The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[spiderman2]

while last a saw box office mojo was predicting xmen to make more this this movie and for the amazing spider man to make 235 usa and 470 outside for a told of 705 witch smeds low and I would be very supprised if xmen makes more.

 

[LizardMan07]

Average box office means we get the blueray faster right?

 

[DarthSkywalker]

while last a saw box office mojo was predicting xmen to make more this this movie and for the amazing spider man to make 235 usa and 470 outside for a told of 705 witch smeds low and I would be very supprised if xmen makes more.

The way things are going right now, they look close on TASM 2 numbers.

Average box office means we get the blueray faster right?

Not usually with these films. They usually always come out at around the same time.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Mojo has been out in front on this, predicting unspectacular returns for a while now. All their logic is sound aswell.

Oh yes their summer predictions. Doh, I forgot about those.

 

[LizardMan07]

The way things are going right now, they look close on TASM 2 numbers.


Not usually with these films. They usually always come out at around the same time.

That's a shame, was trying to put a positive spin on bad BO results!

 

[spiderman2]

even if this movie under performs I don't see xmen making more though. We should know a lot I guess by Monday has we will know OW numbers and with some places having the movie out for like 2 weeks I would think we should have a better idea aftter the weekend.

 

[Raiden]

TASM2, like other summer movies, will be front-loaded. We'll get a sense of how much it will probably ended up after the OW figure is out. To have great WOM, it will need good reviews from audience, but great reviews will help as well.

 

[ironman_rick]

Its spiderman.....I hope it gets to more than $100M OW.

If it gets 88-95M as what is being predicted....I think its time for sony to give up spiderman back to marvel. TWS got $94m FFS.

 

[spider-neil]

Average box office means we get the blueray faster right?

That will be the upside to a disappointing BO.

 

[Liam_H]

If this movies opens to less than $100M there is a pretty decent chance it drops below the first movie, domestically.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

even if this movie under performs I don't see xmen making more though. We should know a lot I guess by Monday has we will know OW numbers and with some places having the movie out for like 2 weeks I would think we should have a better idea aftter the weekend.

That is all down to Godzilla and Maleficent imo. The two could hurt X-Men.

 

[TyrionStark125]

Will this movie open lower than TWS??

OH MY GOD

spidey movie inferior to a CA movie in all angle =(

 

[DACrowe]

even if this movie under performs I don't see xmen making more though. We should know a lot I guess by Monday has we will know OW numbers and with some places having the movie out for like 2 weeks I would think we should have a better idea aftter the weekend.

The difference is that despite the recent negative buzz in the press about its director, X-Men has received very strong hype from its fan base who has been waiting for a "big" X-Men movie since 2006 (though I honestly think XFC is great). More importantly, it is also reaching a younger audience that maybe missed the original three X-Men movies in theaters with a trailer that is promising something big and epic like The Avengers....except with newly minted movie stars Jennifer Lawrence and Michael Fassbender joining Hugh Jackman for this go-round.

TASM2 is following a movie that had a tepid GA reception (TASM) and has done nothing in its trailers to distinguish itself from the Raimi movies. In fact, it kind of looks like a Raimi movie with a new cast. Some diehard fans may prefer it, but it does nothing to convince people who thought the reboot too soon that it wasn't. And the reviews are not helping.

 

[STARMAN]

The last movie did not create much buzz or momentum for the franchise. It's DVD sales were nothing special either. I don't sense the anticipation for this film as there were for other Spider-Man films.

 

[spider-neil]

The last movie did not create much buzz or momentum for the franchise. It's DVD sales were nothing special either. I don't sense the anticipation for this film as there were for other Spider-Man films.

The Raimi movies were new and fresh. The Webb movies have come out in a superhero movie explosion plus the GA feel they have seen it all before.

 

[Lord]

The difference is that despite the recent negative buzz in the press about its director, X-Men has received very strong hype from its fan base who has been waiting for a "big" X-Men movie since 2006 (though I honestly think XFC is great). More importantly, it is also reaching a younger audience that maybe missed the original three X-Men movies in theaters with a trailer that is promising something big and epic like The Avengers....except with newly minted movie stars Jennifer Lawrence and Michael Fassbender joining Hugh Jackman for this go-round.

To tell the truth, i'm sure X-Men Days of Future Past will make good money, but i don't think it will break that many records.

TASM2 is following a movie that had a tepid GA reception (TASM) and has done nothing in its trailers to distinguish itself from the Raimi movies. In fact, it kind of looks like a Raimi movie with a new cast. Some diehard fans may prefer it, but it does nothing to convince people who thought the reboot too soon that it wasn't. And the reviews are not helping.

I don't think it looks that similar to Sam Raimi's films, hell, the Bayformers Trailers look close to Raimi's style in the films, as the graphics don't seem that over the top like a video game. It's brighter, but i think Webb's films have a much different look.

 

[Angryfantasyfan]

I think OW will be close to the predicted $95 million, but the second weekend will hemorrhage. It's drop off will be greater than the 57-60% Marvel bleed.

many reviews mentioned pacing, tonal shifts, and too much going on as problems. I think it's kind of confirmed by the number of members who felt they had to see it twice to really take everything in. I don't think the general audience is willing to pay twice to come away loving a movie.

 

[Jack sparrow]

Predicting a 170 mil DOM total.

 

[JOE]

Predicting a 170 mil DOM total.

Predicting 90M less than the first movie domestically... 35% drop, are you serious?

 

[Liam_H]

If it opens to like $70M then that could happen but its not going to.

 

[Jack sparrow]

Yes I am serious....maybe even a smaller OW
Than the first.

 

[JOE]

Well the first movie came out on a Tuesday...

 

[Jack sparrow]

I know, but this movie looks worse than the first.

 

[JOE]

Congratulations, that doesn't mean anything when it comes to BO. Look at TF2 compared to TF1, it was 10x worse and made over 100M more WW. IM2 was worse than IM1, made more money... The list goes on and on.

SM2 was better than SM and it made less money. There's no guarantee for any #'s until the money is counted.

 

[JOE]

RT does NOT = legs. Where did that equation come from?