Er, only TWO films ever have made it past $450 million. $400 million is still a pretty exclusive club as well. Harry Potter has always been an extremely frontloaded series due to the fans rushing out at once. IIRC only the first one has crossed $300 million. This one probably will - it'd have to have the worst legs on the history of the planet to not do it after posting that midnight number. But it won't touch $400 million. TF2's ability to do it is still up in the air. I think many are watching this weekend's drops to really judge.