BOX-OFFICE potential in the Multiverse of Madness

[InCali]

Will see it in 3D and screen X later this week and a couple more times the following weeks.

Me too. Absolutely loved this movie. I find the reviews somewhat baffling. I also question those who say it wasn't really a DS movie. It wasn't anything other than that.

I wouldn't consider this genuine horror. It's got some chills and horror adjacent elements, but it's not a true horror film. But by next weekend, it's likely going to easily surpass if not come close to the total take of the original. So it's pacing fine.

After seeing it, I don't consider it anything close to a horror movie either. Not sure what people were talking about on that angle.

 

[Erzengel]

Watching it for the second time last night, the way this was shot screamed Raimi and just the way Olsen looked in some scenes I got the "horror" vibe.

 

[InCali]

Watching it for the second time last night, the way this was shot screamed Raimi and just the way Olsen looked in some scenes I got the "horror" vibe.

Yeah. I can see that, but I think some people WAY overplayed the "horror" aspect of the movie.

 

[Iceman]

$850m by 3rd weekend, nice. Not much left to go to a billion at that point although will have to see how much momentum it has at that point to judge where it finishes.

 

[Iceman]

Yeah. I can see that, but I think some people WAY overplayed the "horror" aspect of the movie.

I'm not the biggest horror fan, but this level of light horror framed within sci-fi/fantasy/CBM I do like. It's not a horror by any stretch, more a CBM with some light horror moments integrated (which worked well for me).

 

[Da-Scribe]

I’d say it’s the closest an MCU flick will ever get to horror. Maybe Blade will surprise us though.

 

[InCali]

I’d say it’s the closest an MCU flick will ever get to horror. Maybe Blade will surprise us though.

That wouldn't really surprise me. Blade is a no brainer for the genre. How Marvel handles it, as you say, is the real question.

 

[HammerDown]

BOP predicting a 68M second weekend.
That would add up to a 63% drop.

AOU scored 77M with a 59% drop.
So yeh definitely on track for something around 375-400M domestic.

 

[JKKS085]

Tuesday’s on the low side. Definitely heading towards a 60%+ drop. I hope it doesn’t go much lower than BOP’s projections. Anything under a 65% drop gives it a good shot at 400M+, anything over could make that difficult. Still think there’s more chance it gets there than not but my bo analysis is still firmly based on a pre-covid framework so who knows ?
In any case it will pass the first movie’s final domestic gross on Thursday after only 6 days in theaters and should be close to 300M after the weekend which is nothing short of amazing.

 

[HammerDown]

BO update……. DS:MOM || AOU

Monday……..…...13.3M || 13.2M
Tuesday……..…...12.6M || 13.1M
Wednesday………. 8.9M || 9.4M

 

[Iceman]

Tuesday’s on the low side. Definitely heading towards a 60%+ drop. I hope it doesn’t go much lower than BOP’s projections. Anything under a 65% drop gives it a good shot at 400M+, anything over could make that difficult. Still think there’s more chance it gets there than not but my bo analysis is still firmly based on a pre-covid framework so who knows ?
In any case it will pass the first movie’s final domestic gross on Thursday after only 6 days in theaters and should be close to 300M after the weekend which is nothing short of amazing.

I’d be very happy with $400m right now. Even if it misses it shouldn’t be by a huge amount.

 

[psylockolussus]

I’d say it’s the closest an MCU flick will ever get to horror. Maybe Blade will surprise us though.

I'd say Ghost Rider has more horror vibes.

But personally its hard to view any Marvel ips as horror. Lol.

Well Morbius the movie was a horror in a different way.

 

[Typhoon22]

Blade, Wolverine, Ghost Rider...if all of those happen under Disney/MCU it won't be more graphic than in DS2, which wasn't that graphic anyway. I'm not too optimistic in regards the horror/graphic elements. Plus isn't Blade already getting a PG rating ? I wonder if they would have kept Deadpool R rated if it hadn't made so much money with that rating before they acquired them. It's all about maximizing the money, less about doing the characters/movies justice. Case in point, DS2.

 

[AvengerPA]

I predict a $75 million second weekend.

 

[HammerDown]

BO update……. DS:MOM || AOU

Monday……..…...13.3M || 13.2M
Tuesday……..…...12.6M || 13.1M
Wednesday………. 8.9M || 9.4M
Thursday………….. 8.1M || 8.6M

I’ll say DS:MOM does 65M(65% drop) on the 2nd weekend and i wouldn’t be surprise if it did less than that.

(Updated)

 

[InCali]

I predict a $75 million second weekend.

About a 60% drop would be considered "normal" and good news.

 

[Iceman]

I’ll be happy with 65% or less given how big it opened and the risk of slightly mixed word of mouth.

 

[InCali]

65% would be definitely on the high side. After week 2, I think there's also a very solid group of people (myself included) who really liked it and will go see it again. I'm making plans for next Tuesday to see it in 3D. I don't see big drops after this weekend.

 

[Erzengel]

Raimi will have a chance to get to #2 all time CBM directors depending on where this movie finishes over Watts.

 

[HammerDown]

BOP is predicting 68M(63% drop).

 

[HammerDown]

2nd weekend……DS:MOM || CACW
Friday………………..…. 16.7M || 19.6M
Saturday………………… ????? || 31.9M
Sunday………………….. ????? || 21M

Total……………………… ????? || 72.6M

The AOU comparison no longer applies really. CA: Civil War is lining up better at this point and that scored a (19.6M / 2nd Friday), 72M - 2nd weekend and 408M domestic.

 

[InCali]

2nd weekend…DS:MOM || CACW
Friday………………..……. 17M || 19.6M
Saturday………………… ????? || 31.9M
Sunday………………….. ????? || 21M

Total……………………… ????? || 72.6M

The AOU comparison no longer applies really. CA: Civil War is lining up better at this point and that scored a (19.6M / 2nd Friday), 72M - 2nd weekend and 408M domestic.

My take on it was CA:CW from the get go. About a 2.25 multiplier mas o menos. Probably just a bit short of that.

 

[Prison Mike]

 

[InCali]

That pretty much takes 400M DOM and 1B WW off the table. As far as popularity goes, I'd say it hits 1B (considering no China, Russia, and others). It's amazing how much more movies make on the Int'l stage these days. "Generally" speaking, and not oh so very long ago, the US market was a little more than Int'l, then about 50/50. At this time, it's more like 60/40 or even 2/3 Int'l (depending on the release).

 

[AvengerPA]

The fans didn’t want Wanda to be the bad guy of the film. They wanted Strange and Wanda to team up against another menace. Despite this, Strange 2 will do better than the first film. Strange 3 will happen but won’t be a short interval. Thor 4 will beat this.