Iron Man 3 The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

[Mr. Dent]

Analysts are predicting the film to make $110m overseas by Sunday. I know that's good, but I don't know if it's, you know, REALLY good to the point where it could make, say, $600m overseas. Anyone have any insight?

 

[thalidomide]

Well, this film is making a killing here in the Philippines. Highest opening day ever surpassing Avengers and Spider-Man 3.

Just saw it in the news t:

 

[Saitou Hajime]

Analysts are predicting the film to make $110m overseas by Sunday. I know that's good, but I don't know if it's, you know, REALLY good to the point where it could make, say, $600m overseas. Anyone have any insight?

The film appears to match and in some cases even exceed TA in the markets it's released so far.

 

[Mr. Dent]

Mind giving some examples if it's not too much trouble? Also how much did the Avengers make overseas in its opening week? I can't remember and it's hard finding historical weekly overseas number on BOM.

 

[Mr. Dent]

Oh wait nevermind:

Apr. 27–29 1 $185,100,000 - 39 - $4,746,154 $185,100,000 1

$110m is very low in comparison statistically. How many markets is it opening in?

 

[T"Challa]

Analysts are predicting the film to make $110m overseas by Sunday. I know that's good, but I don't know if it's, you know, REALLY good to the point where it could make, say, $600m overseas. Anyone have any insight?

Skyfall made 84 mill, TDKR made 88 Mill, Hobbit made 138 mill, Avengers made 185 mill.

Basically, IM3 is in a damn good place if it makes over 110 mill (probably closer to 120)on its frst weekend. This movie is going to be massive.

 

[Liam_H]

Its all about the market share. Its what makes tracking international very difficult sometimes.

 

[ShadowBoxer]

Its gonna make alot opening weekend in the US (if this whole AMC, Cinemark, Regal thing is worked out). But its facing some stiff competition in the month of May so who knows.

 

[KangConquers]

Oh wait nevermind:



$110m is very low in comparison statistically. How many markets is it opening in?

Avengers did roughly $150 M in the markets IM3 is opening in. If IM3 holds that ratio, it'll do more than $600 M foreign.

Its all about the market share. Its what makes tracking international very difficult sometimes.

Bingo.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Avengers did roughly $150 M in the markets IM3 is opening in. If IM3 holds that ratio, it'll do more than $600 M foreign.



Bingo.

lmao @ your sig

dc is getting smoked.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

Avengers did roughly $150 M in the markets IM3 is opening in. If IM3 holds that ratio, it'll do more than $600 M foreign.



Bingo.

I was reading that IM3 was tracking for $110 million internationally by this Sunday with still more markets to open (China being the notable later one.)

 

[KangConquers]

I was reading that IM3 was tracking for $110 million internationally by this Sunday with still more markets to open (China being the notable later one.)

Yup....$110 M is about 70% of Avengers $150 M in those same markets. When I said $600 M, I was talking about a possible finish.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

Yup....$110 M is about 70% of Avengers $150 M in those same markets. When I said $600 M, I was talking about a possible finish.

Ok. I wasn't sure what numbers or figures you were using for that $600 M total.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

Some of the opening numbers for IM3 are out and it has opened bigger than IM2 and, in some countries, even better The Avengers.

http://www.deadline.com/2013/04/iron-man-3-opens-big-internationally-13-2m/

 

[Mr. Dent]

Yup....$110 M is about 70% of Avengers $150 M in those same markets. When I said $600 M, I was talking about a possible finish.

You're only counting the markets IM3 is opening in and leaving out the others that resulted in the other $35m for Avengers' opening right?

 

[KangConquers]

You're only counting the markets IM3 is opening in and leaving out the others that resulted in the other $35m for Avengers' opening right?

Yes. No markets Iron Man 3 won't be open in by Sunday.

 

[Mr. Dent]

So how many markets total is it opening in? I don't know where to find the release schedule at to add it up myself. Avengers opened in 39 markets OW.

 

[KangConquers]

So how many markets total is it opening in? I don't know where to find the release schedule at to add it up myself. Avengers opened in 39 markets OW.

80% of it's total markets.

 

[Mr. Dent]

Just looked it up on IMDb, it's opening in 36 markets as opposed to Avengers' 42.

 

[Superhero 101]

Well since the AMC dispute is over I can see the 160-170 million OW numbers happening

 

[KangConquers]

Well since the AMC dispute is over I can see the 160-170 million OW numbers happening

Still need to work things out with Regal. The closest AMC is 20 miles from my house, and HORRIBLY maintained.

 

[Xeno]

Disney settled with AMC Theaters, leaving only the deal with Regal up in the air. Once that deal gets done, IM3's US path is clear.

The OS numbers are simply astonishing. IM3 set opening day records in a number of territories, including the Philippines and Taiwan. Its opening day admissions in France beat those of The Avengers (322,000 ticket for IM3 vs. 312,000 for TA). The film looks to be on its way to $110 million OW/$600 million total OS. Iron Man 3 is the monster a few of us thought it would be.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

Disney settled with AMC Theaters, leaving only the deal with Regal up in the air. Once that deal gets done, IM3's US path is clear.

The OS numbers are simply astonishing. IM3 set opening day records in a number of territories, including the Philippines and Taiwan. Its opening day admissions in France beat those of The Avengers (322,000 ticket for IM3 vs. 312,000 for TA). The film looks to be on its way to $110 million OW/$600 million total OS. Iron Man 3 is the monster a few of us thought it would be.

The big question is will the movie have as long of legs as TA did? TA seemed to have a lot of repeat viewers as well as brand new ones to the MCU. There were things for every person of any age. I'm not sure IM3 will have that same longevity and also that many repeat viewers.

 

[KangConquers]

The big question is will the movie have as long of legs as TA did? TA seemed to have a lot of repeat viewers as well as brand new ones to the MCU. There were things for every person of any age. I'm not sure IM3 will have that same longevity and also that many repeat viewers.

It won't, but I think it will still manage $1 Billion.

 

[Mr. Dent]

Is it still opening May 3rd in China?