Iron Man 3 The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

[Tony Stark]

I still think this is a billion dollar movie, and I think this could well be the 2nd biggest opening weekend, with the 3D boost.

 

[spideymouse]

I still think this is a billion dollar movie, and I think this could well be the 2nd biggest opening weekend, with the 3D boost.

I wonder if that whole revenue sharing deal issue between Disney and the theaters will affect OW grosses. At least it doesn't seem that the overseas screens are affected by this conflict.

 

[Tony Stark]

I wonder if that whole revenue sharing deal issue between Disney and the theaters will affect OW grosses. At least it doesn't seem that the overseas screens are affected by this conflict.

I doubt it. The theaters will cave. Box office for 2013 has been abysmal outside of Oz, and the Croods, and a decent showing by 42.

No one will turn away customers, and it's really only AMC having the issue with this. Like I say, they aren't going to turn away business, because they can afford another bad quarter like they had 1Q 2013.

 

[spideymouse]

I doubt it. The theaters will cave. Box office for 2013 has been abysmal outside of Oz, and the Croods, and a decent showing by 42.

No one will turn away customers, and it's really only AMC having the issue with this. Like I say, they aren't going to turn away business, because they can afford another bad quarter like they had 1Q 2013.

Oh, I have no doubt that a deal will get made, but what has been affected is advanced ticket sales, a number which directly feeds into opening weekend. I suppose someone who is looking for advanced tickets in the first place wouldn't be deterred from seeing the movie that weekend anyway. Dunno, just thinking out loud online.

 

[MahvelBaby!]

hopefully the pissing contest ends soon between theaters and disney

 

[Tony Stark]

Oh, I have no doubt that a deal will get made, but what has been affected is advanced ticket sales, a number which directly feeds into opening weekend. I suppose someone who is looking for advanced tickets in the first place wouldn't be deterred from seeing the movie that weekend anyway. Dunno, just thinking out loud online.

Advanced sales can be deceiving. Last year they lowballed Avengers numbers because they were basing it solely on advanced sales, but Avengers had a record number of walk-up business, so much so, it took down AMC's credit card system.

I think you have to start from the fact that this is going to get at least as much business as IM2 did (and likely more), then you add in the 3D boost, which puts you well over 150M.

 

[Marvel]

I just want to get my domestic pick on record:

$411 million


(Note: No other summer film crosses the $300 million barrier)

 

[Webfoot Hero]

I just want to get my domestic pick on record:

$411 million


(Note: No other summer film crosses the $300 million barrier)

Not even Man of Steel? I could see it getting close.

 

[Marvel]

Not even Man of Steel? I could see it getting close.

Man of Steel, Star Trek Into Darkness and Monsters University will all get close but fall just short.

 

[psylockolussus]

I don't see Man of Steel crossing the $300 million at the domestic box-office since its the first movie in the reboot series and the last Superman movie didn't do so well at the box-office.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

I don't see Man of Steel crossing the $300 million at the domestic box-office since its the first movie in the reboot series and the last Superman movie didn't do so well at the box-office.

That's true. Have to remember that Superman isn't as big a draw as he used to and the first film of a franchise hardly ever gets over $300 million.

 

[psylockolussus]

Its probably gonna perform like Batman Begins.

 

[Juicy J]

I think you all are underestimating what Superman is going to do this summer. I say he's going to pull in 600 million WW, easy. Films are starting to get out of it's way because studios are anticipating it to be a big draw that weekend.
In order of top highest grossing movies this year:
Iron Man 3
Hunger Games 2
Man of Steel
Star Trek 2
Hangover 3
it's a rough estimation so I'm probably wrong, but I'm feel pretty confident about those first three at least.
That being said, do you all feel that IM3 will be able to outgross the Hunger games? Domestically it could prove to be a challenge but world wide I'd say it's got sturdier legs.

 

[Mr. Dent]

This isn't the Man of Steel box office thread...

 

[T"Challa]

I think Catching FIre will win the domestic box office this year but IM3 will destroy it internationally. I'm upping my prediction to 910m WW for IM3.

 

[Webfoot Hero]

I think you all are underestimating what Superman is going to do this summer. I say he's going to pull in 600 million WW, easy. Films are starting to get out of it's way because studios are anticipating it to be a big draw that weekend.
In order of top highest grossing movies this year:
Iron Man 3
Hunger Games 2
Man of Steel
Star Trek 2
Hangover 3
it's a rough estimation so I'm probably wrong, but I'm feel pretty confident about those first three at least.
That being said, do you all feel that IM3 will be able to outgross the Hunger games? Domestically it could prove to be a challenge but world wide I'd say it's got sturdier legs.

Depending on how people react to the new Thor trailer, I could see that possibly contending for a spot in your top 5.

 

[Juicy J]

^ As much as I love Thor and hope for a huge success, I don't have a ton of hope for that making colossal bank. It'll definitely be a success, don't get me wrong, but as of right now I don't see it being one of the highest five grossing films WW this year.
But hey, I'd love to be wrong on this one haha and like I said it's way to early to tell. I could easily change my tune come Tuesday.

 

[lespaul59]

I'm gonna say $430M domestic and $570M foreign

 

[Superhero 101]

I think you all are underestimating what Superman is going to do this summer. I say he's going to pull in 600 million WW, easy. Films are starting to get out of it's way because studios are anticipating it to be a big draw that weekend.
In order of top highest grossing movies this year:
Iron Man 3
Hunger Games 2
Man of Steel
Star Trek 2
Hangover 3
it's a rough estimation so I'm probably wrong, but I'm feel pretty confident about those first three at least.
That being said, do you all feel that IM3 will be able to outgross the Hunger games? Domestically it could prove to be a challenge but world wide I'd say it's got sturdier legs.

I'd put fast and furious 6 somewhere in there

 

[antonydelfini]

If the movie is great:
DOMESTIC: 450
INT'L: 550
TOTAL: 1 BILLION

If the movie is meh:
DOMESTIC: 350
INT'L: 450
TOTAL: 800 MILLION

 

[Webfoot Hero]

I'd put fast and furious 6 somewhere in there

Forgot about Fast 6 coming out. Problem with their release is it's coming out the same week as The Hangover III, which will split the box office that weekend. Plus, both of those are coming out a week after Star Trek, again forcing a lot of people to chose which one they see right away and one they'll see maybe the next or even at all in the theaters. IM3 is poised for earning the most money since it's the first big blockbuster of the year and has a couple weeks of separation before Star Trek comes out.

 

[BigThor]

I find it odd that people are counting out T:TDW in favor of MOS so soon, especially considering it will be fresh on the heels TA and IM3's success.

MOS trailers are awesome, but that isn't enough to think MOS is gonna be some huge success. Hell the first Thor made more money than Superman Returns and it's MUCH fresher in the GA's mind.

 

[Micromind]

Iron Man 3 is going to be huge, Iron Man 3 wins the Summer -Box Office.

Man of Steel will make less money than The Amazing Spider-Man as Superman is not a popular character overseas.

 

[Juicy J]

I think Fast 6 isn't going to be as big as it's predecessor. I don't have anything to base that off of really, just a gut feeling.
Maybe it has to do with the fact that I hate that franchise.

 

[Micromind]

750 mil. worldwide.