Far From Home Spider-Man: Far From Home ---- Official Box Office Prediction Thread

[DarthSkywalker]

RDJ's role in HC wasn't a cameo. He had like three scenes in the movie.

More then that.

 

[spiderman2]

Great second weekend for FFH. It should end up around $1.1-$1.2B WW now and easily become the highest grossing Spider-Man movie of all-time.

Yeah 1.1 is a lock at this point in time. At 847 million now and movie had at least 100 million left usa and may have 125 even left. Say it does just the 100 million that gets the movie to 947. Os if it matches it gets to 1.047 billion but its os is making more right now and seems to be having better legs to. I would say movies makes 125 million usa and at worst makes 165 million os. That would be 290 added to what we are at now to get the movie to 1.133 billion. At best i say 125 usa and 250 os left. That would get the movie to 1.228

$191,8 mil in China.

Top Superhero films in China - $80 mil + .

01. Avengers EndGame (2019) - $630 mil.
02. Avengers Infinity War (2018) - $359,5 mil.
03. Aquaman (2018) - $298,3 mil.
04. Venom (2018) - $272,2 mil.
05. Avengers AoU (2015) - $240,1 mil.
06. Spider-Man FFH (2019) - $191,8 mil and counting...
07. CA Civil War (2016) - $180,8 mil.
08. Captain Marvel (2019) $154,1 mil.
09. Ant-Man & the Wasp (2018) - $121,2 mil.
10. Iron Man 3 (2013) - $121,2 mil.
11. X-Men Apocalypse (2016) - $120,8 mil.
12. X-Men Days of Future Past (2014) - $116,5 mil.
13. Spider-Man Homecoming (2017) - 116,3 mil.
14. CA The Winter Soldier (2014) - $115,6 mil.
15. Thor Ragnarok (2017) - $112,2 mil.
16. Doctor Strange (2016) - $109,2 mil.
17. Logan (2017) - $106,2 mil.
18. Justice League (2017) $106,1 mil.
19. Ant-Man (2015) - $105,4 mil.
20. Black Panther (2018) - 105,1 mil.
21. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (2017) - $100,7 mil.
22. Batman V Superman DoJ (2016) - $95,8 mil.
23. The Amazing SM 2 (2014) - $94,4 mil.
24. Wonder Woman (2017) - $90,5 mil.
25. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) - $86,3 mil.
26. The Avengers (2012) - $86,3 mil.
27. Big Hero 6 (2014) - $83,8 mil.

Nice 75.5 increase over hc to.

 

[Iceman]

Total Lifetime Grosses
Domestic: $274,529,305 32.4%
+ Foreign: $572,500,000 67.6%
= Worldwide: $847,029,305

Damn, it's making its money quickly!

 

[samsnee]

It’s basically made the entire box office of Homecoming in two weeks.

 

[JKKS085]

So the MCU, alone, made 4.75B WW this year so far. FFH surely has another 250M in the tank so we will be looking at 5B+ in a few weeks.
That’s more than what Warner Bros, Universal and 20th Century Fox did COMBINED on the domestic market last year. And the trick is thar those 3 studios released 71 movies in 2018.

Globally that’s a bigger overall gross than Universal’s 21 movies released in 2018. And it’s roughly on par with what 20th Century Fox and Paramount did combined last year.

Now I know FFH’s numbers will be counted towards Sony/Columbia but I don’t think the scenario would have played any differently if Marvel released another of their properties instead.

 

[Fallen]

Petition to put Sam Jackson in every single MCU movie .

 

[Kuwolski]

Surprised it's already passed Toy Story 4

 

[spiderman2]

Surprised it's already passed Toy Story 4

Well to be far toy story 4 had a lot of places were the release dates were different and in fact still have 11 places were the movie has not come out. Far from home on the other hand came out ever were at almost the same time and also animated movies tend to have smaller ow but longer legs.

 

[Kuwolski]

Good to know, I loved Toy Story 4 so am glad it's doing well.

 

[Iceman]

What a crazy box office year for the MCU. 2 films making around $1.1B and one not far off $2.8B.

 

[All-Father]

Damn! Spidey is killing at the box office!

 

[Iceman]

It’s basically made the entire box office of Homecoming in two weeks.

Haha yeah. And I don’t think it’s dying off anytime soon.

 

[Iceman]

Well if the OS numbers are indeed correct then Captain Marvel ($1128,3 mil) , Aquaman ($1148 mil) and CA Civil War ($1153,3 mil) will all bite the dust then.

Cap Marvel, Aquaman and Black Panther along with this all doing easily over a billion with solo properties surely proves that CBM fatigue isn’t really having much of an effect.

 

[8ulk87]

Cap Marvel, Aquaman and Black Panther along with this all doing easily over a billion with solo properties surely proves that CBM fatigue isn’t really having much of an effect.

Well ive been saying for years that SH movies are the new Jaggernauts of cinema.
There is no SH fatigue to be seen anywhere.

If a SH movie is novel in some way or good+ then its making big money.

If we compile a list of great non SH movies that didnt manage to hit half a billion will be here for days making the list.

 

[Iceman]

Well ive been saying for years that SH movies are the new Jaggernauts of cinema.
There is no SH fatigue to be seen anywhere.

If a SH movie is novel in some way or good+ then its making big money.

If we compile a list of great non SH movies that didnt manage to hit half a billion will be here for days making the list.

Yeah it’s not just the absence of fatigue, they just keep getting bigger. Older CBM numbers are beginning to look small relative to what modern ones can do, even with characters the audience doesn’t really know about.

 

[NHawk19]

Honestly part of it is also that MCU makes you want to come back and see what happens next. (Some part of me thinks the reviewers are hooked too) Bond and Fast & Furious franchises do the same thing.

What's interesting I think also is the successful ones have been really really successful while the movies the fandom hasn't liked have tanked quicker than ever. People aren't wasting their time on crap with the abundance of good stuff out there now.

 

[samsnee]

It’s not too surprising. If you watch audience reaction clips of Endgame, Spider-man gets the loudest reception of all the returning heroes. His death scene in IW impacted a lot of people and is one of the few truly pop culture moments that everyone will remember years from now.

 

[metaphysician]

"Superhero Fatigue" is what it has always been: a myth. Its only existed as either a longed-for dream by critics who hate popular culture, or a convenient excuse for studios who want to explain why their bad movie is not actually bad.

 

[MahvelBaby!]

If superhero fatigue ever really happens I truly believe the MCU is exempt from it.

 

[Iceman]

"Superhero Fatigue" is what it has always been: a myth. Its only existed as either a longed-for dream by critics who hate popular culture, or a convenient excuse for studios who want to explain why their bad movie is not actually bad.

I love the example of Westerns that is always thrown out there. A genre that is totally focused on a particular historical setting.

 

[Kuwolski]

844.3 m global. Billion fast approaching.

#reademandweep

 

[Xarus]

The fatigue will happen when the MCU starts dropping the ball hard. Right now, they are alone in the castle. Fox Marvel is no more and WB has moved away from the shared universe aspect and they are doing sequels to successful DC movies without having some trajectory.

The second biggest reason the MCU is going up is that there is a trajectory. The Infinity Saga had an overarching plot that some times impacted solo movies and sometimes it didn't. Fox and WB never had that. WB tried to do it with BvS and JL and it failed spectacularily. Fox never gave a second thought over continuity and overall ambition.

Some times it worked like in Logan which benefited from its standalone nature but the overall franchise suffered from underdeveloped characters and hopping decades with no overall plan. So overall the genere will stand tall as long as the MCU stands tall.

 

[Schlosser85]

Even the MCU's lesser movies have at least been watchable and moderately entertaining. They haven't put out anything that's as much of an abject trainwreck as Batman v Superman.

 

[samsnee]

Right, they've definitely found a groove. Black Widow is the biggest question mark for me. She has no real "powers", is getting a movie about 5 years too late, and we've seen a couple of "female kicking ass" movies the last couple of years (Atomic Blonde, Red Sparrow). I honestly have no idea how it will do.

 

[shinlyle]

Even the MCU's lesser movies have at least been watchable and moderately entertaining. They haven't put out anything that's as much of an abject trainwreck as Batman v Superman.

Truth....although I still look at the BvS defenders and wonder how they cope with and defend such a truly BAD film. On top of it's failure, Captain America: Civil War came out after that, based around the premise of superhero collateral damage (much like BvS), and it killed at the box office. I remember it well because my son was a HUGE Batman fan up until that point. He finally got to see Batman in "the big movies", and he was just disappointed. A month or so later, and Civil War happened. Spidey landed with that shield, and he's been all Spider-Man all the time ever since then.

The truth is, there should have been NO scenario where BvS did NOT make a billion worldwide. Batman + Superman + Wonder Woman should have equaled 1.2 billion without breaking a sweat! The fact that the Justice League movie didn't even match the gross for The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (the least of the Spidey films) should show just how little faith there was in the product. People wanted EPIC, and they got...bland. Now, I'm in the minority who LIKED Justice League. I didn't LOVE it, but had it came out 20 years ago, it would have KILLED! However, we are in a post-Avengers world, and just having a few characters fighting mindless drones and a TOTALLY lame villain just won't cut it...especially when you meet half of the team for the FIRST time in the film, only for them to do basically nothing but wait for Superman (wow, it was like a Dragonball Z episode, huh?).

Ahem, and Aquaman is the highest grossing DC movie ever. Chew on that. Aquaman. I still haven't seen it because...well...it's Aquaman...but BvS and JL got bested...by Aquaman. This is like if Ant-man had out-grossed the Avengers (and I like Ant-Man).

The "fatigue" comes from consumers having a plethora of choices, and them choosing to not watch the crap that gets produced.