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This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]509171[/split]
The 125 is that WW or US?
I stand corrected. They apparently have sold 125 million worth of tickets already. Wow.
Here's the link
Schnepp just comes out with it around 3:18. Says they've already sold 125 mil in presales. No clue where he got that number from.
I'm bad at numbers, that's good comparatively right ?
it's insane. I don't think even SW7 presale crossed 100M that quickly.
don't get too excited now.
Are these presale numbers counted towards the OW numbers? Since I'd imagine a good number of these presales are for showings during OW.
That's a BS number. I don't buy it.
I don't think it's US. Has to be WW or they meant something else. Maybe it's 12.5 and they got the decimal wrong. Anyway, there's a misunderstanding somewhere
I guess I’ll post a BvS prediction so I can mock myself later. My head fights with my heart on this one. I think for a comp I would start with The Dark Knight Rises and not Man of Steel since Batman is the more popular character. Adjusting for inflation, TDKR opened to ~$175M. Pros for BvS over TDKR: Superman (among other characters) is a notable draw among the general audience, growth in PLF screens, less family competition (4th week for Zootopia v. 2nd for Ice Age 4), Easter weekend, and (hopefully) no theater shootings. Cons: following less well-received film (MOS v. TDK, although I think this is perhaps overblown since Batman is the main draw), March release (probably minimal effect on OW but will effect weekdays), and possibly tone if it is deemed too dark for families with young kids (although I kind of doubt it since TDKR wasn’t all sunshine and puppies). Looking at that list, I think the pros probably outweigh the cons so a $185M opening is what I’m guessing. Of course, strong reviews could push that number higher while poor WOM might lead to a larger Sunday drop.
Likewise, the legs will be so dependent on reception and quality it is tough to guess. I would probably lean towards a multiple around TDKR (2.8) for a domestic gross of $515M+ as I was very encouraged by the final trailer and weekend grosses should remain large without much competition. Poor reviews and more notably WOM could mean legs more like MoS (2.5 for $460M) or AoU (2.4 for $440) while great ones would probably be closer to Avengers territory (3 for $555M) or even TDK (3.4 for $630), although that would be an outlier. Looking at the international markets, TDKR made around $637 back in 2012. While the dollar is quite strong against many currencies at the moment, the international growth in just the last few years has been pretty remarkable (primarily driven by China). A foreign gross of $800M (in the neighborhood of Iron Man 3, PotC: On Stranger Tides, and Skyfall) seems about right to me. My (admittedly haphazard, totally uninformed, and largely biased) predictions: $185M OW, $515M DOM, and $1.3B WW.
yeah, he did say some BS before that. I was like "whaaaaaaat" then I picked up on it. So maybe they're exaggerating as a way of saying the pre sales look good.Schnepp's tossed out some BS before so I'd caution on the side of him throwing out more BS for now. It's an insane number.
My (admittedly haphazard, totally uninformed, and largely biased) predictions: $185M OW, $515M DOM, and $1.3B WW.