The Dark Knight Rises The Box Office Thread

[redfirebird2008]

Those BoxOfficeMojo forecasts are terrible and just silly. Particularly Dark Knight Rises, Avengers and Amazing Spider-Man

The TDKR prediction is definitely silly when you consider it doesn't have a 3D boost, but I think Avengers has a very good shot at $550-600m overseas. 3D is a big factor. Apparently the film had the second biggest opening ever in Australia behind DH2. If that's the kind of pattern that develops around the world, it's headed for well over his $580m prediction. The $570m Spider-Man prediction seems a bit low to me considering the fact that SM3 made so much overseas and TASM has 3D to help boost it.

 

[J.Howlett]

I guess the real question is how had Batman grown in stature internationally since Knight?

We saw what Nolan delivered with Inception internationally. The combination of responses to Knight and Nolan's Inception could breed HUGE numbers for Rises.

I'm not saying 850 million foreign box office is in the equation. I think that's just too high. But 700 million doesn't seem too farfetched....

We all saw what Deathly Hallows Part 2 did with it's foreign grosses. I know it's mega-huge over there. But, it was also the end of an era.

WB is playing that same card with Rises. That could push it to a number that we can't really predict.....if it's as good as Knight.

 

[redfirebird2008]

I guess the real question is how had Batman grown in stature internationally since Knight?

We saw what Nolan delivered with Inception internationally. The combination of responses to Knight and Nolan's Inception could breed HUGE numbers for Rises.

I'm not saying 850 million foreign box office is in the equation. I think that's just too high. But 700 million doesn't seem too farfetched....

We all saw what Deathly Hallows Part 2 did with it's foreign grosses. I know it's mega-huge over there. But, it was also the end of an era.

WB is playing that same card with Rises. That could push it to a number that we can't really predict.....if it's as good as Knight.

DH2 had 3D, which is a much bigger factor overseas than it is in North America. That's the biggest reason for the increase overseas.

 

[Oneironaut]

Absolutely no ****ing way that this is gonna make less then 1bi. No way. China alone is going to account for more then 100m. IMAX alone another 80~100m.

TDK generated a HUGE number of followers. In 2008, a lot of people still didn't care about Batman Begins and TDK until seeing them some time later, myself included. And then Twitter and Facebook weren't as prominent in 2008 as they are today. Just look at what the crazy word of mouth did to Inception. All these people that liked TDK and missed it's run in theaters will be there to watch TDKR, soon or later, 100% guaranteed. This gonna make a much bigger impact on overseas numbers.

 

[Greens]

For us Dutchies: http://www.nu.nl/film/2797068/the-dark-knight-rises-eerder-in-nederlandse-bioscoop.html

Dark Knight Rises will hit theatres a bit earlier, same date as the USA release now: July 20 (instead of July 25).

Damn. Why must I be on vacation when it gets released

 

[intothevoid]

Well maybe if you could read correctly, it says $450 mil domestic (which is here in the U.S) and $650 mil WW(that means the rest of the world) add those totals and you get alittle over 1 billion. Do you wanna a calculator? Maybe before you jump on someone in the future actually read there statement.

Since when does Worldwide = International

 

[Green Day]

TDKR has such high expectations that anything less than $500m Domestic will be SEEN as a disappointment.

TDKR has a slim shot at hitting 500m domestic

 

[DoomsdayApex]

TDKR has a slim shot at hitting 500m domestic

Not exactly.

TDKR's only competition will be The Bourne Legacy and The Expendables 2.

 

[marvelman2006]

Since when does Worldwide = International

well since you couldnt read between the lines kid I bid you a good day, I wont feed this troll.

 

[FCEEVIPER]

FYI:

BOX OFFICE: THE AVENGERS Pulls In $20M From Midnight Showings, But Fails To Break Record:

Rival studios tell me that Marvel’s The Avengers from Disney did not set a record for midnight showings — and made $20 million from about 2,500 North American theaters. The midnight record is still Warner Bros’ Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 2 with $43.5M. Disney has not released an official number yet.

 

[Anita18]

Actuals are in for Avengers midnights: $18.7 million. A little lower than estimated, but still

 

[J.Howlett]

Avengers=18.7
Dark Knight=18.5

Which means Rises will do at minimum 20 million during midnights. That's pretty much going to happen if Avengers only did 18.7 with IMAX and 3D.

 

[Liam_H]

TDK was also 4 years ago. But The Avengers has the less than optimal time slot for midnight showings.

 

[Filmmaster]

I dont care about tdkr make more money then avengers.

 

[Anita18]

Avengers=18.7
Dark Knight=18.5

Which means Rises will do at minimum 20 million during midnights. That's pretty much going to happen if Avengers only did 18.7 with IMAX and 3D.

Even with the lower midnight number, it's possible that Avengers could break the OW record, because it's more of a walk-up movie. A TON of people are going to be seeing it on Saturday. Once the Saturday number is posted, we'll have a better idea.

I still believe TDKR will outdo it box-office wise, which is kind of nuts. Has there ever been TWO movies that broke the OW record in the same year?

 

[redfirebird2008]

Even with the lower midnight number, it's possible that Avengers could break the OW record, because it's more of a walk-up movie. A TON of people are going to be seeing it on Saturday. Once the Saturday number is posted, we'll have a better idea.

I still believe TDKR will outdo it box-office wise, which is kind of nuts. Has there ever been TWO movies that broke the OW record in the same year?

Yes, numerous times. In 1989, you had three of them within a month of each other. Indy 3 broke it in May, then Ghostbusters II and B89 broke it in back to back weeks.

 

[Anita18]

Yes, numerous times. In 1989, you had three of them within a month of each other. Indy 3 broke it in May, then Ghostbusters II and B89 broke it in back to back weeks.

That's pretty hilar.

What about this decade?

 

[redfirebird2008]

That's pretty hilar.

What about this decade?

Not that I can remember. Potter 1 and SM1 were within 6 months of each other, but different years (late fall 2001, early summer 2002).

 

[Anita18]

Not that I can remember. Potter 1 and SM1 were within 6 months of each other, but different years (late fall 2001, early summer 2002).

Hmm yeah dunno if that compares. Especially if Avengers and TDKR is supposed to be considered part of the same BO season.

And times have certainly changed from 1989!

 

[Street Vendor]

Yes, numerous times. In 1989, you had three of them within a month of each other. Indy 3 broke it in May, then Ghostbusters II and B89 broke it in back to back weeks.

I'm old enough to remember that. B89 was so popular on its opening weekend that it made HONEY I SHRUNK THE KIDS into a hit because all of the sold out showings forced people into seeing a different movie.

 

[FCEEVIPER]

I'm old enough to remember that. B89 was so popular on its opening weekend that it made HONEY I SHRUNK THE KIDS into a hit because all of the sold out showings forced people into seeing a different movie.

That's too funny!

 

[Street Vendor]

That's too funny!

Yep! In the days before the interwebs, it was hard to buy tickets for a movie early. I got my Batman '89 tickets at 10 in the morning on opening day for a 10:45 showing that night!

 

[Dragon_316ca]

I'm posting this snippet here: http://www.comingsoon.net/news/weekendwarriornews.php?id=86827

The Dark Knight Rises is a slam dunk no-brainer if only for the fact that like with The Avengers, this is about the return of a fan favorite, which is Christian Bale's Batman as directed by Christopher Nolan. In this case, the anticipation for their return has built over the four years since The Dark Knight and only a third of the people who saw the original movie (in North America) will have to go out to see its sequel opening weekend for it to set a new opening weekend record.

 

[Liam_H]

Only one-third? Is that really correct, I didn't think inflation was that drastic over four years. Kind of hard to believe average ticket prices are 3x as much now.

 

[Anita18]

Only one-third? Is that really correct, I didn't think inflation was that drastic over four years. Kind of hard to believe average ticket prices are 3x as much now.

Expansion of LieMAX is a huge part of it as well. They've built so many since TDK...I think most of the IMAX theaters when TDK came out were real ones. There were only about a hundred across the country. Now most of them are digital, and there's a lot more of them!

Even if Avengers takes the OW record, I believe TDK still has the most admissions for an OW, even over Harry Potter.