2013: The Re-Up (box office predictions)

[jacobed]

I don't think any big comic book movie has ever had to face to this type of competition before. Congrats to Wwz, the little engine that could. It is the Rise of the Plant of the Apes of this year

 

[terry78]

Monsters U. was already in the bag, you knew this.

 

[JP]

That's a huge X-Men-like drop for MoS this weekend.

 

[Quasimod0]

Wow nothing is even really coming close to iron man 3 box office wise. The hobbit probably will though.

 

[kvz5]

Maybe Catching Fire?

 

[Liam_H]

Domestic certainly, but WW? That is still up for question.

 

[mclay18]

That's a huge X-Men-like drop for MoS this weekend.

I hate to bring in THG again, but MOS's second Saturday bump percentage was roughly equivalent to that film's. Then you have a smaller Saturday-to-Sunday decrease (25% versus THG's 39%).

If the third weekend gross drops less than 50% (like to $20M-$22M), then it'll get to $300M domestic.

 

[Marvin]

I hate to bring in THG again, but MOS's second Saturday bump percentage was roughly equivalent to that film's. Then you have a smaller Saturday-to-Sunday decrease (25% versus THG's 39%).

If the third weekend gross drops less than 50% (like to $20M-$22M), then it'll get to $300M domestic.

Does this take weekly sales into account.
Never understand this.

I have a feeling it's going to hit 16 or so next weekend. There are just way too many options.

 

[mclay18]

Does this take weekly sales into account.
Never understand this.

I have a feeling it's going to hit 16 or so next weekend. There are just way too many options.

To be fair, THG opened with no competition at all in late March 2012. Plus, the demographics aren't that similar to MOS. I was wrong comparing MOS's run to THG's, they're apples and oranges at best.

But the summer release works in MOS' favor, since the weekdays are stronger due to kids being out of school. If the weekdays during the second week fall around 50% or less, that could help if the third weekend falls to $16M-$18M.

 

[psylockolussus]

Wow World War Z did great!

 

[:eek:]

Top 15 worldwide

1. Iron Man 3 $1208 million
2. Fast & Furious 6 $666,7 million
3. The Croods $577,1 million
4. Oz The Great and Powerful $491,6 million
5. Star Trek Into Darkness $430,6 million
6. Man of Steel $402,9 million
7. G.I. Joe: Retaliation $369,6 million
8. The Hangover Part III $325,6 million
9. The Great Gatsby $313,1 million
10. A Good Day to Die Hard $304,7 million
11. Oblivion $283 million
12. Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters $225,7 million
13. Epic $225,3 million
14. Journey to the West: Conquering the Demons $207,9 million
15. Lost in Thailand $202,6 million

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Does this take weekly sales into account.
Never understand this.

I have a feeling it's going to hit 16 or so next weekend. There are just way too many options.

We rarely agree but I must say...

that's a badass avvy.

 

[:eek:]

‘Despicable Me 2′ Putting $48.6M In Foreign Till Through Sunday Before U.S. Release

Illumination Entertainment‘s and Universal‘s 3D sequel Despicable Me 2 opened #1 in five of its 6 new http://www.deadline.com/2013/06/des...unday-before-u-s-release-july-3/dm2_poster-2/territories this weekend for an early cumulative total of $28M through Friday from the UK-Ireland, France, Belgium, Netherlands, French-speaking Switzerland, and Sweden. The weekend estimate is for an early total of $48.6M through Sunday. As a comparison in the same seven territories, DM2 is performing well ahead of the original Despicable Me as well as DreamWorks sequels Kung Fu Panda 2 and Madagascar 2 and 3. Gru and his manic minions open in North America in limited release Tuesday night and go wide on Wednesday before the Fourth Of July holiday. Expectations are for new records in the 38 territories with the U.S./Canada opening next weekend. Here’s a territory by territory breakdown:
UK & Ireland - Opened #1 with big $3.5M at 542 dates and 49% market share. This is 3x bigger than the opening day of Despicable Me. The total including last week’s previews is $11M (£7.2M). If estimates continue in the same patterns, DM2 will break the record as Universal’s biggest opening weekend with previews in that market.
France - Opened #1 on Wednesday and has grossed a high $3.6M at 799 dates. It has 40% market share and is more than twice as big as Despicable Me.
Belgium – Opened #1 and has grossed $731K at 71 dates including previews. This is 65% ahead of Despicable Me.
Netherlands – Opened #1 and has grossed bigger than expected $1.4M at 131 dates and 81% ahead of original..
French-Speaking Switzerland – Opened #1 and has grossed $395K at 43 dates with previews, which is 89% ahead of Despicable Me.
Sweden – Opened #2 behind Man Of Steel and has grossed a big $914K at 140 dates with previews. It is 89% ahead of Despicable Me.
Australia - DM2 opened last weekend and is holding strong at #2 behind Man Of Steel’s opening. The cume Down Under is now $10M.

 

[terry78]

It opened overseas already? ****.

 

[:eek:]

It opened overseas already? ****.

Oh, just wait until next year when Amazing Spider-Man 2 opens April 17 in Germany and April 18 in UK and Sweden.

 

[Marvin]

We rarely agree but I must say...

that's a badass avvy.

thx, it captures my mood on shh pretty well.
I can only imagine what this place would be like had this film not dropped.

 

[enterthemadness]

Not a good drop for WWZ. Saw it yesterday. I like it, good movie, bit slow at times, bit too much shaky cam, damn...Brad Pitt is a good actor.

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

$123M ish after two weeks...should get to $150M Domestic.

As for the ending in the movie and expensive alt ending aka original ending

Spoiler

After reading about the first ending shot in Russia, glad they reshot the 3rd act. Sorry, Matthew Fox. Your overacting wasn't needed after all

 

[rayc1971]

Wow nothing is even really coming close to iron man 3 box office wise. The hobbit probably will though.

the hobbit barely made 300mill domestic don't see the second one doing 400mill domestic.i told people with long run times it wasn't going to break any records some though it was going to give avengers 207mill opening weekend a run.i see thhe 3rd one making the most money

 

[rayc1971]

now you see me surprise hit of the summer over 100mill domestic

 

[Mysteryman]

MOS is holding well in week 3.

 

[Quasimod0]

the hobbit barely made 300mill domestic don't see the second one doing 400mill domestic.i told people with long run times it wasn't going to break any records some though it was going to give avengers 207mill opening weekend a run.i see thhe 3rd one making the most money

I meant overall WW gross. Didnt the hobbit make over 1 billion or no?

 

[jacobed]

Yeah it did but not by much

 

[rayc1971]

I meant overall WW gross. Didnt the hobbit make over 1 billion or no?

yeah it did but feel the 3rd movie will make the most money

 

[Moridin]

the hobbit barely made 300mill domestic don't see the second one doing 400mill domestic.i told people with long run times it wasn't going to break any records some though it was going to give avengers 207mill opening weekend a run.i see thhe 3rd one making the most money

It broke the December opening weekend record.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

Only because there was a major snowstorm during Avatar's opening weeknd. t: