Superman (2025) Box Office Thread

[GreenKToo]

I'm just guessing ( obviously) but I think Superman will have a 110 to 120 million ow.
It will probably go on to make ( roughly) 300/350 mill in the u.s., and roughly 350/400 million foreign.

All this depends on if it's any good of course.
It's staying power is key. WOM has to be good to great to achieve this.

It can't be too silly or goofy, but it can't be too doom and gloom either.
A perfect balance of humor and seriousness has to be found.

 

[GreenKToo]

If it's like really, REALLY good, I think even 800 mill is possible, but that's a stretch.

Gone are the days of automatically thinking a film is gonna make a billion because it has superman, batman, joker, or Spiderman in the title.

The public has wised up. You actually have to make the films good now, and the entire world will know it minutes after it opens thanks to smart phones and social media.
The reactions will be either, don't waste your money, or, you HAVE to see this!!!

Fool me once shame on you. Fool me twice, Shame on me.

 

[DCDAVE]

I'm just guessing ( obviously) but I think Superman will have a 110 to 120 million ow.
It will probably go on to make ( roughly) 300/350 mill in the u.s., and roughly 350/400 million foreign.

All this depends on if it's any good of course.
It's staying power is key. WOM has to be good to great to achieve this.

It can't be too silly or goofy, but it can't be too doom and gloom either.
A perfect balance of humor and seriousness has to be found.

Wow so you think it will only make $180 million after opening weekend in America with only Fantastic 4 as competition for the rest of the summer. That would be awful.

 

[GreenKToo]

I think its reasonable considering the hill it has to climb.
It will ( if it's really good ) hopefully only drop 40 to 50% it's 2nd weekend, taking in roughly 50 to 60 million.
The 3rd weekend, probably 30 to 40 mill (ish).
By the 4th, it will probably be in the 15 to 20 mill range.

I'd love to be wrong and see it make 800mill +, but I just don't think it will. But it's possible I guess.

Of course, it has to be good first to have a chance at 700/750 mill world wide.
Regardless, it's going to make a 3rd or close to half it's u.s box office it's ow.

Devil's advocate here, if it's bad, a 70% drop could be coming it's 2nd weekend.

 

[AverageMan]

Unless F4 is dead on arrival, it will affect Superman's 3rd weekend onwards.
$300m would be a solid domestic result.

 

[GreenKToo]

Man that footage. I think Gunn has nailed superman.
And so, I'm really tempted to revise my prediction up, but I'm gonna hold serve, for now.

 

[DCDAVE]

I just spent $54 dollars for two tickets for Sinners. That is the problem with movie box office for the summer. The ticket prices are out of control. Some people will have to choose between opening weekends for Jurassic World, Superman, and FF4. To me that is crazy especially if you have a family of 4. We talking about a $100 for a two and a half hour experience. It will be intriguing to watch what happens this summer.

 

[Karelia]

Superman is getting premium money from me. I will check out F4 probably on matinee. Jurassic Park, I may or may not go to, depending on my wife. She likes JP, so if she wants to go, I'm going lol!

 

[AverageMan]

JP has jumped the shark for me with what I read coming out of Cinema Con.
Not really fussed on F4 - might see it if my mates want to.
So it's Superman all the way for me.

 

[GreenKToo]

I'll be there for the midnight showing
( if my theater has one )

 

[DCDAVE]

I know the Superman preview has little effect on the Minecraft box office but that movie is kicking booty. Jason Momoa as Lobo for Supergirl was a genius idea by DC. Wow!! Just Wow!!!

 

[B]

I just spent $54 dollars for two tickets for Sinners. That is the problem with movie box office for the summer. The ticket prices are out of control. Some people will have to choose between opening weekends for Jurassic World, Superman, and FF4. To me that is crazy especially if you have a family of 4. We talking about a $100 for a two and a half hour experience. It will be intriguing to watch what happens this summer.

The prices worldwide are part of a much wider problem, in the last 10+ years the prices have risen at a quicker rate than I can ever remember in my lifetime, doubling or even tripling in some places. It's a contributing factor in the general lower turnout in cinemas for sure.

If as many people see Superman as they did Man of Steel in 2013, with today's prices Superman would be a $1b film or not far from it.

 

[Mysteryman]

The prices worldwide are part of a much wider problem, in the last 10+ years the prices have risen at a quicker rate than I can ever remember in my lifetime, doubling or even tripling in some places. It's a contributing factor in the general lower turnout in cinemas for sure.

If as many people see Superman as they did Man of Steel in 2013, with today's prices Superman would be a $1b film or not far from it.

IF!

 

[GreenKToo]

The true test of this for me will be after my first viewing, if I instantly want to watch it again.
If it can do that for me, then I'm sure it can for others also.

 

[Lily Adler]

IF!

 

[GreenKToo]

Despite what a certain segment or cult believe, this will be successful.

The only question I have is, just how successful?
I think the floor is around 600/650 mill. ( that's if it's "just" ok )

The ceiling? No idea. 750 mill and north. If it's really good, the sky's the limit.

Really tho, it will depend on the re-watchable factor.

 

[Lily Adler]

I see I'm the fool for putting $800 million.

 

[GreenKToo]

I see I'm the fool for putting $800 million.

You may not be. It's really hard to say.
I think this does 700 mill+. Maybe even 800 if it's as good as I think it will be.

 

[FlareKnight]

All we can do is wait and see. Perfectly aware that it's a foolish thing, but I'm going to stick with my billion guess. It's not guaranteed and these days nothing truly is. There's a lot of factors that could keep it significantly lower than that.

But I just feel like this movie will work. That it can be the Superman movie that I've been hoping to see for a long time. The trailers just look good and fill me with hope that the movie will be good. And in the end you need that before anything else.

It's going to be tough. But I just get the feeling it has the ability to grab a wide audience and will be good enough to keep people coming back.

 

[GreenKToo]

I'm not saying you're wrong, or right.
But imvho, it's gonna be extremely hard for it to get to a billion.
Namely, it hasn't been that long since the last superman on film, then it has serious competition from F4 and jurassic park part 17.

Even if everything goes it's way, I think 800 mill, maaaybe 850 mill, would be the ceiling.
I would love for you to be right tho. Stranger things have happened.

My guess is 750 mill (ish ). I may revise it after the trailer comes out.

 

[GreenKToo]

The last time I've seen 3 huge films go up against each other in the same month was 07.
Shrek 3, Spiderman 3, and potc 3.
All 3 did well.

 

[DCDAVE]

The last time I've seen 3 huge films go up against each other in the same month was 07.
Shrek 3, Spiderman 3, and potc 3.
All 3 did well.

The first test is coming up with Thunderbolts, Lilo, and MI. I am also interested to seeing how Sinners does with Thunderbolts opening weekend. Maybe there is plenty of space for all these movies to succeed.

 

[DarkKnight88]

I've felt for a while that Thunderbolts is going to underperform and that Sinners will retake #1 the weekend following its opening.

Lilo & Stitch and MI: Final Reckoning will both likely open well with Lilo opening bigger. But they've got different audiences which will help.

AS for Superman, there's still a lot of time for hype to build. I think we'll get a better idea once June rolls around.

 

[GreenKToo]

It's hard to believe we are just a little over 2 months away.