The Dark Knight Batman's Competition in 2008

[StorminNorman]

Our theater sold out four screens.

Indiana Jones had two.

 

[Mike53421]

Hate to be THAT guy, but as much as I enjoyed Begins (and I DID) and as psyched as I am for this, I fear that the dark-aspect of this movie will be what puts Iron Man over the top. Friends of mine (not to be sexist, but female) were saying how scary the Joker looks and I can only imagine that goes for children as well.

I'd LOVE to see Batman win the summer battle, but financially, I think Iron Man wins. Quality-wise, I think Iron Man was overrated so as long as TDK doesn't pull a Spiderman 3, this one should be in the bag.

I'm assuming the length of the movie would have no major impact on how much money it brings in? Technically a 90 minute movie can be shown more in one day than a 150 minute movie, especially for IMAX where they can't just dump it on an extra screen in the theatre. Spiderman 3 was 140 minutes so I guess that voids my theory...

...I'll say $110 opening weekend due to darkness and not attracting the kids.

Heh, I meant $110 for the whole weekend!

 

[Conebone69]

Batman has no competition, seriously. I bet it'll make around $320,000,000 domestically t:

 

[CaptainClown]

So how about that Hancock beating TDK?

 

[FCEEVIPER]

Competition was NONE in 2008.

 

[CaptainClown]

very true viper, very true.. Poor poor mama mia..

 

[Conebone69]

I like how everyone had there heart set on TDK only making 280 million before the BO updates came in

 

[JackBauer24]

So how about that Hancock beating TDK?

 

[CaptainClown]

I like how everyone had there heart set on TDK only making 280 million before the BO updates came in

seriously. I remember so many people saying "TDK will never beat Iron man"... It just beat spider-man

 

[regwec]

I'm happy to admit I was wrong. Iron Man's scheduling, lightness of touch and relative critical success coupled with its strong returns seemed to indicate that it would be the story of the summer. TDK's march of triumph stamped it into the ground, however.

 

[Sam18]

Well TDK did have over a year's worth of prep time.

Spoiler

yes yes bad joke i know

 

[Conebone69]

seriously. I remember so many people saying "TDK will never beat Iron man"... It just beat spider-man

I was in that boat lol

 

[Anita18]

very true viper, very true.. Poor poor mama mia..

Poor Hellboy, is what! Fell 70% in its second week.

 

[StorminNorman]

I love being right.

 

[Saint]

I am excited to see if Explode7 will come on and eats his words.

 

[Sentinel X]

I was wrong!
And I don't care, Im wrong so what...either way I don't end up with that nice sum of money

I voted 60-69 and thought it'd make 300-310 million domestic.

 

[FlawlessVictory]

I'm happy to admit I was wrong. Iron Man's scheduling, lightness of touch and relative critical success coupled with its strong returns seemed to indicate that it would be the story of the summer. TDK's march of triumph stamped it into the ground, however.

I was wrong on TDK as well. I thought no way would it do as well as Iron Man both critically and at the BO. It has never felt so good being wrong. t:

I love being right.

To be fair, you thought Iron Man would never reach $300 mil.

 

[FlawlessVictory]

I am excited to see if Explode7 will come on and eats his words.

He was banned a few weeks ago. Too bad isn't it?

 

[StorminNorman]

Circa June 2006

The only thing that can limit BB2's earning potential is BB2. As long as the nail the film and the marketing this film has huge earnings potential.

For a good read - try reading this thread from the beginning.

 

[StorminNorman]

To be fair, you thought Iron Man would never reach $300 mil.

Thats the only mistake in an otherwise brilliant summer of predictions.

 

[Stupify_me]

More than happy to be wrong. I was think an 80 to 90M opening glad to be wrong. Nothing would make me happier than seeing TDK top Spiderman for total BO I still don't see that happening but now it's possible. TDK has guaranteed number one movie of 2008. Can't help but feel sorry for Hellboy started off much better than expected, but because of TDK had a huge drop and really no chance of making up for it. TDK was an awesome film aside from the ending which I had a big dislike for mostly because of Two Face.

 

[LegendaryCaleb]

Like I said many times before I think its going to make between 50 - 60M OW.

Since this guy got under my skin more than anyone ive ever seen on here....I thought Id bump his prediction to say FAIL!

 

[FlawlessVictory]

^What's even funnier is that it's second weekend will still make more than his OW prediction.

 

[Commodore Schmidlapp]

^What's even funnier is that it's second weekend will still make more than his OW prediction.

Yeah, it's too bad, I would've enjoyed hearing what crap he'd come up with.

 

[miggizle85]

I do remember posting way back in the beginning of June that I thought that Wall-E would be the closest competition for The Dark Knight. I had it at around $100 million Opening Weekend and $400 million total Domestic with another $500 million overseas.

Boy was I ever wrong on that. Wall-E, while an incredibally good movie, was somewhat of a disappointment for PIXAR. I blame the marketing campaign. I heard more about Speed Racer than I did about Wall-E which is too bad cuz I think it could've been as big as Nemo if they had done it right. Internationally most countries won't be getting Wall-E until August, and September. I even saw that some nations wont be getting it till DECEMBER!!! It'll be out on DVD in the states by then. What an epically disastrous decision by Disney to release it internationally like that. 6 months later are you kidding me?

On the TDK front I am glad to say I was much closer. I predicted a way bigger Opening ($200 million) but overall I said it would make around $600 million Domestically. Well lets assume it stays on track as it is right now and it could end up in the mid to high $500 millions. Not bad for a prediction made way back in the begging of June.

I also thought it would make $800 million overseas and end up at around $1.4 billion total worldwide. That still remains to be seen but I now doubt it will be that high. It will most likely end up anywhere from $900 million to $1.2 billion worldwide. (depending on how it does in certain countries)