The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 5

[NewYorkSpider]

More than 2.1B? Highly unlikely... I'll be surprised if it passes The Avengers.

I think it can make the 1.5B mark.

 

[spider-neil]

The more movies pass the billion mark the less special crossing the billion mark will become. It will get to the stage where not making a billion is considered a failure. Heck, we're almost there already.

 

[spiderman2]

The more movies pass the billion mark the less special crossing the billion mark will become. It will get to the stage where not making a billion is considered a failure. Heck, we're almost there already.

While a billion is not what it used to be but it is still not easy and I think we have 13 movies that have made a billion with out a rerelse or more and I think
out of those 13 like 7 of them wouldn't have made it with out 3d so making a billion in 2d is still very hard. Dark knight was the first superhero movie to make a billion or more and it did it without 3d and so did dark knight rises. Iron man 3 made like 1.2 billion but without 3d it would have been like 900 million and avengers with out 3d would have made like 1.2 billion insteady of 1.6. So we have had 4 superhero movies that have made a billion or more but one wouldn't have without 3d and one was a team up movie.

 

[TheVileOne]

616 aside, which they have kind of done, do any of those really hold the box office potential? One of the major problems here is these films, if you are going to do them right, aren't cheap. Heck, $160m doesn't even get you that much mileage in this day and age on these types of films. Just look at some of the reaction to "hidden Godzilla".

Maybe I am wrong, but I don't feel like Sony is in the position to make "small gains", which is what those could produce at their very best imo. If Spidey proper is losing steam at the box office, what hope is there really for 2099 or Noir to turn it around?

Well, if Amazing Spider-Man 2 is struggling to break $200 million domestic, how well are Venom and Sinister Six going to do?

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Well, if Amazing Spider-Man 2 is struggling to break $200 million domestic, how well are Venom and Sinister Six going to do?

Exactly. Spidey gets there on his prestige alone. The spinoffs won't have that.

 

[sf2]

Well, if Amazing Spider-Man 2 is struggling to break $200 million domestic, how well are Venom and Sinister Six going to do?

u saying TASM2 hasn't reach $200M???

 

[spider-neil]

u saying TASM2 hasn't reach $200M???

It hasn't but it will.

 

[Spider-Fan]

That isn't guaranteed at this point.

 

[LizardMan07]

Sony will probably start sending their employees to go watch it to get it over 200m and we'll know none the wiser

 

[Donut]

No way does this movie reaches $200 Domestically & if it does people will be suspicious

 

[Erzengel]

In comparison to TWS, TASM2 is approximately 40 million less after 26 days in the box office. Over the past week discounting Monday being a holiday and the only time TASM 2 has surpassed TWS, there's been a difference of anywhere of 40 to 58% difference between the 2 in daily comparisons. Being conservative and saying 50% difference, it should reach about $201 domestically. That is IF it can stay at the same pace it's been at.

I just took the difference between what TWS made to the gross after 26 days (Same amount of days as TASM2) and multiplied it by 50%.

 

[Spider-Fan]

In comparison to TWS, TASM2 is approximately 40 million less after 26 days in the box office. Over the past week discounting Monday being a holiday and the only time TASM 2 has surpassed TWS, there's been a difference of anywhere of 40 to 58% difference between the 2 in daily comparisons. Being conservative and saying 50% difference, it should reach about $201 domestically. That is IF it can stay at the same pace it's been at.

I just took the difference between what TWS made to the gross after 26 days (Same amount of days as TASM2) and multiplied it by 50%.

I think it will fall short, unless Sony extends its run in theaters until it can pass the 200 mil mark (which they might try to do).

 

[Donut]

I think it will fall short, unless Sony extends its run in theaters until it can pass the 200 mil mark (which they might try to do).

Sony has to realize by now that there is just no interest for doing such a thing. They should just make what they can in the Home & Digital Market

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

I said around $205 million a couple of weeks ago, but it is dropping even faster since then. Just shows how much audiences aren't liking this film. It opened at around the same as TWS and is going to end up $50 million behind.

 

[hippie_hunter]

That isn't guaranteed at this point.

No way does this movie reaches $200 Domestically & if it does people will be suspicious

I think it will fall short, unless Sony extends its run in theaters until it can pass the 200 mil mark (which they might try to do).

Amazing Spider-Man 2 is currently at about $188 million. Even though I find it struggling to reach $200 million to be a pathetic performance for Spidey, I would still be shocked if it didn't cross the $200 million threshold by the time it finished for what is to be its last week or two. I'm still thinking that it will finish at $205 million domestically.

That said, I do think it's going to have a massive struggle getting to $700 million worldwide.

 

[spider-neil]

I think ASM will make 200m domestic, just.

 

[Spiderine]

What is it expected to do this weekend about 4 million or so maybe less? These are some major drops

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

I think ASM will make 200m domestic, just.

Just over. Just under. Either way it sucks.

 

[Iceman]

Wonder how much Sony will adjust their targets for future films now.

 

[SoNicRaDiATioN]

I wonder how much they'll adjust their targets for a good script that isn't repetitive.

 

[Lighthouse]

It's going to hit 200, but I think they'll have to pull some of the same shenanigans WB did with Superman Returns.

 

[Tobias]

i agree with you. MOS didn't perform as what they expected. and they don't believe he can by his own solo sequel. they simply have more confident in Batman. what to do... it's all about dollar and cent.

maybe they could bring in a partner for spidey in TASM3... to spice up a little...

Yes. But WB can't rely on just Batman for solo films. One of the benefits with doing JL is exposure for other characters besides Bats who might be able to do financially successful solo films. WW maybe? Or a character out of left field who might become WB's IM and be a huge financially profitable franchise.

 

[Donut]

The WB could also use the Arrow / The Flash shows & see if any character becomes popular for movie use

 

[XSpidercideX]

Amazing Spider-Man 2 is currently at about $188 million. Even though I find it struggling to reach $200 million to be a pathetic performance for Spidey, I would still be shocked if it didn't cross the $200 million threshold by the time it finished for what is to be its last week or two. I'm still thinking that it will finish at $205 million domestically.

That said, I do think it's going to have a massive struggle getting to $700 million worldwide.

Agreed about surpassing 200M. It's right about where Thor TDW was 26 days in. I don't see it failing to get there. This has summer days coming to help it get there while Thor did not.

I don't think it will struggle at all to reach 700 million WW though, it will easily surpass it soon.

 

[Tobias]

The WB could also use the Arrow / The Flash shows & see if any character becomes popular for movie use

Yeah. Not that other character can necessarily outperform Batman as solos but given all the character DC has there has to be 2, 3 or 4 that can pull in 800 - 900 million a film. Finding that select few is the key and Superman can still be used in the team-up films.

Shazam? I've always thought that was a potential sleeper mega-franchise. Maybe Arrow?