2008 Academy Awards

[L0ngsh0t]

Movies like Kite Runner, There Will Be Blood, Before the Devil Knows your Dead...all could slip in . NCFOM is the only guarentee IMO.

guarantee is the key word, I have one guarantee out of that list so I don't know if 2/5 is absurd

 

[Movies205]

If I where to choose a "Best Picture" list it would look something like this

Gone Baby Gone
No Country for Old Men
Zodiac
Knocked Up
3:10 to Yuma

how close do you guys think I will get? 2/5?

It's too early to tell considering how political the oscars get, we have to wait and see what films the studios choose to to promote.

 

[L0ngsh0t]

It's too early to tell considering how political the oscars get, we have to wait and see what films the studios choose to to promote.

Oh no I understand that, I was just throwing out the five movies I thought where best this year (Superbad might be in the mix to though) I was just seeing what you guys thought the chances of those movies being in the best picture mix where


On another note what movies do you guys think will get snubbed? Cause those are the movies I tend to think are the real best movies of the year, like last year Children of Men for me should have at least been on the list for Best Picture considering both the Queen and United 93 where on there.

 

[Shifty]

I'm wondering how the writers strike will effect the show. Will Jon Stewart host, will they get nonunion writers or the producers to write the show?

 

[Catman]

I think the big three will be No Country For Old Men, Sweeney Todd, and There Will Be Blood

So far it seems that way. Tomorrow are the Golden Globe nominations, so we'll know for sure who the top contenders are.

 

[Dark Donnie]

guarantee is the key word, I have one guarantee out of that list so I don't know if 2/5 is absurd

It's not absurd at all, but sometimes the Oscars are.....they'll probably have two movies in the best picture category that no one saw.

 

[Movies205]

Oh no I understand that, I was just throwing out the five movies I thought where best this year (Superbad might be in the mix to though) I was just seeing what you guys thought the chances of those movies being in the best picture mix where


On another note what movies do you guys think will get snubbed? Cause those are the movies I tend to think are the real best movies of the year, like last year Children of Men for me should have at least been on the list for Best Picture considering both the Queen and United 93 where on there.

Children of Men was very beautiful however it was also very experimental and if memory serves me correctly it did get an oscar nomination for Cinematography, Writing, and Editing which were it's strongest strengths so it's not as if Best Picture is the only catagory.

 

[Movies205]

It's not absurd at all, but sometimes the Oscars are.....they'll probably have two movies in the best picture category that no one saw.

Just because no one's seen it doesn't make it absurd.

 

[L0ngsh0t]

Children of Men was very beautiful however it was also very experimental and if memory serves me correctly it did get an oscar nomination for Cinematography, Writing, and Editing which were it's strongest strengths so it's not as if Best Picture is the only catagory.

Totally, I just thought it was a much better movie than most of what was nominated also

 

[L0ngsh0t]

It's not absurd at all, but sometimes the Oscars are.....they'll probably have two movies in the best picture category that no one saw.

I don't nessecarily mind that ether though, like with out them "actually" selecting a solid best actor crop I probably would have never heard of Half-Nelson which was one of my 10 favorite movies from last year

 

[Road Warrior]

For some reason I see these becoming the Best Picture nominees

Atonement
Juno
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Sweeney Todd

 

[Rac]

Persepolis for Best Animation nomination.

 

[War Party]

Persepolis for Best Animation nomination.

Agree 100%. Everything I read and seen on the film is fantastic. Should be seeing it in 2 weeks.

 

[french joker]

- brad pitt for best actor in The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
make that happen and i will be happy

 

[A Dark Knight]

Best Actor Noms: Daniel Day Lewis - TWBB, George Clooney - MC, Christan Bale - RD, Tommy Lee Jones - ITVE, Russell Crowe - 3:10 to Yuma or AG, Denzel Washington for AG, Outside shot: Brad Pitt - AOJJ, Vigo Mortensen - EP, Casey Affleck - GBG, James McAvoy - AT

Best Support Actor Noms: Javier Bardem - NCOM (He will Win), Casey Affleck - AOJJ, Steve Zahn - RD, Josh Brolin - AG, Tom Wilkinson - MC, Outside shot: Robert Downey JR. - Zodiac, Russell Crowe - AG, Christan Bale - 3:10 to Yuma.

Christan Bale, Russell Crowe, Casey Affleck, Tommy Lee Jones and Josh Brolin could be nominated for either of the movies they have been in, they all had very strong years IMHO.

Top Movies: American Gangster, No Country for Old Men, Swneey Todd, There Will Be Blood, Atonement, Outside Shot: Juno, Zodiac, Gone Baby Gone.

 

[Dark Donnie]

Just because no one's seen it doesn't make it absurd.

Absurd was the wrong word...I meant obscure

 

[Timstuff]

I'm guessing that the big special effects battle this year will be between Transformers, Spider-Man 3, and Pirates of the Caribbean AWE. Personally though, I'd love to see TF get the award.

 

[Catman]

I'm guessing that the big special effects battle this year will be between Transformers, Spider-Man 3, and Pirates of the Caribbean AWE. Personally though, I'd love to see TF get the award.

Yup. Although it'll be between POTC and Transformers.

 

[WorthyStevens]

Some thoughts so far...

Best Picture - American Gangster, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead, No Country for Old Men, 3:10 to Yuma, There Will Be Blood. Runner-ups: Zodiac, Sweeney Todd, Gone Baby Gone, Once

Best Actor - Russell Crowe, Denzel Washington (one or the other for American Gangster), Christian Bale (Rescue Dawn), Johnny Depp (Sweeney Todd), Javier Bordem (No Country for Old Men), Daniel Day-Lewis (There Will Be Blood). Runner-ups: Brad Pitt (Jesse James) Philip Seymour Hoffman (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead)

Best Actress - Marisa Tomei, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead, Julie Christie (Away from Her

Best Supporting Actor - Robert Downey, Jr. (Zodiac)

Best Supporting Actress - Marcia Gay Harden (The Mist), Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)

Best Director - David Fincher (Zodiac), P.T. Anderson (There Will Be Blood, Tim Burton (Sweeney Todd), Sidney Lumet (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead), the Coen Brothers (No Country for Old Men). Runner-ups: Paul Greengrass (Bourne Ultimatum), Danny Boyle (Sunshine), Frank Darabont (The Mist)

Best Adapted Screenplay - The Mist

Best Animated Movie - Ratatouille, The Simpsons Movie

Best Visual Effects - 300, Transformers, POTC3: At World's End. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix

Best Costume Design - Hairspray, 3:10 to Yuma, Sweeney Todd

 

[Rez]

Ugh. I stand by my thoughts that this has been one hell of a weak year.

The past several years I've found myself really pissed off at the nominations- not because those nominated didn't deserve it, but because there were so many other films and people that I thought should have been nominated as well.

This year, however, I really can't even think of enough movies or actors that I'd want filling out the categories. Pretty big dissapointments, all around.

I will say that I can't believe so many people are going ape **** over American Gangster. Hasn't anyone here ever seen the HBO series The Wire? AG was nothing more than 3 subpar episodes of that, except set in the 70's.

And 3:10 to Yuma? I HOPE you guys are kidding :-P

 

[Rac]

Agree 100%. Everything I read and seen on the film is fantastic. Should be seeing it in 2 weeks.

IMO:
One of the best movies of the year.
Best animated movie of the year. (Note; Ratatouille and Futurama movie are still unseen.)
Best comic book movie of the year.

 

[Darkly Dexter]

No country for old men or There will be blood for Best Picture

Coen brothers for Best Directors

Daniel Day Lewis or Johnnt Depp for Best Actor

 

[L0ngsh0t]

Ugh. I stand by my thoughts that this has been one hell of a weak year.

The past several years I've found myself really pissed off at the nominations- not because those nominated didn't deserve it, but because there were so many other films and people that I thought should have been nominated as well.

This year, however, I really can't even think of enough movies or actors that I'd want filling out the categories. Pretty big dissapointments, all around.

I will say that I can't believe so many people are going ape **** over American Gangster. Hasn't anyone here ever seen the HBO series The Wire? AG was nothing more than 3 subpar episodes of that, except set in the 70's.

And 3:10 to Yuma? I HOPE you guys are kidding :-P

I dunno I thought this has been the best year of movies maybe this century

I think we got two comedy classics in Knocked Up, and Superbad

we got some revived Western love with 3:10, and No Country

The completion of a comeback, and redemption by the Fleck with Gone Baby Gone

A flat out awesome movie with Planet Terror

a great thriller in Zodiac, and just great movies like Michael Clayton, American Gangster, and Before the Devil Knows You're Dead, and possibly the best chick flick ever with Waitress

Solid Action movies all around but notable ones with Die Hard, Transformers, Potter, and Bourne

In all honesty I don't see where the weak year has come from, I think this is by far the strongest year of at least the last 5 years

 

[cabel]

I can see 300 being nominated for fx and cinematography

 

[Shifty]

Variety.com
Award shows brace for strike
Producers worried stars may not show up
By MICHAEL FLEMING, DAVE MCNARY
Posted: Tue., Dec. 11, 2007, 5:29pm PT

Golden Globe noms will be announced Thursday, but this year there's double the suspense: not only who will be nominated, but who will attend.

The Globes, to be telecast Jan. 13 on NBC, has asked for a waiver from the Writers Guild of America in order to allow guild scribes to pen the kudocast's script, but few expect it will be granted.

So will the stars -- both presenters and nominees -- be willing to cross the picket line?

The WGA continued to be mum on the Globes question Tuesday but it has granted a waiver to the Screen Actors Guild's 14th annual awards -- not a completely surprising development, given SAG's strong support for the WGA throughout the six-week strike.

It's a safe bet that all upcoming televised kudocasts -- which include the Critics Choice Awards, the SAG Awards, Independent Spirit Awards and the big kahuna, the Oscars -- will proceed as scheduled, since the networks and the voting orgs have too much invested to cancel them.

SAG, in response to questions, said its interim agreement with the WGA covers a professional union writer for its Jan. 27 show in Los Angeles.

"WGA's support for the Screen Actors Guild and the SAG Awards -- an event that pays tribute to the extraordinary work of actors and highlights the importance of the labor movement in the entertainment industry -- is welcome recognition of the strong bond of solidarity between our two creative guilds," national exec director Doug Allen said. "We're grateful to the WGA for working with us to accomplish this understanding and strongly support their efforts to get a fair contract."

The waiver also means that the SAG Awards, telecast on TBS and TNT, won't be picketed. The WGA previously granted waivers to the Kennedy Center Honors telecast and for Elizabeth Taylor's AIDS benefit at Paramount.

But for the other shows, attendance of nominees in all categories is a question mark; of particular concern to the networks is the presence of star contenders or presenters. Actors have shown solidarity on picket lines, but optimists are hoping that, even without a waiver, kudos shows will warrant a cease-fire, so stars can attend without guilt or censure.

One major producer said, "You've got a guy like George Clooney, who has been outspoken and who has given money to a strike fund. If he gets nominated for 'Michael Clayton,' it's very difficult to imagine him crossing a picket line -- to say nothing of all those television actors who've been photographed walking on picket lines in solidarity with the writers. They can't think it's OK to cross because they're up for an award."

In theory, people in the film and TV business will want to honor their colleagues, but there are questions of priorities: At least one showrunner on a TV series is refusing to even do publicity for his show, since he feels that will bolster the companies that he's striking.

One agent of top stars hopes that, waivers or not, there won't be protests outside awards shows. "What good will the writers accomplish by picketing shows that celebrate their fellow artists? It would be spectacularly unfair to force fellow artists to stay away. Do studios make money from the show? Of course, but so do all the artists. This is a celebration of artists, and it should have nothing to do with politics between the guild and the studios."

A Daily Variety poll showed overwhelming support for the writers. But it's hard to predict the mood by Jan. 13 (the Globes telecast), much less the Feb. 24 Oscarcast.

Of course, most people hope that the strike will be resolved by then. But the rancorous end to the talks on Friday and the ensuing verbal volleys have fueled a fear that the strike could be a long one.

Said one prominent celebrity publicist: "We are all waiting to hear what the guild will do before we figure out what clients should do, but we are hopeful they'll grant the waiver."

The WGA has not weighed in yet on waivers for any shows, but few expect them to promote the work of the studios and networks they are striking. And pickets will provide a chance for their grievances to be aired in red-carpet coverage.

A special case, of course, is the WGA Awards themselves. The Feb. 9 ceremony will not be televised, so, by attending, scribes would not in any way be promoting a network.

The Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. and NBC usually only hire two or three writers for the Globes, which has no host.

But Oscar will have to deal with the added question of Jon Stewart, who has declined to resume his latenight talkshow since the strike began. It's a little early to make decisions yet: Most kudos shows start the writing process after nominations are announced.

The hosts and voiceover talent at awards shows perform as members of the American Federation of Television & Radio Artists.

In 1988, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences was denied a waiver just weeks after the WGA strike started. The Acad enlisted comic performers to write their own material; while there were onstage jokes about the walkout, viewers at home barely noticed any difference in the lineup of nominees and presenters.

In contrast, almost no stars showed up for the 1980 Emmy telecast, which came during the SAG-AFTRA strike. The only winner in attendance was Powers Boothe, who won for his work in the telefilm "Guyana Tragedy: The Story of Jim Jones."

It will be a joke if all the presenters are C-listers and they will be saying "So and so couldn't be here tonight, we accept this on their behalf."