2012: A Monster Year? (box office predictions) - Part 2

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I`m confused, how much exactly has "The Avengers" made to date???

All the money in the Universe.

 

[superherofan777]

About 1.2 billion WW.

...................................

""Keanu Reeves voice** WHOA. That`s intense. Forgive my ignorance if you guys have already dived deep into this, but it must be said...idk if TDKR will be able to compete. Hmmmm.

 

[superherofan777]

All the money in the Universe.

lol Indeed it appears so. Lovely avatar btw

 

[The Morningstar]

It shouldn't be viewed as a competition really. TDKR will still make a heft amount of money. Probably at least a billion. Avengers will probably finish around 1.5 billion.

It's win win for fans of comic books and comic book movies and great films in general (if TDKR is good that is)

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

lol Indeed it appears so. Lovely avatar btw

Thanks. I'm thinking about changing it though.

It shouldn't be viewed as a competition really. TDKR will still make a heft amount of money. Probably at least a billion. Avengers will probably finish around 1.5 billion.

It's win win for fans of comic books and comic book movies and great films in general (if TDKR is good that is)

True. I liked the Avenger's so I'm not mad at it and I hope that TDKR's is as good as the last one. Inception made me more excited about Rises than TDK did and TDK is a great film.

 

[Tony Stark]

I thought the 85mil was for the Holiday weekend?

OK, if it's for the 4day, then I could see that. No way in hell it makes 85 Fri-Sun.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

OK, if it's for the 4day, then I could see that. No way in hell it makes 85 Fri-Sun.

I would laugh at such a ridiculous prediction.

 

[The Morningstar]

With it being memorial day weekend, could Avengers even see a small boost from last weekend? It'll surely be a much smaller drop than regular weekends at least?

 

[superherofan777]

It shouldn't be viewed as a competition really. TDKR will still make a heft amount of money. Probably at least a billion. Avengers will probably finish around 1.5 billion.

It's win win for fans of comic books and comic book movies and great films in general (if TDKR is good that is)

I`m not viewing it in that sense...but us fans know that there is a staggering amount of people who are, and to be honest it is a curious thing, which one will do better box office wise. Obviously the main thing is are the films good, & will the fans be pleased. But, I`m hoping TDKR topples avengers financially in my personal opinion. It looks magnificent. Time will tell.

I still can`t believe avengers made so much, don`t think it will top avatar though.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

With it being memorial day weekend, could Avengers even see a small boost from last weekend? It'll surely be a much smaller drop than regular weekends at least?

It's not going to go up, it's already shown that it's too front loaded to do that.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

With TDK still selling more tickets than TA, I say that confirms that TDKR will not break the OW record.

 

[Raiden]

With TDK still selling more tickets than TA, I say that confirms that TDKR will not break the OW record.

I agree. I think TDKR will be to TDK what Spider-Man 2 was to Spider-Man 1. TDKR will have to sell alot more tickets than TA just to catch up due to lack of 3D, and even with the tail end of the summer and minimal competition, I don't see it happening. But I expect TDKR to gross at least 1 billion WW.

 

[Kahran Ramsus]

^We'll just say audiences are stupid and don't recognize good film.

They are getting better, at least in the US. I think Twitter has helped a lot, because it gets the WOM out there much faster.

 

[CConn]

I agree. I think TDKR will be to TDK what Spider-Man 2 was to Spider-Man 1. TDKR will have to sell alot more tickets than TA just to catch up due to lack of 3D, and even with the tail end of the summer and minimal competition, I don't see it happening. But I expect TDKR to gross at least 1 billion WW.

Eh, I don't think just because it won't pass TA, that it won't beat TDK.

I think with the ridiculous reputation he's earned through TDK and Inception, and with it being his last Batman movie, people should show up in droves...more than TDK, even.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

I agree. I think TDKR will be to TDK what Spider-Man 2 was to Spider-Man 1. TDKR will have to sell alot more tickets than TA just to catch up due to lack of 3D, and even with the tail end of the summer and minimal competition, I don't see it happening. But I expect TDKR to gross at least 1 billion WW.

I agree. The lack of 3D will prevent TDKR from crossing 200 million on OW, even with inflation and 300 new IMAX theaters.

I, personally, thought TDKR had shot after seeing what The Hunger Games did but with the confirmation of the ticket sale numbers, I see TDKR possibly making 25 million more on OW (180-185m).

 

[Project862006]

if inception can make over 800 million WW TDKR sure as hell can hit the billion mark again

 

[Bruce Malone]

The adjusted opening for tdk is 174 million dollars. I can see tdkr opening in the 190's range.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

if inception can make over 800 million WW TDKR sure as hell can hit the billion mark again

Yeah, I was hesitant at first, but I see TDKR making a billion now. The film has a great marketing campaign on the way involving The NBA Finals, The MLB All-Star Game, Mountain Dew and NASCAR.

The adjusted opening for tdk is 174 million dollars. I can see tdkr opening in the 190's range.

190s would be great but we'll see. I'm not too confident in TDKR hitting 188m yet.

 

[Doctor Jones]

And we have to remember though, TDKR possibly outgrossing DH2 is still a great thing and no small feat. For lack of 3D tickets, anything over $169 is pretty damn impressive. But of course, it won't be looked at in that way. It will be all about how Avengers made $207 million.

It just goes to show how different these two films are and shouldn't be compared. Even their box office and how it makes it are different.

 

[terry78]

People can talk about how 3D gives box office a boost, but if a bunch of people still didn't go see it, it wouldn't mean ****. Same difference.

 

[CConn]

People can talk about how 3D gives box office a boost, but if a bunch of people still didn't go see it, it wouldn't mean ****. Same difference.

No, it isn't the same difference.

Because if one movie sells out 3000 theaters and another movie sells out 3000 3d theaters, the movie in 3d will have made like 20 million more.

 

[DoomsdayApex]

And we have to remember though, TDKR possibly outgrossing DH2 is still a great thing and no small feat. For lack of 3D tickets, anything over $169 is pretty damn impressive. But of course, it won't be looked at in that way. It will be all about how Avengers made $207 million.

It just goes to show how different these two films are and shouldn't be compared. Even their box office and how it makes it are different.

Precisely. I'm not too focused on the numbers (way more anxious about the film's conclusion) but making over 169m on OW without the aid of 3D is no small feat. I'll certainly be happy with the end result either way.

People can talk about how 3D gives box office a boost, but if a bunch of people still didn't go see it, it wouldn't mean ****. Same difference.

Wha-?

 

[terry78]

It provides a larger box office take, fair enough, but my point is that there are still massive amounts of people paying to see it, 3D or not. If they're forced to see it in 3D I get that, but it doesn't diminish its success simply because the tickets cost more.

 

[CConn]

We're not saying it diminishes success.

We're saying it's hard to compare a 3D movie with a non-3D movie.

 

[Bruce Malone]

Which is why i'd prefer it if movies were also listed by tickets sold. It gives a much more accurate picture of how many people are seeing the film. Movie tickets are the only things purchased that aren't listed by units sold.