Not to be overshadowed by Disney's onslaught of Marvel superhero movies, Fox will roll out X-Men: Days of Future Past on May 23, a new entry that wisely combines the cast from the original trilogy with the cast from Matthew Vaughn's beloved prequel X-Men: First Class. This week BoxOffice takes a look at the film's commercial prospects.
X-Men: Days of Future Past
(20th Century Fox)
PROS:
- It's the only major blockbuster opening during Memorial Day weekend, and that's a huge advantage.
- Fans of the franchise reacted very well to X-Men: First Class, so we're betting that a lot of that goodwill is going to carry over.
- Combining two very popular casts is an intriguing decision that looks like it's going pay off quite well.
- Activity on Facebook and Twitter is very encouraging.
CONS:
- The relatively underwhelming $417 million global haul of 2013's The Wolverine has us a little worried.
- The summer season is typically crowded. If The Amazing Spider-Man 2 and/or Godzilla overperform it could have an adverse impact on Days of Future Past.
Opening weekend: 103 million
Domestic total: 221 million
I've seen people here use the arguement that a poorly recieved prior movie can affect the new movie in a negative manner.
Examples such as:
Hulk affecting The Incredible Hulk
Batman & Robin affecting Batman Begins
X-Men Origins: Wolverine affecting X-Men First Class
I bring this up because Godzilla 2014 should have the supposed bad will of Godzilla 1998. From everything I've seen there doesn't seem t be any such concerns with the previous movie tainting the new one in terms of box office performance
I don't see much appeal in the Godzilla movie apart from being the usual disaster movie of the summer. Well we had World War Z last summer, it didn't even outgross X2. There was also Pacific Rim, which was less fortunate at the box-office. So I don't see it outgrossing DOFP in the U.S.
Not in the US, which appears to be psylockolussus' point.
Not in the US, which appears to be psylockolussus' point.
I could see Apocalypse getting a reduced budget, though.
Apocalypse will have more of the mass destruction that X-Men films, to date, have not relied upon, Singer said. Theres definitely now a character and a story that allow room for that kind of spectacle.
/\ That's a lame-ass prediction.
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/\ That's a lame-ass prediction.
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Unfortuly that could be the reality. Box office.com has 102 million opening weekend and 221 Million domestic prediction.
They had cap at 98 million opening weekend and 248 million domestic and it's looking like that Is eather coming true or underestimating It.
It's looking all but sure that DOFP will come In behind both the Amazing Spider-man 2 and Captain America The Winter Soldier.Box office.com also has it behind Godzilla.
Based on cap's likely 100 million+ opening weekend It's clear DOFP will be beaten Domesticly and overseas by both winter soldier and Amazing Spider-man 2. I still think It can beat GOTG.It's best hope Is 6th this year after Cap,Spider-man,transformers,Part 1 of final Hungar games,and last Hobbit.
My box office prediction
Opening weekend:100 Million
Domestic:220 Million
Overseas:350 Million
Total WW:570 Million
No reason to think x-men can't out gross cap. They predicted $98 million opening weekend; and now it MAY gross just over $100 million for its opening weekend. That's really not too far off from their original prediction
My box office prediction
Opening weekend:100 Million
Domestic:220 Million
Overseas:350 Million
Total WW:570 Million
Right now it doesn't really look like caps going to make 100 million + OW, but I am almost sure it'll beat DOFP dom. Not sure about worldwide though.
I can't really estimate how much DOFP will increase from The Wolverine OS.