I remember even as a 10 year old being pissed off that Shakespeare in Love beat Saving Private Ryan.
But does anyone else feel like the Best Picture title isn’t as prestigious as it used to be? Movies like The Silence of the Lambs, Schindler’s List, Titanic, and Return of the King stayed in the consciousness of the general public for years after they were released. Take this decade’s winners for example. The Artist, Argo, Birdman, Spotlight, even last year’s The Shape of Water. Nobody talks about them. It’s like they fade into obscurity the day after the awards ceremony. Moonlight is probably the most popular one and even then that’s mostly attributed to the whole La-La Land mixup when it won.
Look at this list of nominees between just 1990 and 1995, their box office adjusted for inflation:
Dances With Wolves - $781m
Ghost - $970m
The Silence of the Lambs - $522
Beauty and the Beast - $783m
JFK - $376m
Unforgiven - $293m
The Fugitive - $639m
A Few Good Men - $422m
Forrest Gump - $1.1B
Pulp Fiction - $361m
Four Weddings and a Funeral - $415m
Braveheart - $346m
Apollo 13 - $355m
Babe - $418m
Of the 30 films nominated between 90-95, 14 of the films made over $250m in today's money. Which means about half of all the BP nominees were really popular movies. But that's just the tip of the iceberg for the films in the 90's and early 2000's. Here's the comparison to the last 6 years, with twice as many nominees.
La La Land - $446
Dunkirk - $529
Get Out - $255
Mad Max 4 - $378m
The Martian - $630m
The Revenant - $533m
American Sniper - $547m
Gravity - $732m
Wolf Of Wall Street - $392m
American Hustle - $251m
Lincoln - $275m
Life of Pie - $609m
Les Miserable - $441m
Django Unchained - $425m
It's the same number of popular nominees, but with 60 BP nominations, meaning only a quarter of those nominations were movies that were really popular. But, the question that starts to emerge when looking at these figures is how many of these films would have actually been nominated had the field been only 5 nominations for BP?
Here's an interesting stat. After Lord of the Ring won in 2003, between 04-08, the year TDK was overlooked, the last year before expansion. Of the 20 nominees only 3 films grossed more than $250m adjusted for inflation -
Juno - $279m
Slumdog Millionaire - $439m
Benjamin Button - $389m
So, something happened with the voting in between LOTR winning and TDK, because before that popular movies were a regular fixture on the nominees list. In those years we had Spider-Man 2, The Incredibles, War of the Worlds, King Kong, Batman Begins, Casino Royale, The Devil Wares Prada, The Borne Ultimatum, just to name a few popular movies that would have been seriously in contention only a few years earlier. So, what the hell happened?