2008 Box Office Predictions & Discussions thread

[Galactus]

The problem is that Narnia only made so much because of when it opened. After dropping hard due to Kong, it had amazing legs due to christmas, new years, and extremely weak january as always. This time its opposite. Not only will it drop hard in its 2nd weak against Indiana Jones, but then June is full of big hits. Itll open well, but it wont have nearly good enough legs to top the 290 the first made. I'd go with 260 in the u.s. and about 350 overseas-Indiana Jones is even bigger overseas and it opens 6 days later. This wasvery poor date choosing, had they stuck it in December of 2008 it woulda done 300 million+.

I think Narnia has a large enough fanbase to make a lot of money no matter when it's released, just like the Harry Potter-movies. Look at Order of the Phoenix; released in the most crowded summer yet, and (I might be wrong) wasn't that the biggest Harry Potter-movie since the first one?

 

[Excel]

I think Narnia has a large enough fanbase to make a lot of money no matter when it's released, just like the Harry Potter-movies. Look at Order of the Phoenix; released in the most crowded summer yet, and (I might be wrong) wasn't that the biggest Harry Potter-movie since the first one?

yes as it had the best release date. nothing opened after it. Narnia will make lots but not as much as the original or as much as it could have.

 

[Galactus]

yes as it had the best release date. nothing opened after it. Narnia will make lots but not as much as the original or as much as it could have.

Maybe, maybe not. But it should still be one of the biggest movies of the summer, and the entire year. And I never said it would be as big as the first one. I was just curious as to why so few people had the movie on their lists

 

[Cinemaman]

Narnia and Potter will take the top with TDK following them, that's what I guess will happen. It's not about the qality, it's all about money.

 

[terry78]

Well, Hanna Montana was number 1 this past weekend. 38 mil.

 

[Reek]

harry potter will dominate...narnia will make 700 mill worldwide...TDK 600 ww...Indy 600 ww...

HP...900+...maybe even a billion. mark my words.

 

[Excel]

Well, Hanna Montana was number 1 this past weekend. 38 mil.

hannah montana will break 40 millionthis weekend

Close enough; I didnt reealize it wasnt even gonna break 1000 theaters.

 

[Excel]

Star Trek has moved to May 2009, Star Wars: The Clone Wars comes out August 15th vs. Dragon Ball Z and Tropic Thunder, which has moved from July 11th, giving TDK more room to garner buzz and hype.

 

[YJ1]

Star Trek has moved to May 2009

When in May? Is it crowding X-Men Origins: Wolverine?

 

[Hunter Rider]

When in May? Is it crowding X-Men Origins: Wolverine?

Not crowding, it's merely everyone looking for a spot. it's out a week after Wolverine.

 

[YJ1]

Not crowding, it's merely everyone looking for a spot. it's out a week after Wolverine.

I just saw that in the Star Trek thread. Dumb move by Paramount. May 29 would've been smarter. A week after Night at the Museum would've made more sense.

 

[Excel]

well, Indiana Jones trailer is out and while its good, its not as mind blowing as say episodes teaser, and its been released with a movie that wont get it enough exposure, and obviously its just too late.

all the buzz for pre-summer films has gone to the dark knight-literally of all of it- as it stands, so paramount better have some sort of huge plan in the mix...

 

[Hunter Rider]

 

[terry78]

well, Indiana Jones trailer is out and while its good, its not as mind blowing as say episodes teaser, and its been released with a movie that wont get it enough exposure, and obviously its just too late.

all the buzz for pre-summer films has gone to the dark knight-literally of all of it- as it stands, so paramount better have some sort of huge plan in the mix...

Yeah, they have a plan. Release ****ing Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull.

 

[GoldenAgeHero]

well, Indiana Jones trailer is out and while its good, its not as mind blowing as say episodes teaser, and its been released with a movie that wont get it enough exposure, and obviously its just too late.

all the buzz for pre-summer films has gone to the dark knight-literally of all of it- as it stands, so paramount better have some sort of huge plan in the mix...

not it hasn't, wtf are you even talking about. Indaina jones has alot of buzz surrounding it. harry potter is going to get alot of buzz also.

 

[Cinemaman]

I must admit that even Indy IV will make money because of it's great fan base and people, who still have faith in the franchise, TDK still has the best marketing strategy out of all 2008 blockbusters.

Still, I guess everything will go like this:
Narnia 2 - $315-335m
Harry Potter 6 - $300-320m
Indy IV - $270-290m
TDK - $255-275m
Iron Man - $190-220m

Looks like a good year for Warner Bros.

 

[Excel]

semi pro bombed; tracking has 10k bc at 48 million

 

[TLH]

Rough estimates:

Harry Potter - $330 million
Indiana Jones - $300 million
Narnia - $275 million
TDK - $250 million
007 - $200 million
Iron Man: $135 million

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

If I'm wrong I'll obviously admit it, but I still think that most people are completely overpredicting The Dark Knight.

 

[Poetic Chaos]

If I'm wrong I'll obviously admit it, but I still think that most people are completely overpredicting The Dark Knight.

I see $250M as the max for TDK and that's still iffy to me.

 

[Nightmare]

I think BC might bring in 20-30 mill. I dont see it being a huge hit.

 

[Nirvana]

Am I the only one who thinks Indy has the potential to do Star Wars numbers?

 

[Drizzle]

Am I the only one who thinks Indy has the potential to do Star Wars numbers?

Maybe "Attack of the Clones" numbers (roughly $300 million domestic, $600 million worldwide).

 

[WorthyStevens]

If I'm wrong I'll obviously admit it, but I still think that most people are completely overpredicting The Dark Knight.

Hotly anticipated sequel to a movie that did gangbusters on DVD, and features the last starring role of an actor whose death made headlines worldwide?

If anything, people are underpredicting.

 

[Gonzo]

The only movies that I really see breaking out and having a big summer, are INDY and The Dark Night and Narnia. Iron Man has the potential to make 200 million but didn't it cost almost that much to make? Get Smart looks decent enough and don't rule out X-files 2, just because it's been 10 years since the last film, there's still some fanbase left and it only cost 35 million to make.
We should be lucky, I remember when I was younger we'd only get like 1 or 2 summer films and that's it. Oh and a bit trvia, Batman and Indy have done battle before, Last crusade and the 1st Tim Burton Batman came out in the summer of 89, at least I think Last Cruade came out in the summer.