions

I was thinking about this the other day. My thoughts at the time were that they were probably going to fall on the low side of Marvel movies, because of what has gone before. You know, "Screw me once, shame on you". What about "Screw me three times"? People might not have a positive view of the FF because of the prior movies.

They need a great trailer, and need to give a vibe that makes them seem cool, and they need a good story with great word of mouth.

I hadn't realized No Way Home was doing so well. I'm surprised a CoVid-era movie could bring in that kind of box office. Good for them.

 

Somehow I don't think H.E.R.B.I.E. would do the same trick.

 

I think its a given, worldwide, it's going to be the highest Fantastic Four film ever. I also just want to see it open at #1, especially after Fant4stic only peaked at #2. While I wasn't really following boX office numbers when the 2000s movies were released. So seeing the boX office results of this would be fantastic. Thinking about it, its almost 7 years since Fant4stic was released.... damn such a long time.

 

The FF movie will probably open big, and then fall off quickly, like most Marvel movies. I just hope it doesn't have too big a falloff, like setting a record or something, because that would be disheartening. Ideally, it would have legs, but I don't want to be unrealistic.

 

The drops would still depend on the competition. May to July, big drops are eXpected, but months like February to April and October, some movies aren't too frontloaded and they get smaller a 2nd weekend drop.

 

I predict opening weekend will be $444.4 Million

 

To be fair, the way things are going, that could be about twenty bucks in today's dollars.

 

$250 million for the opening weekend in North America alone doesn't seem realistic. Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness didn't even open that big.

70 million or above would be fant4stic. Even if this is Marvel Studios, we have to remember that this is the 2nd reboot and the fourth Fantastic Four film in theaters. The Fantastic Four (as of rn) won't have supporting roles in the upcoming 2022/23 MCU movies to get that so much boost for their film. None of the Fantastic Four films have even grossed $200 million in the past, and the last one completely flopped.

 

I think a big variable will be how they set it up.

If they introduce characters in prior films, that could help them hit the ground running.

 

I think that's still too high especially given the Fantastic Four's history at the boX office.

A number that high is possible if the first family have already appeared in several mcu films in supporting roles, especially in an Avenger movie.

At best, they would have a cameo in Wakanda Forever, Love and Thunder, Quantumania, Vol. 3, The Marvels and the untitled 2023 movie but its unlikely they or one of them cameos in half of those movies. And I'm assuming its the first 2024 mcu movie and Blade is the final 2023 movie.

I think $70 million to $90 million is possible just like the first film of Gotg, Dr. Strange and Eternals.

 

I hope you're right, I'd love to see a Fantastic Four movie making some waves.

This is getting a little off topic, but with a lot of these Marvel movies, they stick another MCU character or several into the movie, which can help give it a little boost. Like maybe you won't come to see Captain America, but maybe you'll come to see all the other Avengers we've put into Civil War. Do you see them putting another hero or heroes into the FF movie, and if so which ones? Some have mentioned Spider-Man, but others have said they won't waste a Tom Holland appearance on the FF.

 

Namor, Black Panther, Hawkeye, She-Hulk or Hulk?

The thing is we don't have rumours of the F4 popping up in the upcoming 2023/2024 movies - to give them that eXtra eXposure / boost similar to Spider-Man / Black Panther in Civil War before their own movie comes out. Because if they have or one of them has a supporting role, we would have known it already. Everything is done filming eXcept for the November 2023 Marvel film which could still be F4.

Maybe an Avenger would be part of the F4's film? But do we want a Tony Stark-esque role just to boost its boX office potential? And for their first mcu film?

So I think an opening weekend gross similar to the first movie of Thor, Eternals, Gotg, Shang-Chi, Dr. Strange and Black Widow is possible. But more than $100 million? I can't say that until I see the marketing, reviews and trailers.

 

Oh man, I want a Hulk vs. Thing MCU battle so bad I can taste it. Even though Thing always gets his arse beat.
I could see Hank Pym, especially if there is an FF connection to Quantumania.
Black Panther, the Watchers, Silver Surfer, and Warlock have comic book ties to the FF.
I would love to see Agatha Harkness babysitting for the FF, once/if the kids are around. How cool would that be?

 

An X factor in this may be the Fox movies.

We typically dismiss them as junk, but they did reasonably well at the box office and got a lot of play on Network TV, and now they’re on Disney +.

If you think about someone, for example, who was born in 1998, they were 7 years old in 2005, and that film may have seemed cool to a 7 year old and he/she might have had some Thing hands etc.

So that person would be in their mid 20’s now and might be nostalgically looking forward to a new FF film.

Combined with old people like me who grew up reading the comic books, there could be a lot of broad, general interest in a new FF film.

Certainly more so than with things like Shang Chi or Eternals.

 

I’d want F4 to eventually be the biggest MCU franchise outside of Avengers and X-Men.