Jets (+7) over CHARGERS
The key matchup: Jets CB Darrelle Revis must stop Chargers receiver Vincent Jackson.
Key Player: Shonn Greene, who last weekend made every Pats fan say, "Wait a second, we had three of the top-60 picks and somehow missed that guy so we could end up with Laurence Maroney again?" You can run the ball down San Diego's throat, and you can run for big plays against San Diego. Greene can do both.
Possible Playoff Doppleganger: Jets 20, Chargers 17 (Jan. 8, 2005). I had the Chargers laying six. Didn't have to look that up. That was "The Night I Forgot That You Should Never Wager On Marty Schottenheimer in a Playoff Game."
Possible "Get Ready For a Weird Game" Omen: Jets owner Woody Johnson recently lost his daughter, Casey Johnson, who reportedly struggled with drug/alcohol problems. Casey Johnson was engaged to Tila Tequila, who accused Chargers linebacker Shawne Merriman of domestic violence when they were dating back in August. Now the Jets and Chargers are playing in Round 2. Any game that features a prominent tie to Tila Tequila HAS to play out strangely, right?
Possible Tragic Figure: LaDainian Tomlinson. Win or lose, I have a feeling we'll be getting a heavy dose of Darren Sproles in this game, along with a lot of Tomlinson sideline shots in which he's sitting sullenly on the bench and looking like his McFarlane action figure.
Hero You Might Not Have Expected: Darrelle Revis. Crap -- you'd totally expect him. I don't care. Shut down Vincent Jackson and you can beat the Bolts.
This Game As a "Jersey Shore" Character: Vinny. He's gaining steam as the season goes long; so are the Jets.
Relevant E-mail (from name withheld): "Hey Cheatriot (expletive) how you like Sanchez now! (EXPLETIVE) YOU. Enjoy watching the Jets while the Cheatriots sit home (EXPLETIVE) each other you (EXPLETIVE). (EXPLETIVE)." Stay classy, Jersey.
Theories in Play: Like with Vikes/Cowboys, the "Beware of teams that looked a little too good in Round 1" and "Don't overrate home-field advantage" theories cancel out. So let's go with the pure matchups: San Diego loves chucking the ball, can't run the ball and can't stop the run. The Jets love running the ball, suck at stopping the run and do a nice job against passing teams. Could they have picked a better Round 2 opponent? The stars have aligned for the J-E-T-S JetsJetsJETS.
(Insert sound of thousands of Jets fans screaming, "Nooooooooooooo! He picked us! KISS OF DEATH!!!!!!!!!" Well, you shouldn't have sent me so many taunting e-mails last weekend. Enjoy the Simmons stink.)
The Pick: Jets 20, Chargers 19.