Official Spider-Man 3 Box Office Thread - Predictions and Forecasts

[TLH]

So here's something interesting that I haven't seen brought up yet (though I'll admit I definitely haven't read this whole thread)...

Spider-Man
Domestic: $403,706,375
International: $418,002,176
Worldwide: $821,708,551

Spider-Man 2
Domestic: $373,585,825
International: $410,180,516
Worldwide: $783,766,341

Spider-Man 3
Domestic (as of June 8): $322,480,000
International (as of June 3): $526,650,148
Worldwide: $849,130,148

Spider-Man Trilogy
Domestic (as of June 8): $1,099,772,200
International (as of June 3): $1,354,832,840
Worldwide: $2,454,605,040


Top 10 Trilogies Ever - Worldwide (as of June 8 Domestically, as of June 3 Internationally)

1. The Lord of the Rings - $2,913.1M
2. Harry Potter - $2,643.0M
3. Spider-Man - $2,454.6M
4. Star Wars 1-3 - $2,415.2M
5. POTC - $2,365.2M
6. Jurassic Park - $1,902.1M
7. Star Wars 4-6 - $1,788.9M
8. Shrek - $1,703.5M
9. The Matrix - $1,624.0M
10. Mission: Impossible - $1,401.9M



Top 10 Trilogies Ever - Domestic (as of June 8)
1. Star Wars 1-3 - $1,122,035,614
2. Spider-Man - $1,099,772,200
3. Star Wars 4-6 - $1,060,779,251
4. The Lord of the Rings - $1,033,551,625
5. Shrek - $979,333,258
6. POTC - $967,047,730
7. Harry Potter - $829,105,101
8. Jurassic Park - $767,326,501
9. Indiana Jones - $619,416,531
10. X-Men - $606,611,873



So "Spider-Man 3" only has about $22.2M more to get domestically for the "Spider-Man" Trilogy to become the #1 Best-Selling Trilogy Ever Domestically!

We are 36 into "Spider-Man 3"s release. The first "Spider-Man" made about $43.5M after it's first 36 days, and "Spider-Man 2" made about $25.6M after its first 36 days. Can "Spider-Man 3" make at least another $22.2M in the rest of its domestic run?

Well, it is now at $325.6 million, meaning it will need $19 more million and need to close out it's domestic run at $344 million. I don't think it can get there, unfortunately. The film will likely close out at about $340 million, give or take.

 

[Bat Attack]

I think Spidey 3 will end up doing near Jurassic Park numbers (probabley less than JP WW by about 18M) by the end of the summer.

Jurassic Park:
W.W.- $914,691,118
DOM.- $357,067,947

Spidey 3 (as of today):
W.W.- $852,330,148
DOM.- $325,680,000

 

[ultimatefan]

No one should give a crap about inflation. Both those movies didn't have to deal with even a fraction of the things that bring down box office numbers of movies these days.

I know that there were no DVDs, Internet or Playstation back then, but it´s just a matter of comparing oranges to oranges.

 

[Carp Man]

Pirates overseas #'s have been updated thru June 10th. No update for Spider-Man, or Shrek. Pirates update below.

 

[Visionary]

Spider-Man 3 after 3 weekends 749$ millions

Pirates after 3 weekends 746$ millions

This is going to be as tight a race worldwide as ever

The funny thing is that last weekend it was the same difference SP3 626$ millions after 2 weeks and Pirates 624$ millions

It's not going to be a tight race, Pirates and Shrek are going to beat SM3 by about 50-75M worldwide, if not by more. Should we really give a damn, no comic book movie in history can accomplish what Spider-Man has done, hell, few movies period as a franchise can do what it has done. You people, as always, ask for too much from Spider-Man, this "Spidey must be #1 in everything" is idiotic. But hey, go ahead and set yourselves up to be let down.

 

[Kargo Warrior]

you really have no idea what are you talking about ,and i've been noticing that for weeks now....Shrek???? Shrek wont make 800 and Pirates is going to beat Spidey by 75 m even though after 3 weeks SP3 had more?..you are trully clueless

I mean nothing suprises me more from you anymore,since two weeks ago you were saying how SP3 wont make as much as SP1 worldwide....so yeah keep going

 

[spider-neil]

the one I reallly wanted was the opening weekend at 151M I don't see that being beaten any time soon

#1 world wide box office of the year
biggest trilogy ever domestic/WW
are icing on a cake if it makes it great if not no biggie

 

[Visionary]

Why do you mock me with your taunting words?

 

[Downhere]

It's not going to be a tight race, Pirates and Shrek are going to beat SM3 by about 50-75M worldwide, if not by more. Should we really give a damn, no comic book movie in history can accomplish what Spider-Man has done, hell, few movies period as a franchise can do what it has done. You people, as always, ask for too much from Spider-Man, this "Spidey must be #1 in everything" is idiotic. But hey, go ahead and set yourselves up to be let down.

I really don't see Shrek beating SM3 worldwide, it will probably end up at 800 million. SM3 on the other hand, will end at 900 million. It will be close with POTC 3 and SM3 worldwide, but POTC 3 is basically on par with SM3 at the moment. They will probably end up being very, very close to each other worldwide, so I think that both are too close to call when it comes to worldwide cume. Domestically, SM3 will win with about 340 million.

 

[nintendo nerd]

Shrek 3 is still showing some legs, domestic. I hope it doesn't catch spidey. I really doubt POTC will.

 

[Downhere]

Shrek 3 is still showing some legs, domestic. I hope it doesn't catch spidey. I really doubt POTC will.

No, it won't. It's still 22 million behind SM3 and it won't catch up. It will, however, beat POTC 3 domestically.

 

[TLH]

No, it won't. It's still 22 million behind SM3 and it won't catch up. It will, however, beat POTC 3 domestically.

QFT.

 

[Visionary]

I really don't see Shrek beating SM3 worldwide, it will probably end up at 800 million. SM3 on the other hand, will end at 900 million. It will be close with POTC 3 and SM3 worldwide, but POTC 3 is basically on par with SM3 at the moment. They will probably end up being very, very close to each other worldwide, so I think that both are too close to call when it comes to worldwide cume. Domestically, SM3 will win with about 340 million.

Okay, but I don't want to hear any crying when they both beat Spidey domestically/overseas. We'll take our 880-885M WW and be happy with that, will we not?

 

[Downhere]

Okay, but I don't want to hear any crying when they both beat Spidey domestically/overseas. We'll take our 880-885M WW and be happy with that, will we not?

Your not going to hear any crying dude. Even the people who hate SM3 acknowledge that it will win domestically and could possibly win worldwide or come in second place. Shrek will probably bring in anywhere from 750-850 worldwide, no more than that. The worldwide race between the 3 will be between SM3 and POTC 3...it's going to be really close I think.

 

[Visionary]

How do you know what Shrek 3 will make overseas, no one knows, so you don't know what its worldwide cume will be? Plus, Shrek looks like it going be closing in on SM3 domestically in about 2 weeks.

 

[shigsy2003]

Your not going to hear any crying dude. Even the people who hate SM3 acknowledge that it will win domestically and could possibly win worldwide or come in second place. Shrek will probably bring in anywhere from 750-850 worldwide, no more than that. The worldwide race between the 3 will be between SM3 and POTC 3...it's going to be really close I think.

It will be close and I really hope SM3 wins.

 

[Downhere]

How do you know what Shrek 3 will make overseas, no one knows, so you don't know what its worldwide cume will be? Plus, Shrek looks like it going be closing in on SM3 domestically in about 2 weeks.

Shrek will continue to drop in the next two weeks and the 20-22 million difference between SM3 and Shrek 3 will continue, there is no way it will catch up. Next week you have Fantastic Four, the week after Evan Almighty, the week after that Ratatouille. What do those films have in common? Family friendly films, which will cut into Shrek's take. Therefore Shrek will continue with 40-50% drops, especially as it loses theaters. Now, internationally, it won't make much more than the previous one, or could do slightly less.

At the moment, Shrek is headed for a 305-320 million dollar take domestically. If it were to make the same amount as Shrek 2 did internationally ($480 million), that would be a 780-795 million worldwide take. How do you expect that number to beat out SM3 (headed for a final tally of around 900 million) and POTC 3 (headed for the same area as SM3)?

 

[SLYspyder]

I know that there were no DVDs, Internet or Playstation back then, but it´s just a matter of comparing oranges to oranges.

You're contradicting yourself. Comparing oranges to oranges would NOT be comparing a movie that came out today with one that came out 30 yrs ago.

It's not going to be a tight race, Pirates and Shrek are going to beat SM3 by about 50-75M worldwide, if not by more. Should we really give a damn, no comic book movie in history can accomplish what Spider-Man has done, hell, few movies period as a franchise can do what it has done. You people, as always, ask for too much from Spider-Man, this "Spidey must be #1 in everything" is idiotic. But hey, go ahead and set yourselves up to be let down.

Can you please ****? Seriously. You keep on posting the same thing about how Pirates and Shrek are going to surpass SM worldwide when the numbers say otherwise.

SM3 is ahead by at least $20M domestically at the same point Pirates and Shrek are in right now.

Shrek 2 made only $480M in the foreign market. Shrek 3 is doing far worse than Shrek 2, (nothing like the $30M difference from SM2 to SM3, we're talking over $100M) how do you suppose they will have an INCREASE in foreign box office? Sm3 is already at $526M internationally.

SM3 is STILL ahead by a few million, as it was since day 1. That's consistency. How is Pirates all of a sudden going to get ahead with all the competition coming? Plus, even if they did get a little ahead, it's not gonna make up for their loss domestically.

 

[Visionary]

Okay, you do have valid points.

Did you just tell me to ****, that's not very nice, lol?

 

[Advanced Dark]

Spidey 3 now at 864-864.7 Million Worldwide. I figured 865-870 by this weekend so pretty close.

http://www.variety.com/article/VR1117966638.html?categoryid=13&cs=1

And with the sixth frame of Sony's "Spider-Man 3" ensnaring $7 million at 6,205, the frame underlined the dominance of the third versions of mega-tentpoles in foreign markets -- where studios take in 60%-70% of their worldwide grosses on high-profile fare. The third "Pirates" pic and "Spider-Man 3" have already combined for more than $1 billion overseas; the two franchises have now combined for nearly $3 billion in foreign grosses.

Spider-Man 3" showed durability as its foreign cume hit $539 million, led by the U.K. with $66 million and Japan with $54.3 million and France with $52.9 million. Its worldwide total has hit $864 million for 12th place on the all-time list.

...and here's some notes form Hollywood Reporter which puts it closer to 865 Million!

In its sixth weekend, Sony's "Spider-Man 3" pushed its overseas cume to $539 million thanks to an estimated $7 million weekend from 6,205 screens in 77 markets. The biggest is Japan, with an estimated $1.2 million from 587 screens, for a cume of $54.3 million. Worldwide, "Spider-Man 3" has grossed $864.7 million.

 

[rashad]

Excellent.

 

[DarthAlani]

Shrek will get crushed by Spidey and Pirates worldwide. Shrek will beat Pirates domestically by lose to Spidey. Shreks legs will be cut by Surf's up Evan Almighty and Ratataille, it will not catch Spider-man. The only reason why Shrek 2 made so much becuase it was a fluke that movie was not very good. Spider-man is a mega-hit and the only comic-movie which can stand up to the Pirates and Shrek franchises and have a chance. Its beating both of those movies right now. Even thier ace weapons teenage girls and little kids could not defeat Spider-man. Its about time

 

[fabman]

Think it'll make 900 million dollars? I hope so!

 

[dodus]

You're contradicting yourself. Comparing oranges to oranges would NOT be comparing a movie that came out today with one that came out 30 yrs ago.

No, with oranges to oranges he's simply saying that you don't need disclaimers to compare an old movie and new movie's gross. You can still note and respect the differences in society, but it's ridiculous to suggest that you're just not allowed to say Star Wars made more money than Spidey, when it's technically a fact.

 

[Visionary]

Think it'll make 900 million dollars? I hope so!

Nope, 899.9M, maybe, but not 900M.