2012: A Monster Year? (box office predictions) - Part 2

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But Dark Shadows' problem was the script, not the cast and crew.
 
And another thing about At the Mountain of Madness, at least Del Toro chose Pacific Rim. I think that at the least, the movie's gonna have awesome action and make the mech genre popular.
 
Dark Shadows should have released around Halloween time. Nobody wants to see an emo, stylized, vampire shenanigans movie in May. I haven't seen it so I don't know if it was terrible or not but it just looked eh so I didn't go.
 
Early tracking has MIB3 in the low 80s. Reviews have been pretty solid as well. Not the trainwreck MIB2 was.
 
Thank God. As long as it's better than the second one, I'm fine. It doesn't need to be better than the first for me.
 
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I think the director promised it would be better than the second. It was the only condition Will Smith would agree to do the movie.
 
A couple sure things in life and one of them is don't bet against Will Smith on Memorial Day weekend.
 
But Dark Shadows' problem was the script, not the cast and crew.

The script was horrible. Considering Burton and Depp co-produced this as huge fans of the TV show, it's shocking that they went to film with such a horrible script. Visually I thought the film looked good, although some of the makeup effects and visual effects looked a bit cheap, like the werewolf effects and Angelina breaking apart.
 
Early tracking has MIB3 in the low 80s. Reviews have been pretty solid as well. Not the trainwreck MIB2 was.

First set of RT reviews were not inspiring, only 8 reviews, but I suspect it will be in the mid 50's when all the reviews are in. This will open under 60.
 
Early tracking has MIB3 in the low 80s. Reviews have been pretty solid as well. Not the trainwreck MIB2 was.

Wolverine origins opened to 80 million i believe then dropped like a stone around the same time of year. The movie is going to have to have good WOM if it hopes to be profitable at least domestically.
 
MIB3 had a troubled production but it would have to fail pretty hard to match the turd that is Origins.
 
It seems like...MIB3 is getting decent reviews. Not OMG awesome, but I'm kinda surprised.
 
And another thing about At the Mountain of Madness, at least Del Toro chose Pacific Rim. I think that at the least, the movie's gonna have awesome action and make the mech genre popular.

And it's an original potential franchise, something that Sony/Columbia may have to do if they want to stay in the film business.
 
Pacific Rim is Warner Bros and Legendary Pictures.

I've been hearing there may be teaser attached to TDKR. I know Man of Steel trailer will be attached to it.
 
Well, it's been like a decade gap since MIB2 came out. They've had all that time to create a story, rewrite it and reshoot per test audiences, etc. The ads may not be doing justice to how good it may be.
 
The "good" reviews for MIB 3, basically say "well it's not as bad as it could have been". I don't buy the tracking numbers one bit. Terminator Salvation was tracking well, and when people saw what a piece of excrement that was, I think it was one of the worst attended films over Memorial Day weekend, and this movie will contend with it.
 
It should be the one to take Avengers down I think, mostly due to the name recognition.
 
I don't buy the tracking numbers one bit.

You're forgetting one thing-

tumblr_m4dbrxCsPa1qcbps7o1_1337596183_cover.jpg
 
Yep, Will Smith is going to be carrying this movie. MIB name alone or Josh Brolin isn't enough.
 
When avengers drops the standard 50% next weekend, that will put it at at least 27mill.
I would eat my shorts if the current streak of luckstar competition disney's facing has a Will Smith name property opening at less than that.
 
I see MIB3 being number one. It's not going to do anything record breaking but I would be shocked if it weren't number for the weekend.
 
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