Far From Home Spider-Man: Far From Home ---- Official Box Office Prediction Thread

[Shuri]

Glad to see this movie still going strong at the box office. I can't wait for this to hit a billion, I know the perfect gif to celebrate with.

 

[Iceman]

It’s been a full house this year. Both solo films got (easily) over the billion mark, and the event film got (miles) over the 2 billion mark. 4B from the 3 films would have been a great achievement and instead we are getting 5B.

 

[shinlyle]

So Usa it should be around 320 by the end of the weekend. By the next weekend the 4th weekend it should be very close to hc.

Not to mention that Homecoming got to where it was despite a horrible second weekend drop, but amazing legs that carried it the rest of the way. Should Far From Home keep it's numbers solid and display the legs of Homecoming, Spidey could potentially rake in more than anticipated.

 

[InCali]

The numbers are getting crazier. I wonder what the MCU will be doing in 10 years.

I'm guessing they'll still be trying to count all the money they made from Endgame.....

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Tuesday estimate:

Spider-Man: Far From Home Sony Pictures $8,825,000 +60% 4,634 $1,904 $288,935,112

Looks like 300 domestic on Friday. Maaaaaybe Thursday, but likely Friday.

 

[spiderman2]

Tuesday estimate:

Spider-Man: Far From Home Sony Pictures $8,825,000 +60% 4,634 $1,904 $288,935,112

Looks like 300 domestic on Friday. Maaaaaybe Thursday, but likely Friday.

Really good hold if you look at hc and its second tuesday it was like 1.2 million lower and this is far from homes 3erd tuesday but second post release tuesday because of the tuesday instead of friday release.

 

[spiderman2]

Not to mention that Homecoming got to where it was despite a horrible second weekend drop, but amazing legs that carried it the rest of the way. Should Far From Home keep it's numbers solid and display the legs of Homecoming, Spidey could potentially rake in more than anticipated.

Yeah hc had good legs out side of a big second weekend drop. This is looking to have good legs but with out having a bad 1 week drop.

 

[JKKS085]

The numbers are getting crazier. I wonder what the MCU will be doing in 10 years.

In 5 years they will be doing 4 movies a year on a regular basis (February/March - May- July/August - November) + 3 mini-series/year on Disney+. At which point their biggest competition is going to be themselves and 5B+ years aren't going to be outliers anymore.

I do believe that we are going to hit saturation market at some point (and I trust that Kevin Feige and other people at Marvel Studios are well aware of that) but as long as their movies are thriving and helping one another succeed I can only see them expanding their reach. Success breeds success after all. Phase 4 is going to be a wild ride.

 

[Iceman]

In 5 years they will be doing 4 movies a year on a regular basis (February/March - May- July/August - November) + 3 mini-series/year on Disney+. At which point their biggest competition is going to be themselves and 5B+ years aren't going to be outliers anymore.

I do believe that we are going to hit saturation market at some point (and I trust that Kevin Feige and other people at Marvel Studios are well aware of that) but as long as their movies are thriving and helping one another succeed I can only see them expanding their reach. Success breeds success after all. Phase 4 is going to be a wild ride.

Yes, 4 films a year needs to happen asap. And then in an event film year, the combined numbers are going to be astronomical.

I think saturation point will be reached soon in mature markets, but in advancing economies, we can see significant growth even after they reach saturation point, just from much faster rising prices and the percentage of the population going to see films rising.

 

[shinlyle]

I think the saturation will negatively affect it when, honestly, the product diminishes. I'm not talking about quality, but also getting to characters that people aren't too hyped about or that have been done to death. When we start seeing Champions and Power Pack and Alpha Flight as the BIG summer movie, then we may be seeing the downturn...or not. I mean, Guardians of the Galaxy wasn't even within spitting distance of the C-list, and then....BOOM. Dancing Groot on every kid's shelf.

I'm just going to enjoy the ride until it ends. I've had 6 good films with Spidey in it in the past 4 years(?). I can't complain at all.

 

[MahvelBaby!]

We've been getting properties people don't care about since the beginning though. lol

never forget that head line

When Iron Man was announced as their first venture.

 

[spiderman2]

Getting very close to 900 million and even closer to spiderman 3's 890 for top spiderman box office movie. Movie after Tuesday was at 859 and that was with out OS from Monday and Tuesday. The movie made around 13.3 USA on those 2 days put together. If its OS numbers are those 2 days were like double its USA numbers then you are looking at like 26-27 for those days to put the movie at 886. With todays numbers it will have likely passed spiderman 3s. Today should be around 5 million. That would put it at 864 then + OS of Monday-wesday. If its OS was only 1.5 times its USA for those 3 days and not double than you are looking at around 28 from OS added to the 864 to put it just passed spiderman 3s at 892.

 

[Iceman]

Tuesday estimate:

Spider-Man: Far From Home Sony Pictures $8,825,000 +60% 4,634 $1,904 $288,935,112

Looks like 300 domestic on Friday. Maaaaaybe Thursday, but likely Friday.

That’s s really good number and better than I expected for this Tuesday. FFH is looking like a decent hold overall so far.

 

[Iceman]

We've been getting properties people don't care about since the beginning though. lol

never forget that head line

When Iron Man was announced as their first venture.

Yeah, how much awareness did the GA have of Cap Marvel, Black Panther and Guardians ahead of time?

 

[8ulk87]

Even the MCU's lesser movies have at least been watchable and moderately entertaining. They haven't put out anything that's as much of an abject trainwreck as Batman v Superman.

Truth....although I still look at the BvS defenders and wonder how they cope with and defend such a truly BAD film. On top of it's failure,

Has any of you watched any BvS or MoS in depth analysis on youtube ? I doubt it.
Both movies are deep in a way Marvel movies could only dream of.
Sure this can be pretentious at times but the "MCU fun" films arent innocent in that regard either.

I think people do not appreciate dark movies anymore.

I want my movies diverse. If every superhero movie takes the "MCU fun" route i would get dissapointed a lot.

For me Watchmen , MoS and BvS UE are masterpieces of cinema despite their few flaws.

 

[shinlyle]

Yeah, how much awareness did the GA have of Cap Marvel, Black Panther and Guardians ahead of time?

True. I think the Marvel brand is just selling so well, now. Not trying to start an argument, but look at Captain Marvel. It was a very mediocre film as far as the MCU goes. There wasn't a lot that was really groundbreaking about it. Wonder Woman beat her to the punch by 2 years (and did it better), but it was Marvel (it was even in the name), and it cleared a billion like it was nothing! Character that, when that pager went off in Infinity War, half of the audience was like, "Uh...what is that symbol?"

I honestly think the only reason Homecoming didn't shatter a billion was because we were only a year or 2 removed from Amazing Spider-Man 2, and our third Spidey in 10 years. Now, Holland has the part nailed, and he is the one and only Spider-Man for a few years and 5 films.

Only time will tell is Endgame was the ceiling or not.

 

[shinlyle]

Has any of you watched any BvS or MoS in depth analysis on youtube ? I doubt it.
Both movies are deep in a way Marvel movies could only dream of.
Sure this can be pretentious at times but the "MCU fun" films arent innocent in that regard either.

I think people do not appreciate dark movies anymore.

I want my movies diverse. If every superhero movie takes the "MCU fun" route i would get dissapointed a lot.

For me Watchmen , MoS and BvS UE are masterpieces of cinema despite their few flaws.

I'll give you Watchmen, but MoS was disaster-porn. BvS was only good if you read between the lines and interpreted what was unsaid...which shouldn't have to be done in the first ever meeting between two of the premier superheroes ever. Also, when you cut out such vital story beats as were put back in for the Ultimate Edition, you have to wonder where there priorities were.

Watchmen was deep because it came from a particularly deep and dense source material. The changes made were fitting, and the actors just...delivered. I still love that film, and Snyder was perfect for it. His interviews about and since BvS have proven that he does NOT get Batman no Superman. Dark doesn't always equal deep...and when it comes to Superman, if he doesn't inspire, then it's a failure. That's something he hasn't done in films since Superman 2, IMHO.

 

[8ulk87]

I'll give you Watchmen, but MoS was disaster-porn. BvS was only good if you read between the lines and interpreted what was unsaid...which shouldn't have to be done in the first ever meeting between two of the premier superheroes ever. Also, when you cut out such vital story beats as were put back in for the Ultimate Edition, you have to wonder where there priorities were.

Watchmen was deep because it came from a particularly deep and dense source material. The changes made were fitting, and the actors just...delivered. I still love that film, and Snyder was perfect for it. His interviews about and since BvS have proven that he does NOT get Batman no Superman. Dark doesn't always equal deep...and when it comes to Superman, if he doesn't inspire, then it's a failure.

WB execs butchered Snyder's vision of BvS and destroyed JL.

Yes im aware dark doesnt equal deep.

I was saying those movies are dark and deep.

Also MoS is an origin story. Clark Kent didnt became Superman until the very end.
Plus i dont think smiles and saving cats from tree signals that you take the character of Superman seriously as a film creator.

 

[Schlosser85]

I don't think never letting him actually act like Superman signals that you take him seriously either.

 

[shinlyle]

WB execs butchered Snyder's vision of BvS and destroyed JL.

Yes im aware dark doesnt equal deep.

I was saying those movies are dark and deep.

Also MoS is an origin story. Clark Kent didnt became Superman until the very end.
Plus i dont think smiles and saving cats from tree signals that you take the character of Superman seriously as a film creator.

It's not about the cats in the trees, it's about him caring more about saving the people than punching the bad guy, which should always be Superman's primary goal. WB execs shredded BvS, but JL needed interference. The problem was that Snyder wanted to do BvS 2 (which the public didn't want), and Whedon wanted to do Avengers again, which we did NOT work in the context of the DARK DCU.

I don't think never letting him actually act like Superman signals that you take him seriously either.

THIS.

 

[Iceman]

Nolan’s trilogy was super-popular and well-received across the board, with TDK the most popular. That was plenty dark. I’m sure another TDK equivalent with an appropriate character today would be very popular too.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Wednesday estimate:

Spider-Man: Far From Home Sony Pictures $5,400,000 -39% 4,634 $1,165 $294,332,208

Will hit 300 domestic Friday morning. Not too shabby for just 18 days.

 

[spiderman2]

Wednesday estimate:

Spider-Man: Far From Home Sony Pictures $5,400,000 -39% 4,634 $1,165 $294,332,208

Will hit 300 domestic Friday morning. Not too shabby for just 18 days.

Yeah hc i think took 35 days to hit 300 and far from home will be close after 17 has it will only be a million or so from it after thursday. Also after wensday ww at 864 with out monday-wensday os. Usa made around 19 million the last 3 days. If os double like it had been that would be 38 added to the 864 to get it ti 904 but mosr likely the os has dropped of some. But even if its os has been only 1.5 times tgmhe last 3 days that would be around 28 to get the movie to 892 or about 1 million above spiderman 3 for best ww for a spiderman movie. Should hit 900 million today. 864+ say 4 for thursday =868+ say 34 os if 1.5 = 902. If some how its still making double os then it would be 868+46 to = 914.

 

[8ulk87]

I don't think never letting him actually act like Superman signals that you take him seriously either.

Sure but the point is he isnt Superman yet in MoS.

Plus the MoS and BvS duology is a darker version , a "what if this was true" scenario. Certain aspects shouldnt be surprising then.

I personally think those 2 movies are misunderstood.

 

[Chesterfield]

Lol please. MoS, BvS and especially JL are terrible movies. There's nothing to misunderstand. I remember watching that video by Brett Culp and when he started crying...heh, I couldn't believe the bs that I was witnessing. Look, I get there are people who do like Snyder's DCEU movies and that's cool but there are a vast majority who rightfully regard them as garbage and it has nothing to do with misunderstanding the movies. If there's any misunderstanding at all it's coming from Snyder and the WB/DCEU execs who have repeatedly demonstrated more often than not their incapability to make a compelling and exciting film based on some of the most iconic characters in all of fiction.