The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

How much will The Amazing Spider-Man 2 gross?

  • $1.5 billion

  • $1.4 billion

  • $1.3 billion

  • $1.2 billion

  • $1.1 billion

  • $1.0 billion

  • $950 million

  • $900 million

  • $850 million

  • $800 million

  • $750 million

  • $700 million

  • $650 million

  • $600 million

  • $550 million

  • $500 million

  • $1.5 billion

  • $1.4 billion

  • $1.3 billion

  • $1.2 billion

  • $1.1 billion

  • $1.0 billion

  • $950 million

  • $900 million

  • $850 million

  • $800 million

  • $750 million

  • $700 million

  • $650 million

  • $600 million

  • $550 million

  • $500 million

  • $1.5 billion

  • $1.4 billion

  • $1.3 billion

  • $1.2 billion

  • $1.1 billion

  • $1.0 billion

  • $950 million

  • $900 million

  • $850 million

  • $800 million

  • $750 million

  • $700 million

  • $650 million

  • $600 million

  • $550 million

  • $500 million

  • $1.5 billion

  • $1.4 billion

  • $1.3 billion

  • $1.2 billion

  • $1.1 billion

  • $1.0 billion

  • $950 million

  • $900 million

  • $850 million

  • $800 million

  • $750 million

  • $700 million

  • $650 million

  • $600 million

  • $550 million

  • $500 million

  • $1.5 billion

  • $1.4 billion

  • $1.3 billion

  • $1.2 billion

  • $1.1 billion

  • $1.0 billion

  • $950 million

  • $900 million

  • $850 million

  • $800 million

  • $750 million

  • $700 million

  • $650 million

  • $600 million

  • $550 million

  • $500 million

  • $1.5 billion

  • $1.4 billion

  • $1.3 billion

  • $1.2 billion

  • $1.1 billion

  • $1.0 billion

  • $950 million

  • $900 million

  • $850 million

  • $800 million

  • $750 million

  • $700 million

  • $650 million

  • $600 million

  • $550 million

  • $500 million

  • $1.5 billion

  • $1.4 billion

  • $1.3 billion

  • $1.2 billion

  • $1.1 billion

  • $1.0 billion

  • $950 million

  • $900 million

  • $850 million

  • $800 million

  • $750 million

  • $700 million

  • $650 million

  • $600 million

  • $550 million

  • $500 million


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TASM2 cost around $255mil to make and $190mil to market. If it were to make $400mil, which it won't, but if it did, it would be one of, if not the biggest disasters in film history.
 
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I wonder if Sony will try and make Bond spinoffs as well. That's like their only other money making franchise.
 
TASM2 cost around $255mil to make and $190mil to market. If it were to make $400mil, which it won't, but if it did, it would be one of, if not the biggest disasters in film history.

That's an exaggeration :P there's John Carter, Battleship, The Lone Ranger and many more. But yeah I can imagine that would be a disaster for Sony.
 
That's an exaggeration :P there's John Carter, Battleship, The Lone Ranger and many more. But yeah I can imagine that would be a disaster for Sony.
When your film needs to make the mid-$700mil to break even, no it is not.
 
It sounds like Sony just spent too much money on it. Unless it shocks and has a below 80mil opening domestically and has terrible legs overseas I still see at least 700mil plus. I'm thinking they will lower the budget and not spend as much on marketing for Spidey 3.
 
$700mil would continue a downward trend. It shows that a cash cow is waning. That is not what you want.

This! Higher budgets, lower grosses. I mean... WOM won't be very good so what that means for ASM3? And that movie should open after BVS, Cap and X-Men.
 
No matter what some Spidey fanboys think... this comment from Boxoffice.com forum is very correct:

"I just think this movie seems to underperform everywhere and it doesn't bode well for the domestic release and in a long term point of view, it really doesn't bode well for the next sequel.

It seems that Webb's Spiderman hasn't succeeding in making fans or even reataining fans all over the world, the way raimi did...Spidey is losing its supremacy status and popular spot and it will require a great breakthrough movie to even regain partially his former top status."
 
It sounds like Sony just spent too much money on it. Unless it shocks and has a below 80mil opening domestically and has terrible legs overseas I still see at least 700mil plus. I'm thinking they will lower the budget and not spend as much on marketing for Spidey 3.
If openings continue to come in under TASM internationally, it is not out of the realm of possibility it does under the first film, which would be horrible.

And can they really cut the budget on a third film? Market perhaps, but the budget? The first film cost $230mil.
 
Didn't CA only cost 170 million. I think they could cut down the budget a little. It might have sacrifice effects though.
 
top result from googling "Amazing Spider-Man 2" is a negative review.

I'm sticking with my prediction that it will make more than the previous film.
 
If openings continue to come in under TASM internationally, it is not out of the realm of possibility it does under the first film, which would be horrible.

And can they really cut the budget on a third film? Market perhaps, but the budget? The first film cost $230mil.
I always say that cut the budget stuff and it almost never happens so I don't know why I keep saying it. It's probably going to be a little bigger if anything.
 
And unlike Marvel Sony actually has to pay their actors. 170mil ain't happening, under 200mil ain't happening.
 
top result from googling "Amazing Spider-Man 2" is a negative review.

I'm sticking with my prediction that it will make more than the previous film.

Yeas I hope it makes more than the first one. But if it keeps opening worse than the first one in it's international market's, it's going to be hard. Unless it does really well in China and the US.
 
No matter what some Spidey fanboys think... this comment from Boxoffice.com forum is very correct:

"I just think this movie seems to underperform everywhere and it doesn't bode well for the domestic release and in a long term point of view, it really doesn't bode well for the next sequel.

It seems that Webb's Spiderman hasn't succeeding in making fans or even reataining fans all over the world, the way raimi did...Spidey is losing its supremacy status and popular spot and it will require a great breakthrough movie to even regain partially his former top status."

I don't know why people assume SM4 and SM5 would've increased in gross had they been directed by Sam Raimi.

Every Sam Raimi movie decreased domestically and the overseas growth might've peaked after the terrible SM3.
 
So Spidey should be only No.4 on its OW in Japan (SAT -45% down when you compare with ASM1). Also ASM1 had solid drops and that's something I wouldnt expect this time...
 
I always say that cut the budget stuff and it almost never happens so I don't know why I keep saying it. It's probably going to be a little bigger if anything.
Yep. Probably looking at something in the $270mil range, which is just insane. But that is what happens with franchises. As long as certain targets are met, the money goes up for everyone involved.
 
I don't know why people assume SM4 and SM5 would've increased in gross had they been directed by Sam Raimi.

Every Sam Raimi movie decreased domestically and the overseas growth might've peaked after the terrible SM3.

If SM3 was actually good it would have increased domestically and would have grossed way more OS. It broke domestic OW and international records at the time it was released.
 
No matter what some Spidey fanboys think... this comment from Boxoffice.com forum is very correct:

"I just think this movie seems to underperform everywhere and it doesn't bode well for the domestic release and in a long term point of view, it really doesn't bode well for the next sequel.

It seems that Webb's Spiderman hasn't succeeding in making fans or even reataining fans all over the world, the way raimi did...Spidey is losing its supremacy status and popular spot and it will require a great breakthrough movie to even regain partially his former top status."

I was speaking with some of my students (I am a teacher) and even though the Raimi films came out just before they were born, all of them seem to prefer the Raimi films. Honestly, Sony should have worked harder to maintain a better relationship with Raimi ,Maguire and Dunst. That trio could do no wrong. Even though Spider-Man 3 was critically panned, the film grossed nearly $100 million more than its predecessor. Fans were very excited about the next installment.

Amazing Spider-Man did not meet the audience demand set up by the third Raimi film, but it had an amazing turn out for a reboot, especially compared to films like Star Trek and Batman Begins. Sadly, TASM2 seems to be losing traction. Most American movies, like most American businesses, generate most of their revenue overseas. The domestic box office is only marginally important. Pacific Rim for instance only had a lukewarm reception in North America. The film was a blockbuster overseas however, and that has led to a sequel. Even if TASM2 grosses $300 million domestically (highly improbable), it is not likely to make up sufficient revenue in the overseas market, which is why I placed my initial prediction around $550-650 million. This film will perform worse than the first film.

And as for domestic performance, Spider-Man may lose out to Captain America, which has led three weeks in a row as the number one box office film. The Avengers strategy has paid off, and people love seeing how the world building in Marvel films will lead to another exciting crossover. In a way, it is the old comicbook strategy come to life and working quite well in an all new medium.

On the positive side, Sony may wind up relinquishing their film rights to Spidey far sooner than anticipated, and that couldn't be a better development. I'd much prefer Spider-Man to be home with the rest of the Marvel universe.
 
If SM3 was actually good it would have increased domestically and would have grossed way more OS. It broke domestic OW and international records at the time it was released.

SM3 wasn't good though.

and there was no guarantee SM4 and SM5 would've reversed the trend artistically or financially anymore than ASM2.
 
SM3 wasn't good though.

and there was no guarantee SM4 and SM5 would've reversed the trend artistically or financially anymore than ASM2.

Oh yeah for sure. But I think if TASM was a better movie and was more inventive and fresh, it would have grossed more and there wouldn't be all this backlash against it on the internet. I have no problem with the reboot and I actually liked TASM. It would have been dumb to make SM4 with a different cast and director. But to so many people felt like TASM was a rehash of SM1 which it kinda was. They should've skipped the origin because they didn't really change anything besides the web shooters and tried to be more inventive and creative then they were.
 
SM3 wasn't good though.

and there was no guarantee SM4 and SM5 would've reversed the trend artistically or financially anymore than ASM2.

Audience had some connection / relationship with Maguire, Dunst... Look at Depp and Pirates 4. No Bloom or Keira, different actor but the movie still did very well. Despite the fact that only first Pirates had good reviews.
 
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