MCU Fantastic Four Box Office Predictions

How much will it make at the box office?

  • >$1 Billion

    Votes: 1 1.9%
  • $1 Billion

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • $900 Million

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • $800 Million

    Votes: 3 5.6%
  • $700 MIllion

    Votes: 14 25.9%
  • $600 Million

    Votes: 16 29.6%
  • $500 Million

    Votes: 13 24.1%
  • <$500 Million

    Votes: 7 13.0%

  • Total voters
    54
Then why did no FOX X-Men movie make a billion?
X-Men: Days of Future Past—the official “swan song” with the legacy cast—grossed nearly $800M globally if I recall correctly. And that was back in the 2010s. Now, when you adjust that number for inflation by today’s theater expenses…:smirk:
 
X-Men: Days of Future Past—the official “swan song” with the legacy cast—grossed nearly $800M globally if I recall correctly. And that was back in the 2010s. Now, when you adjust that number for inflation by today’s theater expenses…:smirk:
746m is not "nearly 800m". :funny:
 
Average MCU Domestic/Foreign box office splits​
Domestic %​
Phase 145.8%
Phase 235.1%
Phase 336.7%
Phase 445.4%
Phase 546.0%

 
I said if my memory recalls correctly. I didn’t go literally look it up. You did—which is great. My point still stands! ;)
That inflation exist? Close the front door. Not a helpful metric in an environment where less tickets are sold overall.
 
After the irresponsible headline Variety published regarding the so-called “80 percent cratering”, this new article is a welcome—and more balanced—look at the future of Marvel and DC box office potential.

 
That inflation exist? Close the front door. Not a helpful metric in an environment where less tickets are sold overall.
You’re missing me. The point is an X-Men franchise introduced properly in the MCU has the potential to hit a billion dollars at the box office. It has to have the right factors in its favor, of course. But DC and Marvel Studios would kill for Superman and Fantastic Four to reach $750M right now, and the X-Men are arguably more popular than both franchises—back then and now. I think the potential is there despite the current situation.
 
Everything moving forward depends on DD/SW. If people love them, then maybe Marvel starts doing better internationally and it cements a return of that goodwill they had. China and such are lost causes, but the rest of the world isn't. If DD/SW get the reception most of Phase 5 got, then the boat sinks.
 
You’re missing me. The point is an X-Men franchise introduced properly in the MCU has the potential to hit a billion dollars at the box office. It has to have the right factors in its favor, of course. But DC and Marvel Studios would kill for Superman and Fantastic Four to reach $750M right now, and the X-Men are arguably more popular than both franchises—back then and now. I think the potential is there despite the current situation.
I'm not missing you. I think you're missing me. Days of Future Past doesn't get to 746m in this environment. Where China and South Korea has fallen off a cliff for superhero movies. Where Russia is literally closed.

What you are arguing for is a perfect scenario. Which yes, can happen. But that's very different then saying they're Spider-Man or Batman level. Which they aren't. Neither is Carol, but she did actually get to bil.
 
Yes it will.

It's at 208m as of Tues domestically. It will be at or above 230m after the weekend. Even if it drop really bad it gets to 270m. Which means it needs 230m OS. It's at 170m OS as of this past Sunday. Will be over 200m after this next week.

It's getting to 500m.
It might go to 500m, but I don't see it breaking it or even getting in the vicinity of 600m. I could be wrong of course, but the 60% drop off in the second week wasn't great news.
 
It will not. And by the time X-men comes out, the gimmick that got Deadpool and Wolverine into a billion will be overplayed. Do not put your faith into the 97 reception. Well received, yes. Successful, sure. But it still had much, much less viewers than a lot of Disney+ live action shows. And we see those have not been helpful for the box office.
I consider 97 the Andor of the recent Marvel sludge. Might not have the desired viewership, but quality was superior. At this stage, I think X-Men should be a high budget limited TV Show kind of what I think F4 should have been. Then finely weave it into to a big movie event parallel to the Avengers events.
 
X-Men: Days of Future Past—the official “swan song” with the legacy cast—grossed nearly $800M globally if I recall correctly. And that was back in the 2010s. Now, when you adjust that number for inflation by today’s theater expenses…:smirk:
I loved that movie. Sad the follow-up was dogsh*t:weary:
 
Everything moving forward depends on DD/SW. If people love them, then maybe Marvel starts doing better internationally and it cements a return of that goodwill they had. China and such are lost causes, but the rest of the world isn't. If DD/SW get the reception most of Phase 5 got, then the boat sinks.
I do think it's important to note that without China, Korea, and Russia Civil War, Iron Man 3, Far From Home, and Captain Marvel wouldn't of made a billion.

They can build, but I think hoping for the old numbers outside of big events is a mistake and just creates a rod for the MCU's back.
 
I consider 97 the Andor of the recent Marvel sludge. Might not have the desired viewership, but quality was superior. At this stage, I think X-Men should be a high budget limited TV Show kind of what I think F4 should have been. Then finely weave it into to a big movie event parallel to the Avengers events.
97 is good. Andor is some of the best television there has ever been.
 
I'm not missing you. I think you're missing me. Days of Future Past doesn't get to 746m in this environment. Where China and South Korea has fallen off a cliff for superhero movies. Where Russia is literally closed.

What you are arguing for is a perfect scenario. Which yes, can happen. But that's very different then saying they're Spider-Man or Batman level. Which they aren't. Neither is Carol, but she did actually get to bil.
I’m simply arguing for the potential of what can be. I think the X-Men stand next to Spider-Man as being the royalty of Marvel. For decades, they outranked the Avengers and the Fantastic Four. In fact, some of the most recognizable and popular mainstream Marvel heroes—Storm, Wolverine, etc., come with that IP. Seriously: who would’ve seen Deadpool and Wolverine’s billion dollar blowout coming last year? Again, they’re from the X-Men umbrella.

We may never have the perfect scenario, especially as the world’s perception of America—and by extension the films she produces—changes every day (and not for the better, I might add). But I think the X-Men transcend all the global politics because of what they represent.
 
I do think it's important to note that without China, Korea, and Russia Civil War, Iron Man 3, Far From Home, and Captain Marvel wouldn't of made a billion.

They can build, but I think hoping for the old numbers outside of big events is a mistake and just creates a rod for the MCU's back.
I'm not talking about everything being a billion dollar movie like Phase 3. Over these various threads, I have said a thousand times that those days are probably over. But that doesn't mean they cannot all get substantial bumps.
 
I'm not talking about everything being a billion dollar movie like Phase 3. Over these various threads, I have said a thousand times that those days are probably over. But that doesn't mean they cannot all get substantial bumps.
I don't mean you. Just in general. I feel like some think that rebuilding means the success of the past.
 
It might go to 500m, but I don't see it breaking it or even getting in the vicinity of 600m. I could be wrong of course, but the 60% drop off in the second week wasn't great news.
I didn't say 600m. I said it's getting to 500m.
 
I know, that's just what I was saying. Not breaking 500 and not reaching 600 essentially, but might just reach 500.
I do not know what your first language is, but "breaking 500 Mil" is getting 500m and one dollar.
This movie ain't breaking 500 Mil I don't see this thing having legs. Which sucks cause I adore the F4. Pedro Pascal just ain't a box office draw either. It's an improvement compared to the other Marvel stuff recently. I really think we are at the end of Superhero genre. it won't die, but the compelling aspects or even the quality output ain't the same. Batman and Spider-Man will probably get the budget and some profit, but the billion mark seems far out in the ether. Maybe the audience has just moved on? DD and SW could be the aftershock.
 
You’re missing me. The point is an X-Men franchise introduced properly in the MCU has the potential to hit a billion dollars at the box office. It has to have the right factors in its favor, of course. But DC and Marvel Studios would kill for Superman and Fantastic Four to reach $750M right now, and the X-Men are arguably more popular than both franchises—back then and now. I think the potential is there despite the current situation.

The way things are going, no. X-men will not hit a billion dollars. Especially not on their "reintroduction". That is just the market right now.
 

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