Superman (2025) Box Office Thread

[king666]

I've thought Thunderbolts was coming in DOA for a while, but word of mouth is saying it's actually not that bad. Might surprise a few people.
Any numbers from the pre sale sin Japan yet?

Hahaha I think you're underselling it. Based on WOM, it looks like it's a pretty f'ing good MCU movie.

 

[Superman4life]

I see I'm the fool for putting $800 million.

Guess I'm a fool also, as I put $800M too

 

[emc5466]

Box office analyst Jeff Bock went on the BO boys podcast and said he’s heard that this movie has had some really bad test screenings, fwiw.

 

[AverageMan]

It's come from Jeff 'salty' Sneider but initial domestic tracking has Superman at $155m - $175m opening weekend.

 

[DCDAVE]

It's come from Jeff 'salty' Sneider but initial domestic tracking has Superman at $155m - $175m opening weekend.

If it is a good movie. Superman will get 400+ million in America with that early tracking. It will be in the theaters past Labor Day with Jurassic and F4. Looks promising.

 

[GreenKToo]

175 million would be bonkers.

 

[mace1]

This talks about marketing and budget.

 

[emielaen]

Lol THR talked about the marketing budget on top of the production budget possibly being ~$400M and now people are gonna blindly spread that the budget is $400M+ without the caveat that the marketing is included in that prediction.

 

[DorkyFresh]

Minecraft's opening domestic was $157m and Superman just set the new record for first day ticket sales of 2025 even after F4 set the record on their first day sales. Those early projections could be within reach!

 

[Lily Adler]

Minecraft's opening domestic was $157m and Superman just set the new record for first day ticket sales of 2025 even after F4 set the record on their first day sales. Those early projections could be within reach!

The blue koala and lesbian witches are beating them all.

 

[AverageMan]

I still think it's opening between $115m - $125m.
Great reviews & word of mouth could push it higher.
I'd love to be surprised and see it higher.

 

[GreenKToo]

The box office for this is gonna be very fun and interesting to follow.

 

[flickchick85]

I still think it's opening between $115m - $125m.

That's exactly where I think it will land as well. Unless the reviews are absolute raves (or disastrous). This is the "it's good" range, imo. And IF it's generally well-received I think it will hit about $350-$360mil domestic and about $400 internationally, for roughly a $750mil global total. Which would be a damn good kick-off for the DCU imo.

 

[DCDAVE]

Anything over $680 million will be fine for the start of the DCU. It is off to a great start with early screenings.

 

[GreenKToo]

I'm thinking/hoping about 150 mill opening weekend in the U.S., tho 120 or so would be fine.
300/350 total in the U.S. with 400/450 foreign.
Really tho, we will have NO idea until we start getting actual reactions the night of. Fingers crossed.

 

[psylockolussus]

The box office for this is gonna be very fun and interesting to follow.

Yes this and Fantastic 4!

 

[Boom]

$800 milly.

 

[jokesonm3]

https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/s/TqIBWX4bZA

Just a head's up, unlike traditional long-range forecasts, Warner Bro's Amazon Prime early screening deal did make tracking ticket sales a nightmare for multiple journalists and box office analysts, hence the massive $140M - $185M opening weekend gap.

Thankfully it's predicted to open extremely high despite releasing 8 days after Jurassic World: Rebirth.

As long as it's a solid film, expect a good overall domestic run.

 

[king666]

$800 milly.

$800m under normal circumstances; if you take into account the snydercult boycott then it’s $800m.

 

[AverageMan]

Deadline now reporting a projected opening weekend of $95m-$125m+
This is much more realistic than the $150m from a few weeks ago.
Also doesn't mean it will be on the lower or higher end of that projection. Wide enough range to cover all eventualities. (unless it absolutely tanks or sky rockets).

 

[Superark]

Deadline now reporting a projected opening weekend of $95m-$125m+
This is much more realistic than the $150m from a few weeks ago.
Also doesn't mean it will be on the lower or higher end of that projection. Wide enough range to cover all eventualities. (unless it absolutely tanks or sky rockets).

The estimates are all over the place. I think this is the conservative estimate based on the failures of the DCEU.

The marketing is in overdrive right now and I think intrigue is high for this.

If anything, I feel like movie estimates this year have tracked lower than what we've actually seen in openings this year.

 

[donuts]

It may very well be a conservative estimate, but the box office has gotten very unpredictable - especially as far as superhero movies go.

Thunderbolts proves that a good movie alone doesn't cut it. Deadpool & Wolverine proves that audiences eat up "member berries" -nostalgia- these days.

Where Superman will come out in all of this remains to be seen, but what matters is that it does enough and is well liked enough akin to Batman Begins back in the day.


I've said it time and time again: this movie has a huge uphill battle due to how tarnished both the Superman and DC brands are for moviegoers (not unlike Batman before 2005).

 

[donuts]

It may very well be a conservative estimate, but the box office has gotten very unpredictable - especially as far as superhero movies go.

Thunderbolts proves that a good movie alone doesn't cut it. Deadpool & Wolverine proves that audiences eat up member berries these days.

Where Superman will come out in all of this remains to be seen, but what matters is that it does enough and is well liked enough akin to Batman Begins back in the day.


I've said it time and time again: this movie has a huge uphill battle due to how tarnished both the Superman and DC brands are for moviegoers (not unlike Batman before 2005).