Star Trek into Darkness Box Office Prediction Thread

[Picard Sisko]

I would love to watch the Star Trek movie trilogy in theaters (Wrath of Khan, Search for Spock, and the Voyage Home), as well as First Contact.

 

[Bowie]

I went with 300, but it'll probably make more.

 

[redhawk23]

I'm going to guess around 550 million.

 

[Tony Stark]

I'm hoping this thing has legs, because I'm reading on BoT and it's pretty depressing. Nikki Finke's early numbers have it at 26-27M for Friday, and the Thursday and Wed, midnight numbers are about half of what was predicted.

What's sad is that this is a movie both Trek and non-Trek fans can enjoy, but I think the 4 year wait, killed whatever audience increase this movie might have had.

 

[DKDetective]

I'm hoping this thing has legs, because I'm reading on BoT and it's pretty depressing. Nikki Finke's early numbers have it at 26-27M for Friday, and the Thursday and Wed, midnight numbers are about half of what was predicted.

What's sad is that this is a movie both Trek and non-Trek fans can enjoy, but I think the 4 year wait, killed whatever audience increase this movie might have had.

Good, as an old Trek fan who disliked the film, nothing would make me happier than this film underperforming.

 

[danoyse]

I'm hoping this thing has legs, because I'm reading on BoT and it's pretty depressing. Nikki Finke's early numbers have it at 26-27M for Friday, and the Thursday and Wed, midnight numbers are about half of what was predicted.

What's sad is that this is a movie both Trek and non-Trek fans can enjoy, but I think the 4 year wait, killed whatever audience increase this movie might have had.

Or that many moviegoers didn't realize it was out Thursday, since it was a last-minute change. My sister had no idea it was already out when we told her we were on our way to see it yesterday. She thought it was out today.

 

[Sawyer]

Good, as an old Trek fan who disliked the film, nothing would make me happier than this film underperforming.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Or that many moviegoers didn't realize it was out Thursday, since it was a last-minute change. My sister had no idea it was already out when we told her we were on our way to see it yesterday. She thought it was out today.

I have been looking forward to this film for 4 years, have been checking updates, and even I didn't realize it came out on Thursday until Thursday.

But the truth is, I am thinking many have been possibly overrating how well this is going to do.

 

[danoyse]

They sent teaser posters to fans who posted those #the1701 hashtags on Twitter two weeks ago (I got one! t: ), and even those still had the date as 5/17.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

They sent teaser posters to fans who posted those #the1701 hashtags on Twitter two weeks ago (I got one! t: ), and even those still had the date as 5/17.

Wow. I am not quite sure if that is funny or sad.

Thank the Maker the movie rocked.

 

[DKDetective]

Grow up. What is so worthy of derision? It is perfectly acceptable for people around here to want movies they liked to make money, what is wrong with wanting a movie you dislike to do poorly especially one which you feel betrays the ideals of the franchise? Friggin' double standard.

 

[danoyse]

Sawyer - knock it off witht he rolleyes.

DKDetective - it's fine that you want it to underperform because you didn't like it. But it's still a loaded comment that's going to get blowback from the people who did. It's just what happens in these threads, despite our efforts to keep them out.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Grow up. What is so worthy of derision? It is perfectly acceptable for people around here to want movies they liked to make money, what is wrong with wanting a movie you dislike to do poorly especially one which you feel betrays the ideals of the franchise? Friggin' double standard.

I think it is the inherent nastiness.

 

[DKDetective]

I think it is the inherent nastiness.

But there isn't inherent nastiness if you have read any of my other posts on this sub-forum. I have been very measured in my appraisal saying that I can understand why many will like it (strong performances, witty dialogue, etc), but that because of my personal feelings about what Star Trek means to me and what I feel makes Star Trek Star Trek, I really dislike the movie.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

But there isn't inherent nastiness if you have read any of my other posts on this sub-forum. I have been very measured in my appraisal saying that I can understand why many will like it (strong performances, witty dialogue, etc), but that because of my personal feelings about what Star Trek means to me and what I feel makes Star Trek Star Trek, I really dislike the movie.

I just think going around and saying you want something to fail is at the very least a little nasty. Especially when you preface it with the "Old Trek fan" tag. I say this as someone who has done it at times unknowingly.

 

[danoyse]

But there isn't inherent nastiness if you have read any of my other posts on this sub-forum. I have been very measured in my appraisal saying that I can understand why many will like it (strong performances, witty dialogue, etc), but that because of my personal feelings about what Star Trek means to me and what I feel makes Star Trek Star Trek, I really dislike the movie.

Here's the thing.

I rolled my eyes when I read that comment. I just wasn't stupid enough to post an emoticon version of the same expression, because that's rude and you're certainly free to express an opinion that I don't share.

But I'm fairly good at keeping that in check when I see a comment I disagree with (especially as a mod who has to keep reminding others not to do it)...others, are not so good at it. It happened with people who posted similar reactions on the Iron Man 3 box office thread a few weeks ago, and got pretty much the same response, and it will happen with any other box office thread from here to infinitum.

And why did I roll my eyes? Because I'm an old Star Trek fan, as is my dad, who's been a fan since the original series first aired, and we both loved the movie. In fact, my aunt, who was one of the biggest 'original' Star Trek fans I've ever known (right down to the crush on Leonard Nimoy), hasn't seen it yet, but I know she is going to freaking love it too. So I just thought the comment was silly because it certainly isn't representative of all Star Trek fans' opinions of the film. The ones in my life couldn't be happier over the film, and are already planning to see it again.

Again...you're just as entitled to dislike it, and say as much. And please report any obnoxious comments that come your away, because a mod will handle it. I've seen your posts on this forum, and you're no troublemaker.

But I've been here long enough to know that comments like that get the responses that they do. It's just an dumb aspect of open forums, unfortunately.

 

[Dude of Steel]

Even if this movie underperforms, it'll still do better than almost every other Star Trek movie. Even when adjusted for inflation, the `09 Star Trek is the highest grossing film in the series.

 

[DKDetective]

I just think going around and saying you want something to fail is at the very least a little nasty. Especially when you preface it with the "Old Trek fan" tag. I say this as someone who has done it at times unknowingly.

I'm sorry I didn't go into depth why my love of Old Trek makes me dislike this film, I foolishly assumed that my numerous posts in other threads filled that in and clarified that I'm not saying that old Trek fans should hate this movie, just that that was a quick explanation of where my dislike comes from..

This all goes back to that discussion we were having on the MOS boards about how you thought Superman should be a Boy Scout, a guy who walks softly carrying a big stick and that you disliked the pre-occupation with trying to turn him to a Batman-esque "badass"/antihero. You argued that each had their own unique appeal and place. That is how I feel about Star Trek and Star Wars and, frankly, I'm really disliking how Abrams is turning Trek into a Star Wars-esque property with the heroic myth arcs and talk of destiny and fate and all that. I was fine with a little bit of that in ST09 because Star Trek badly needed some fun and adventure injected back in. TOS was very much a swashbuckling adventure show, but it was also traditional science fiction - about subtle social commentary and allegory and science-based plots (like current movies like Inception).For me, STID went far too far into Star Wars territory and was filled with inferior rehashes of classic Trek scenes and plots which just felt like cheap fan service. I can't help but be glad that the numbers are not looking so good because it makes me feel like maybe more people out there share my ideas about what is important about Trek and that it should stay true to its unique legacy.

And why did I roll my eyes? Because I'm an old Star Trek fan, as is my dad, who's been a fan since the original series first aired, and we both loved the movie. In fact, my aunt, who was one of the biggest 'original' Star Trek fans I've ever known (right down to the crush on Leonard Nimoy), hasn't seen it yet, but I know she is going to freaking love it too. So I just thought the comment was silly because it certainly isn't representative of all Star Trek fans' opinions of the film. The ones in my life couldn't be happier over the film, and are already planning to see it again.

Apologies, as I think I have clarified, it was not my intention to make it sound like I was speaking for all old Trek fans, just expressing that the film does not coincide with what Trek means to me. I saw the movie with my next door neighbour from childhood who was like my big brother and who introduced me to Trek and he loved the film.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

I think danoyse covered it perfectly. It has nothing to do with your opinion. Everyone is of course entitled to theirs. I just think any post like that is looking for something. It is a dig, and not all that well hidden. I say this as someone who has done the same thing only to realize later I probably should have just not made that post.

 

[Tony Stark]

Deadline and RTH have it between 25 and 27M for Friday so it looks like it will end up 90M for the weekend.

The movie was fantastic, and I'm so glad I stayed away from the spoilers. I was totally blown away by the reveal. Nicely done JJ.

 

[The Caped Knight]

for sure this will be number 1 at the box office for a least two weeks.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

for sure this will be number 1 at the box office for a least two weeks.

It will not be #1 next weekend. Not a chance.

 

[The Caped Knight]

It will not be #1 next weekend. Not a chance.

why because of Fast 6 ?

 

[Liam_H]

Most definitely, that and the Hangover 3 will be huge competition for it. It seems one of the main reasons Paramount released it one day earlier so late was to give it an extra day of business.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Most definitely, that and the Hangover 3 will be huge competition for it. It seems one of the main reasons Paramount released it one day earlier so late was to give it an extra day of business.

What Liam said.