BvS Batman V Superman Box Office Prediction - Part 3

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This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]503211[/split]

 

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This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]488879[/split]

 

[jokesonm3]

Here's hoping that soon in this new thread will be filled with folks celebrating Batman v Superman's Box Office achievements lol.

 

[mithravishnu]

Here's hoping that soon in this new thread will be filled with folks celebrating Batman v Superman's Box Office achievements lol.

Even if it passed $1.5 bn there will be complaints of not reaching $2 bn or not in the top 5.

 

[jokesonm3]

Even if it passed $1.5 bn there will be complaints of not reaching $2 bn or not in the top 5.

lol, only we rename this film into Star Wars: Superman & Batman Strike Back and it was Directed by Nolan then that might happen.

 

[third3ye]

Gonna just go out on a limb here considering we're still 2 months away, but my prediction is somewhere around $900m WW. Thinking a little north of MoS numbers for domestic and much larger share coming from international, given Batman's strong brand overseas and Snyder's over the top action. Hard for me to land on a number north of $1B considering the very mixed reception for the movie's marketing materials thus far.

 

[ernesth100]

$1 billion, don't know just how far over 1 billion but 1 billion. Or maybe it completely hits us with a curveball and pulls a Force Awakens shattering records like there's no tomorrow.

 

[jaymes_e06]

That's how I see it. Either right where predictions would be or just shattering them like crazy.

 

[bestever23]

190 million opening weekend and 340 million Domestic and 1.1 billion WW when it's finally out of theaters. You got Easter Weekend, No Major Competition, 4 weeks of no major blockbuster release and it's released in IMAX and 3D, oh and 4,000 theaters. Marketing has been awesome and with Super Bowl coming up it'll be even bigger. We haven't even talked about China. This film is set perfectly and yes the film is really good from the screenings I've heard. I wouldn't be this confident if it didn't have all those factors.

 

[fake]

190 million opening weekend and 340 million Domestic and 1.1 billion WW when it's finally out of theaters. You got Easter Weekend, No Major Competition, 4 weeks of no major blockbuster release and it's released in IMAX and 3D, oh and 4,000 theaters. Marketing has been awesome and with Super Bowl coming up it'll be even bigger. We haven't even talked about China. This film is set perfectly and yes the film is really good from the screenings I've heard. I wouldn't be this confident if it didn't have all those factors.

340M Domestic from a 190M OW would be the worst legs ever for any movie. A 190M OW would more likely lead to 440M+ than a 340M finish.

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

1.6 billion would be nice but thats pushing it.

 

[Baneis8feettall]

Nolan's Batman movies made over 1 billion without 3D money.

Anything less than 1 billion is disappointment.

 

[Superchan]

If Mediocre Iron man 3 made 1.2 billion then you can bet the kent farm that BvS will make atleast 1.2 billion. I think this film can make as much as the avengers if it's excellent in quality, because it has A. the marketing push B. the novelty of batman and superman together for the first time and C. a great release date with minimal competition. Hence if the film turns out to be really good then it can go from very successful to JW, Avengers level breakout.

 

[GreenKToo]

Best guess, I'm thinking 200/220 ow.
450/500 dom run.
550/600 international.

That said, there are lots of unknowns here. If its not as good as we hope it may fall short of a billion.
If its even better than hoped, then it could hit 1.5 billion. my guess is in the middle. Somewhere around 1.1 billion.

 

[jokesonm3]

Remember China's going to be a key player to Batman v Superman Box Office totals.

Because of that i'd peg my international gross at somewhere between $700M - $950M

 

[Dispatch Ninja]

1.2 billion

 

[I Am The Knight]

1.3 billion Bat credits.

 

[fake]

The biggest disadvantage to BvS is the exchange rate, since 2013:

Euro is 13% weaker.
Japanese Yen is 33% weaker.
Australian dollar is 30% weaker.
Russian Ruble is 57% weaker.
Mexican Peso is 25% weaker.
Pound is 11% weaker.

And all of these are top markets for a movie, so it can outgross TDKR in literally all these markets and still have a lower dollar gross.

 

[JOE]

If Mediocre Iron man 3 made 1.2 billion then you can bet the kent farm that BvS will make atleast 1.2 billion. I think this film can make as much as the avengers if it's excellent in quality, because it has A. the marketing push B. the novelty of batman and superman together for the first time and C. a great release date with minimal competition. Hence if the film turns out to be really good then it can go from very successful to JW, Avengers level breakout.

You can't just compare a movie's quality to it's box office performance and assume something of higher quality should rake in more cash. It doesn't work like that... Iron Man 3 had a lot more going on than just being a mediocre movie. RDJ was (and still is) in his prime, and it also came off a sizzling hot Avengers movie that broke records left and right. That movie's box office performance is what you would call a perfect storm being the highest grossing solo CBM.

 

[jokesonm3]

The biggest disadvantage to BvS is the exchange rate, since 2013:

Euro is 13% weaker.
Japanese Yen is 33% weaker.
Australian dollar is 30% weaker.
Russian Ruble is 57% weaker.
Mexican Peso is 25% weaker.
Pound is 11% weaker.

And all of these are top markets for a movie, so it can outgross TDKR in literally all these markets and still have a lower dollar gross.

Interesting the third Hobbit film barely missed the billion dollar mark due to weak exchange rates at the time.

Quick question but is this a recent thing or has been happening for some time now?

 

[fake]

Interesting the third Hobbit film barely missed the billion dollar mark due to weak exchange rates at the time.

Quick question but is this a recent thing or has been happening for some time now?

The dollar has been strengthening since mid-2014. In fact, it has strengthened so much even against the Canadian Dollar, that domestic box office is down almost 5-7%.

"Domestic" box office does not only mean the US, it is the US+Canada, and the depreciation in the Canadian Dollar has also had a small effect on box office numbers.

 

[jokesonm3]

The dollar has been strengthening since mid-2014. In fact, it has strengthened so much even against the Canadian Dollar, that domestic box office is down almost 5-7%.

"Domestic" box office does not only mean the US, it is the US+Canada, and the depreciation in the Canadian Dollar has also had a small effect on box office numbers.

Cool, and what about the international markets? mainly comparing now to summer of 2015.

 

[fake]

Cool, and what about the international markets? mainly comparing now to summer of 2015.

Star Wars has apparently lost around 30% OS gross due to the strengthening dollar, so that is pretty much where we stand. Russia and Brazil are both about to go into a major slowdown due to falling oil prices. The Middle East is also starting to reel a bit.

 

[jokesonm3]

Dear oh dear thats not good, so this is sure to affect not only BvS but nearly every major film this year?

Well here's hoping BvS pulls strong domestically.

 

[TheOneWhoKnocks]

With upcoming films “Suicide Squad” and “Batman v Superman” both climbing the DAR-Film leaderboard, Warner Bros. has claimed the lead as the studio with the most anticipated comic-book adaptations of the year.

Among the slew of comic book films set for release in 2016, including new “Captain America” and “X-Men“ adaptations, early social and digital tracking places “Suicide Squad” and “Batman v Superman” 500% stronger than competitors based on standing at the same point pre-release. “Batman v Superman” is currently the #1 film by volume, followed by “Suicide Squad” and “Deadpool.”

“Suicide Squad” will not hit theaters until August of 2016, but with “Batman v Superman” set for release in March, early trailer interest levels confirm that Warner is expected to see one of its strongest summers yet.

Each week Variety publishes ListenFirst Digital Audience Ratings (DAR) – Film, a measurement of fan engagement across all the major digital platforms as it relates to film (see the TV version here). Provided by ListenFirst Media, DAR – Film measures what entertainment content is resonating most across Facebook, Google+, Instagram, Tumblr, Twitter, YouTube and Wikipedia combined. For more on the methodology behind DAR, scroll to the bottom of the article.

http://variety.com/2016/more/news/wbs-batman-v-superman-suicide-squad-outpacing-competition-on-digital-platforms-1201690088/