Iron Man 2 The Iron Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[Anita18]

It's all about expectations though. Paramount, and some analyists, will be slightly disappointed if the figure holds.

It really is. Tracking showed all week that it would be up there with TDK. I think Paramount did the best they could - TV spots galore, widest release ever. It's just one of those things you can't really predict, that's why box office is so exciting.

 

[FaT_tONle]

Yeah the idea that Paramount mailed it in because their days as the distributor are numbered in nonsense. I don't know for sure how much money they put into it, but if they make 10%, that's basically 75-80 million gross (if the movie does 750-800 of course). So if they put in a few dozen million marketing it they can essentially double their investment if the movie does decent enough.

 

[Spider-Fan]

I think 135-140 mil is still quite good. Yes, it won't beat TDK, but did it really have to? I think Marvel will be happy with this figure.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

Eclipse will break the record. I am 95% sure.

Anyway, look at the brightside, if IM2 did indeed break the record it would've been eclisped oldrazz by Eclipse anyway.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

If Iron Man 2 gets 140 million opening weekend it will be the fourth highest in history.

How is that bad?

Anyone expecting this to beat TDK was just being unrealistic. The hype for IM2 was nowhere as huge as the hype for The Dark Knight.

 

[Iron_Stark]

130 million in the top 5, not bad for a character that was a B- or C-lister just 2.5 years ago.

The only movie I want it to beat out is Bayformers 2: WTF.

 

[Spider-Fan]

I think this will be a case of Marvel is happy with the figure, but fans wanted more. Iron Man 2 is going to make huge bank for Marvel, so I don't see them whining it didn't beat the biggest opening ever.

 

[Tony Stark]

Eclipse will break the record. I am 95% sure.

Anyway, look at the brightside, if IM2 did indeed break the record it would've been eclisped oldrazz by Eclipse anyway.

Yeah, that's what I'm afraid of. Not a big twilight fan myself, all seems too teeny bopper to me, but to each his/her own.

 

[Nightmare]

Interesting to see how the final numbers come out.

 

[FaT_tONle]

130 million in the top 5, not bad for a character that was a B- or C-lister just 2.5 years ago.

The only movie I want it to beat out is Bayformers 2: WTF.

That's the thing. It's sad that a piss poor movie pulls in that kind of money. I guess if Iron Man came out with the concept of giant machines bashing one another, it would have come off as even more novel. I just felt the film series could have pulled Iron Man perhaps ahead of Spidey and possibly on equal terms with Batman. But at the end of the day, you can't wipe out 50-60 years of character history and change all that with a few successful films. Hulk is still the second most popular Marvel character IMO.

 

[Anita18]

I think this will be a case of Marvel is happy with the figure, but fans wanted more. Iron Man 2 is going to make huge bank for Marvel, so I don't see them whining it didn't beat the biggest opening ever.

Oh, I think Paramount wanted more. Otherwise they would have opened it in less theaters, had some 8/10pm Thursday preview showings, and/or lowballed the tracking. Even WB officially lowballed the tracking for TDK, saying they were expecting "$110m-$130m" even though everyone knew it was going to be more.

I don't think anyone's going to whine to Nikki Finke, though. That would be bad publicity.

 

[Spider-Fan]

Paramount is a distributor, though. Of course they wanted more, lol. I just don't think Marvel is going to be sad it ONLY made 135-140 mil

 

[danoyse]

Eclipse will break the record. I am 95% sure.

Anyway, look at the brightside, if IM2 did indeed break the record it would've been eclisped oldrazz by Eclipse anyway.

LOL...the whole audience booed at the trailer when I saw IM2 last night.

But yeah, that movie is going to make a ton of money.

 

[Anita18]

Paramount is a distributor, though. Of course they wanted more, lol. I just don't think Marvel is going to be sad it ONLY made 135-140 mil

Heh, good point.

LOL...the whole audience booed at the trailer when I saw IM2 last night.

But yeah, that movie is going to make a ton of money.

Whatever, it rocks some people's boats. I bet a lot of them don't really take it that seriously either.

Also, what will be REALLY fun to watch is how fast it crashes and burns after the opening weekend. The last one has the biggest single day ever, but it didn't even break $300m. That's just pathetic.

 

[Spider-Fan]

Heh, good point.

This film will have grossed almost more in 3 days than their last theatrical release did in its entire theatrical run, LOL!

Though I still loved TIH

 

[danoyse]

Paramount is a distributor, though. Of course they wanted more, lol. I just don't think Marvel is going to be sad it ONLY made 135-140 mil

I don't think Disney will be too upset either.

 

[terry78]

52 mil last night is not shabby to be honest.

 

[samsnee]

Paramount is a distributor, though. Of course they wanted more, lol. I just don't think Marvel is going to be sad it ONLY made 135-140 mil

Let's face it. Unless this movie broke opening records, impregnated every woman who saw it, turned water into wine, cured cancer, and beat Michael Phelps in a swim race, there was no way it wasn't going to end up as Gigli 2.

 

[FaT_tONle]

Let's face it. Unless this movie broke opening records, impregnated every woman who saw it, turned water into wine, cured cancer, and beat Michael Phelps in a swim race, there was no way it wasn't going to end up as Gigli 2.

Nice to see that Hypsters still have some practicality.

 

[Leenie]

Continuing to compare this movie to TDK is pointless, unnecessary, and annoying.

God, I'm becoming jaded about TDK. EVERYONE has to compare EVERYTHING to it. I'm so sick to death of it.

Iron Man 2 has a great first day and it's going to have a great opening weekend. Rock on, Iron Man!

 

[DACrowe]

That's the thing. It's sad that a piss poor movie pulls in that kind of money. I guess if Iron Man came out with the concept of giant machines bashing one another, it would have come off as even more novel. I just felt the film series could have pulled Iron Man perhaps ahead of Spidey and possibly on equal terms with Batman. But at the end of the day, you can't wipe out 50-60 years of character history and change all that with a few successful films. Hulk is still the second most popular Marvel character IMO.

How'd you get that? I guess in the '80s he may have been due to the TV show. But most well known I don't think makes most popular. Everyone knows who Superman is more than any other superhero today. But I would bet top dollar that Batman and Spidey are more popular overall (because of so much Supes apathy).

Since the '90s cartoon, I thought it has been clear that Wolverine is the second most popular Marvel character. Iron Man, due to these films, I think just surpassed that for the time being.

 

[DACrowe]

That's the thing. It's sad that a piss poor movie pulls in that kind of money. I guess if Iron Man came out with the concept of giant machines bashing one another, it would have come off as even more novel. I just felt the film series could have pulled Iron Man perhaps ahead of Spidey and possibly on equal terms with Batman. But at the end of the day, you can't wipe out 50-60 years of character history and change all that with a few successful films. Hulk is still the second most popular Marvel character IMO.

How'd you get that? I guess in the '80s he may have been due to the TV show. But most well known I don't think makes most popular. Everyone knows who Superman is more than any other superhero today. But I would bet top dollar that Batman and Spidey are more popular overall (because of so much Supes apathy).

Since the '90s cartoon, I thought it has been clear that Wolverine is the second most popular Marvel character. Iron Man, due to these films, I think just surpassed that for the time being.

 

[Anita18]

Continuing to compare this movie to TDK is pointless, unnecessary, and annoying.

God, I'm becoming jaded about TDK. EVERYONE has to compare EVERYTHING to it. I'm so sick to death of it.

Iron Man 2 has a great first day and it's going to have a great opening weekend. Rock on, Iron Man!

Well, it's actually relevant to opening-weekend box office talk because many reporters had it tracking at $150-$160m, so the question was if it could take the opening weekend record. Which is held by...TDK.

Once the official numbers come in, I think people will start comparing it to IM1 or SM3, whichever movie it happens to end up closest to this weekend.

 

[FaT_tONle]

How'd you get that? I guess in the '80s he may have been due to the TV show. But most well known I don't think makes most popular. Everyone knows who Superman is more than any other superhero today. But I would bet top dollar that Batman and Spidey are more popular overall (because of so much Supes apathy).

Since the '90s cartoon, I thought it has been clear that Wolverine is the second most popular Marvel character. Iron Man, due to these films, I think just surpassed that for the time being.

Hulk has been around forever. Anyone can pretty much identify the character instantly and he's ingrained in the culture as that symbol for inner, sub-conscious rage we all have. Any dude that lifts and takes his body seriously enough to impress is pretty much compared to the Hulk. It's a shame the movies ****ed it up. I guess you can go Wolverine too, but only crazed fanboys actually spike the hair to the sides and stick knives between their fingers on days other than Halloween. Doesn't really resonate as well. Plus I don't think people will give a **** about Iron Man once RDJ hangs it up. Maybe the same will be true for Wolverine/Jackman too although less likely. At least Banner isn't locked up to one guy. Hulk needs to make a comeback in Avengers in a big way and I think he will.

 

[Ironfan72]

Honestly as a Iron Man fan, I am thrilled with the numbers, its another blockbuster, 2 in a row, so that ain't shabby for a character few knew a couple years ago.
I have had the oppurtunity now to talk with several co-workers, my brother and the guys who own and work at the comic shop I go to, all have seen it and all have loved it, as they said to a person, it fun, action filled, great acting and chemistry, they have all heard the complaints from people about it dragging and the like and all disagree, as they said, its a summer movie, they all gave it either a 8 or 9 each and a couple gave it a 10, but no one had a complaint about it, at all.
As for it beating TDK, I honestly don't care, these movies are released at different times of the year, for IM2 school is still in session for one, so alot of kids who would have seen it Thursday and Friday were in school so thats a huge disadvantage, TDK was released in like June I think, so school was out for everyone, except summer school and yes this will piss people off and I don't care, a huge draw for TDK was not Batman, but the unfortunate passing of Heath Ledger, it was his last great performance and people went to see that as much or more than seeing Batman, sorry, but it has been a source of discussion with friends and family and all agree that played a huge part in the films success.
All I know, Iron Man 2 will make a ton of money, it will be considered one of the better comic films by many, not all, and will garner a sequal, and as a shellhead fan, thats all I want.