Far From Home Spider-Man: Far From Home ---- Official Box Office Prediction Thread

[SomeOldGuy]

From BOT’s insider Charlie:

Projection from the very early numbers around $50-52mn (+/-5%) true Tuesday

Very early but that would be a great start. We’ll see if it holds.

 

[Shuri]

Im gonna say FFH will open at $130 mil. I think $120 mil is a bit low.

Could have been $140 mil if it had a Friday to Sunday opening.

I'm going to say 150 plus...because I live in a fantasy land that I want to be a reality.

200m for the six days.

 

[Erzengel]

Love Superman, but I think the character is outdated.

So is Cap, literally. Now he's arguably one of the most popular MCU characters.

 

[8ulk87]

200m for the six days.

Id say around $215 mil for the six day.

 

[Shuri]

So is Cap, literally. Now he's arguably one of the most popular MCU characters.

Cap is not outdated IMO. It didn't take much to make Cap cool. Superman is going to take a lot more for people to see him as a cool character. It's not going to be an easy thing to do, if it were, someone would have done it by now.

 

[Erzengel]

Cap is not outdated IMO. It didn't take much to make Cap cool. Superman is going to take a lot more for people to see him as a cool character. It's not going to be an easy thing to do, if it were, someone would have done it by now.

Cap didn't hit peak "coolness" until TWS, 3 movies in.

 

[Shuri]

Id say around $215 mil for the six day.

Fingers crossed.

 

[spiderman2]

Id say around $215 mil for the six day.

Is that good? With it being 6 days I dont really known like how that compares to other movies. What is being said about its Friday-sunday number? How might those numbers compare to HC? I think what will be interesting is how does its second and 3erd weekends perform. The reason I am interested in how the second and third weekend go is because its second weekend will be its first regular weekend with out a holiday around it has this weekends numbers may be changed some by the 4th of July has some people may go to the movies on Thursday that would see the movie on like Friday-sunday instead if not for the holiday and with its 3erd weekend lion king comes out so it will be interesting to see how that effects this movies legs. So from weekend 2 to 3 I think will give us a great idea of how this movies legs will be.

 

[8ulk87]

Is that good? With it being 6 days I dont really known like how that compares to other movies. What is being said about its Friday-sunday number? How might those numbers compare to HC? I think what will be interesting is how does its second and 3erd weekends perform. The reason I am interested in how the second and third weekend go is because its second weekend will be its first regular weekend with out a holiday around it has this weekends numbers may be changed some by the 4th of July has some people may go to the movies on Thursday that would see the movie on like Friday-sunday instead if not for the holiday and with its 3erd weekend lion king comes out so it will be interesting to see how that effects this movies legs. So from weekend 2 to 3 I think will give us a great idea of how this movies legs will be.

Oh its very good. Even if it misses it by a small margin.

FFH is looking at $375-450 mil US and $950-1150 WW.

Im seeing it tomorrow. 22 hours and 30 minutes to go.
Hope its really good cause im not fond of the first one tbh.

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

‘Spider-Man: Far From Home’ Kicks Off With Rare Midnight Shows In U.S. – Deadline

UPDATED, Tuesday, 11:54 AM: Industry estimates have Sony/Marvel’s Spider-Man: Far From Home averaging around $43 million in its opening day, with the possibility it might be seriously higher or as low as $38M. Those figures include the $2.8M-$3M midnight showtimes.

These numbers do not come from Sony, and there are lots of variables here whether the pic goes up or down: Do the fanboys comes out on a Tuesday night? And in regards to the long run, will bad weather on July 4th spike business? Will tomorrow’s travel day for the holiday slow down business? All of this will determine how far north of $150M we get over six days.

Spider-Man: Homecoming posted a first Friday of $50.78M including $15.4M previews. Back out those previews, and Homecoming‘s Friday was $35.4M.

 

[Ctfxcwatcher]

Glad the movie is doing great. I loved it so much.

 

[The Caped Knight]

It stands to make a serious amount of money for sure this film is the fun summer blockbuster for the whole family to enjoy. I've seen it twice and the theater have been packed with kids and families.

 

[8ulk87]

From Boxofficemojo.

With no preview showings last night, Far from Home began playing in 4,634 theaters today and Sony is anticipating an opening around $125 million for the film's first six days, which seems quite conservative. Industry expectations are closer to $170-190 million for the six-day frame and we're definitely within that range for a multitude of reasons. To begin, reviews have been almost entirely positive — 92% on RottenTomatoes and 69 on Metacritic — and online ticket retailer Fandango.com reports the film is out-pacing Spider-Man: Homecoming at the same point in the sales cycle.

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

 

[JOE]

This is outstanding! The word of mouth is amazing for this. Had such a great time last night. I loved this movie, it's up there with SM and SM2 for me.

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

‘Spider-Man: Far From Home’ Kicks Off With Rare Midnight Shows In U.S. – Deadline

3rd Update, Wednesday AM: Sony is calling the first day of Marvel’s Spider-Man: Far From Home at $39.3M and rivals see it at that level as well. Meanwhile, A24’s Ari Aster horror pic Midsommar got off to a smashing start in previews with $1.1M.

Far From beats the Tuesday opening day of Sony’s Amazing Spider-Man which posted $35M and legged out to a $137M opening over six-days. Some still wonder why Sony went with a Tuesday launch, thinking that there’s some money left on the table with discount Tuesdays, but, hey, close to third of yesterday’s business was made from Imax and PLFs. Also, as we mentioned previously, between today and tomorrow, close to 49M people are expected to hit the roads. Screen Engine/ComScore PostTrak exits are fantastic with 4 1/2 stars last night for general audiences (who made up 68% of the crowd), 5 stars for parents and 4 1/2 stars for kids under 12 (combined 32% of the crowd). A great 76% definite recommend. Far From Home drew a crowd that was 63% male,s 37% female with under 25 dominating at 56%.

 

[terry78]

The only thing opening against it is Midsommar which is obviously gonna be an acquired taste.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

 

[MahvelBaby!]

Definitely taking my kids to watch Midsommar trololololol

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

‘Spider-Man: Far From Home’ Zips To $120 Million In China Through Tuesday – Deadline

WEDNESDAY UPDATE: Swinging along with what we reported yesterday (see below), the international box office cume on Sony/Marvel’s Spider-Man: Far From Home is $150.4M through Tuesday. A great portion of that comes from China where the Jon Watts-directed sequel launched last weekend. But play in newcomer markets is also robust as the rollout continues this week and is poised to surpass industry projections for overseas. Including domestic, $500M+ worldwide through Sunday looks assured.

In offshore play, the UK grossed $3.4M on a non-traditional Tuesday opening and landed 70% higher than Spider-Man: Homecoming (which debuted on a Wednesday) and 78% bigger than Doctor Strange (which also was a Tuesday start).

Korea, which was considered a potential swing market ahead of the bow, is leaning into Spidey. After debuting at No.1 on Tuesday, it is still dominating in early Wednesday estimates at $3.6M for an $8.9M running cume. This is the biggest first two-day total for a standalone superhero movie, and in those two days FFH is running 38% over Homecoming and 55% above Captain Marvel.

Not included in the through-Tuesday cume above is China’s $8.5M Wednesday estimate which brings the local total to $128.4M. The next weekend, with little in the way of competition, will help to decide FFH’s ultimate number, and hopes are that it will spin above $200M. Next Monday begins a vacation period in the Middle Kingdom.

South East Asia opening markets are still coming in with their numbers, which are so far looking like 40% above Homecoming, and we will continue to update through the week/weekend.

 

[MahvelBaby!]

In a situation like this what would be a great actual weekend number this weekend?

 

[spiderman2]

Any idea for wensday numbers yet?

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

‘Spider-Man: Far From Home’ Waking Up Summer Box Office With $150M+ 6-Day Gross – Deadline

WEDNESDAY MIDDAY UPDATE: After posting a record Tuesday opening day of $39.3M, Sony/Marvel’s Spider-Man: Far From Home is looking at a second day of $26M, and possibly even higher if the fanboys continue to come out tonight. That brings the Jon Watts’ directed sequel’s two-day tally to $65.3M.

 

[Stark Bauer]

FFH OW (6 days - Tuesday to Sunday)

$200 M + easily.

Total domestic BO prediction:

$450-550 M

Total worldwide BO:

$1-1.4 billion

 

[Shuri]

This movie is awesome and very rewatchable. I see this having good legs.