Official Spider-Man 3 Box Office Thread - Predictions and Forecasts

[spider-neil]

Those #'s are a tad misleading. If you count all movies including those that have multiple release then yes the # is 23 have made $ 300 domestic or more. If you count only movies with over 300 million for their initial release the # drops to 15. Of those 15 only 9 have made it to $ 350 domestic, and only 5 of those 15 have reached $ 400 domestic. So yes it is quite an achievement to make $ 300 domestic. And it takes a herculean effort to reach $ 400 million.

can you post the movies that have had a multiple release

 

[Carp Man]

can you post the movies that have had a multiple release

Star Wars, E.T., The Passion Of The Christ, LOTR : The Two Towers, The Lion King, LOTR : Fellowship of the Ring, Star Wars Episode 2, Return of the Jedi. Star Wars, and E.T have had more then 1 release in the theaters. The rest are thru DVD, or VHS rereleases.

 

[Stupify_me]

can you post the movies that have had a multiple release

ET

and Star Wars

 

[Carp Man]

And 2 of those movies made over $400M from multiple releases.

Star Wars, and E.T.

 

[Visionary]

I forgot about multiple releases, which makes it even more impossible to reach 300M.

 

[Carp Man]

I forgot about multiple releaseses, which makes it even more impossible to reach 300M.

It takes 2 of 3 things to reach 300 million. A huge opening weekend, good legs, and a long run. For instance. Star Wars made 6 million opening weekend, but it was out 44 weeks, and ended over 300 million. Titanic made 28.6 opening weekend, but had tremendous legs. It did not drop below 10 million for a weekend till weekend 17. So for 16 straight weekends it made over 10 million each weekend. That's legs. It was out 33 weeks, and ended with over 600 million domestic. That's what it takes to reach elete status. You know what is really crazy ? Adjust that # for inflation and today Titanic would make 861.2 domestic.

 

[GL's Light]

Of the 23 films to make more $ 300 million domestic, 22 of them went over that landmark number in their initial theatrical run (although theatrical runs used to be a hell of a lot longer). Return of the Jedi only went over $ 300 mil after its re-release.

Star Wars and E.T. went over $ 300 mil and $ 350 mil respectively in their initial releases and then went over $ 400 mil with their re-releases.

The $ 300 mil domestic mark is very tough to achieve and the $ 400 mil domestic markis still the province of just a select tiny handful of films.

 

[Carp Man]

Of the 23 films to make more $ 300 million domestic, 22 of them went over that landmark number in their initial theatrical run (although theatrical runs used to be a hell of a lot longer). Return of the Jedi only went over $ 300 mil after its re-release.

Star Wars and E.T. went over $ 300 mil and $ 350 mil respectively in their initial releases and then went over $ 400 mil with their re-releases.

The $ 300 mil domestic mark is very tough to achieve and the $ 400 mil domestic markis still the province of just a select tiny handful of films.

Something like that. Still 300, 350 is a heck of a feat, and 400 is reserved for the small handfull. 5 films in their 1st run. Think Titanics record will ever be broke ? 600.7 domestic, 1.8 billion WW ? Return of the King is 2nd with 1.1 billion WW. Only 3 films have topped 1 billion WW. The other is POTC 2.

 

[The Caped Knight]

Hey Crap man you put July instead of June in your sgin .

 

[\S/JcDc\S/]

People didn't have a long enough break from POTC 2 I guess.

 

[Cmill216]

Hey Crap man you put July instead of June in your sgin .

*giggles*

 

[danoyse]

The $ 300 mil domestic mark is very tough to achieve and the $ 400 mil domestic markis still the province of just a select tiny handful of films.

So in other words, POTC *only* possibly ending it's domestic run at $300 million, as Steve Mason appears to joyously point out, actually isn't bad at all, it's just less than what POTC2 did, and what POTC2 did is even more rare, so it would have been hard to top anyway...especially since POTC3 is longer and faced stiffer competition with Spidey and Shrek on the same weekend. Am I getting that at least somewhat right?

 

[Kirk Langstrom]

Pirates less than expected performance is really not surprising because to think about it, there are way too many movies out now. This summer season is oversaturated and the public has too many choices out there therefore Pirates is unlikely to get most of the share!..Spidey 3 was soo lucky to have been the first outta the gate because if it would have come out later in May or even June, it would have seriously underperformed too..I mean spidey 3 is dissappointing domestically..Its box office is gonna end up at 350 if its lucky..Imagine what would have happened if it didn't open on May 4th this yr? Something tells me that a big summer movie coming up either in June or July is gonna surprise us all at the box office!!..Cause i am thinking Spidey 3 can't be the highest grossing movie this year..340M-350M is just not good enough for the highest grossing movie..it needs to be at least 400M

Back in January, i read an article about the upcoming Summer movies, and a Sony Exec, wary of the box office competition, said they were hopeful that SM3 would pull in 300 million domestically.

It's done that, and more.

I think the only people disappointed in their movies box office this year are Disney employees.

 

[SLYspyder]

SM3 would have definitely crossed $400M if stupid fanboys didn't give it bad word of mouth. Over $1B would've been a lock WW then.

I'm glad Pirates are sinking fast. Serves them right. It'll be a miracle if it surpasses $300M, especially with Ocean's and Fantastic coming out.

Spider-Man should've been alone in May. Shrek could've released in June. Pirates in July. But Dreamworks and Disney had to be dumbasses. They've learnt their lesson, as have other movie studios. Steer clear of Spider-Man, by at least 3 weeks or 1 month.


The only other movie that could've won this year is Potter and Transformers. But they release within a week of each other, which will cost them. At least Fox was wise enough to steer clear, as FF4 was originally set to battle Transformers.

 

[Carp Man]

Hey Crap man you put July instead of June in your sgin .

That's Carp Man. C-A-R-P And thanks. Don't make me bring out The Thing 2005 personality. I know you remember him.

 

[Stupify_me]

SM3 would have definitely crossed $400M if stupid fanboys didn't give it bad word of mouth. Over $1B would've been a lock WW then.

I'm glad Pirates are sinking fast. Serves them right. It'll be a miracle if it surpasses $300M, especially with Ocean's and Fantastic coming out.

Spider-Man should've been alone in May. Shrek could've released in June. Pirates in July. But Dreamworks and Disney had to be dumbasses. They've learnt their lesson, as have other movie studios. Steer clear of Spider-Man, by at least 3 weeks or 1 month.


The only other movie that could've won this year is Potter and Transformers. But they release within a week of each other, which will cost them. At least Fox was wise enough to steer clear, as FF4 was originally set to battle Transformers.

Potter has a very small chance and transformers never had a chance of winning this year it will lose to at least 4 other movies probably 5. Transformers WILL NOT make it to 300M and for Potter to hit 300M it would take something amazing and something amazing involving Harry Potter has yet to be seen from this crappy book/movie franchise.

 

[Docker2.0]

Potter has a very small chance and transformers never had a chance of winning this year it will lose to at least 4 other movies probably 5. Transformers WILL NOT make it to 300M and for Potter to hit 300M it would take something amazing and something amazing involving Harry Potter has yet to be seen from this crappy book/movie franchise.

Agreed! I don't see why people think Transformers will do so good. That movie will start off well, maybe $80-100million weekend. But I would be stunned if it made $180 million domestically. I think the hype will die down quick on that movie! As far as Potter, the book got darker as he aged so I expect the movies will as well. I don't see the infatuation with this series!

 

[Carp Man]

Potter has a very small chance and transformers never had a chance of winning this year it will lose to at least 4 other movies probably 5. Transformers WILL NOT make it to 300M and for Potter to hit 300M it would take something amazing and something amazing involving Harry Potter has yet to be seen from this crappy book/movie franchise.

4 movies. $ 3.535 billion WW. $ 883.795 WW per movie. Yep pretty crappy. Yep, has not shown a thing.

 

[Stupify_me]

Agreed! I don't see why people think Transformers will do so good. That movie will start off well, maybe $80-100million weekend. But I would be stunned if it made $180 million domestically. I think the hype will die down quick on that movie! As far as Potter, the book got darker as he aged so I expect the movies will as well. I don't see the infatuation with this series!

If it gets darker it might be decent ha lol I read the first book and almost cried because it was so sad that I spent time reading something so stupid. I watched the first couple of movies because I was forced to by small children that I am related to and they all made me sick. Lucky for me that a few weeks ago the youngest said she didn't want to see the next one because and I qoute "Harry Potter is stupid and it's for kids" she is only 11 lol and already more grown up then alot of the people that flock to these movies.

 

[Ebil Gig]

SHREK 3 $ 235,307,000 DOM / $ 257,669,192 WW. THRU JUNE 1ST

Has Shrek opened in all of its foreign markets yet?

 

[Stupify_me]

4 movies. $ 3.535 billion WW. $ 883.795 WW per movie. Yep pretty crappy. Yep, has not shown a thing.

Big box office does not make a good movie

 

[Stupify_me]

Has Shrek opened in all of its foreign markets yet?

I don't think so but it may have

 

[Ebil Gig]

I don't think so but it may have

Oh okay

 

[Carp Man]

Big box office does not make a good movie

Somebody likes them. It did not amass that much money by osmosis. So someone thinks they are pretty good, and that's what matters. That's the problem with critics. If a movie is fun, and silly, they think it's crap. They thought BB was so wounderful, and FF was such garbage, yet FF beat BB in WW #'s. The public ate it up, much to the constipation of the critics, and the DC fanboys. The general public will eat up FF 2. Kids will go crazy over the Surfer.

 

[Stupify_me]

Somebody likes them. It did not amass that much money by osmosis. So someone thinks they are pretty good, and that's what matters. That's the problem with critics. If a movie is fun, and silly, they think it's crap. They thought BB was so wounderful, and FF was such garbage, yet FF beat BB in WW #'s. The public ate it up, much to the constipation of the critics, and the DC fanboys. The general public will eat up FF 2. Kids will go crazy over the Surfer.

Once again I say good box office doesn't mean good movie. It means one of two things:

1. People were extremely hyped to go see these movies and made the movie have really good 1st week number. You know what we like to call front loaded.

2. Or they appealed to a certain market IE Children or 13 year old girls.

Regardless of who made more WW ask the majority of people and they will tell you BB was a better movie. If you think FF is better than BB you will be the first person who I have ever seen that thought that.