Fant4stic Fantastic Four Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 5

[Farren]

Looking at showtimes for Ant-Man vs FFINO in my area, it looks like about a ratio of 4:3 this weekend in favor of Ant-Man.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Just $253k on Wednesday for 4F, down from $841k on Wednesday of last week. No update on theater counts from BOM yet but my bet is it loses another thousand-plus screen easily.

 

[InCali]

Just $253k on Wednesday for 4F, down from $841k on Wednesday of last week. No update on theater counts from BOM yet but my bet is it loses another thousand-plus screen easily.

That's rad. A 70% drop almost on the nose. I would think that bodes really ill for this weekend's numbers.

EDIT: That's with about 2600 screens (although I bet it's less than that by now). That works out to a $98 average per screen if it's showing 3 times a day, that probably works out to about 3 or 4 people per showing.

They could give me the BluRay and I could comfortably fit everyone in my Home Theater.

 

[Ragnaroknroll]

For the cherry on top how much do you guys think Marvel made off of this film? Isn't the understanding around 10% of box office revenues for the FF? Is that global? Domestic? Whaddya think - about 15 million?

 

[JKKS085]

For the cherry on top how much do you guys think Marvel made off of this film? Isn't the understanding around 10% of box office revenues for the FF? Is that global? Domestic? Whaddya think - about 15 million?

It was pretty clear from the get go that Marvel would be the only company making money off this disaster. But that is a mere consolation given that would probably be able to turn the IP onto a blockbuster franchise worth a few billions.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

-906 theaters this weekend per BOM to 1,675. That's 15 fewer than Ant-Man, which only lost 326.

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

A month later and this thread still gives me copious reasons for daily rejoicing.

 

[Krystal]

A month later and this thread still gives me copious reasons for daily rejoicing.

I expect memories of this thread to warm my heart for months.
We knew that if this movie flopped hard enough--- it follows that it wouldn't hang around long to be mocked. So in a couple weeks when this movie is gone from the "dollar" theaters and rides shamefully off to infamy, this thread will just be a pleasant memory.
Imagine our horor and dismay had it been a surprise hit and the boosters laughing at the big totals!
I shudder to think about it.

 

[Eddie]

Oh wow. Found this post I made a little before we knew just how much Fox screwed up:

It'll make over $200m worldwide (over 300 wouldn't surprise me the slightest). If it does make under 200 mil WW, though, I'll celebrate for a week. Good food, comic based movies that don't suck, a run through Marvel Ultimate Alliance with the FF, the works.


I really didn't think it'd fail this hard. Looks like I'll be hooking up the 360, getting out some blurays, and buying some meat for the smoker soon!

 

[Krystal]

I just kept going to that one site where it said $49 mil opening weekend and it never budged.
I was like, how can this t**d make nearly as much as Ant Man?
I'm annoyed that it will make nearly a third of what Ant Man will in their entire runs.
That's just wrong.

 

[InCali]

I just kept going to that one site where it said $49 mil opening weekend and it never budged.
I was like, how can this t**d make nearly as much as Ant Man?
I'm annoyed that it will make nearly a third of what Ant Man will in their entire runs.
That's just wrong.

Is your glass half empty?

FF won't make as much in it's entire run as Ant-Man (one of my favorite MCU movies BTW) made opening weekend. And, Ant-Man will probably make almost 3 1/2 times what FF made in its entire run.

FF only made 250K on Wednesday and will almost assuredly drop more when the numbers for Thursday come out. It's about to get passed by Vacation and Trainwreck. VA Frelling CATION!!! Some crappy underperforming movie that was almost universally disliked and opened 9 days before FF did!! Hell, PIXELS might end up passing it soon. PIXELS!!! Now that one was a box office blockbuster and it opened 2 weeks before FF. FF is dropping so fast it's causing a rift in the space time continuum (okay, maybe I'm exaggerating a little bit there) and could be out of the top 15 by this weekend. What more could you want?

Now that's what I call a half full glass.....

Sincerely,
Pollyanna

EDIT: Plus, and this is the really good news, there won't be any sequel. No chance at all. It got wrecked so badly, they're just bringing out the bags and scraping what's left off the ground. Another plus?? The chances for FF to go back to Marvel have gone up at about as much as the box office receipts for FF have gone down.

 

[Themanofbat]

I liked Vacation...

 

[InCali]

I liked Vacation...

I liked the first one. Anyway, I was just ranting. But, seriously, if you get passed by this Vacation which opened 9 days before you did and you are a SH movie, you aren't doing very well at the box office. Right??

 

[InCali]

Remember when I said I thought FF was losing screens? Well, it appears that the screen count loss is no longer in the 1400 range, but in the 1800 range.

As of Thursday:

11 Fantastic Four (2015) $243,179 -4% 2,189 -1815 $111 $50,963,098 3 Fox

A total of 2189 for a loss of 1815.

This weekend's screen drop is going to be brutal. I don't know much about such things, but I'll bet it goes below 1,000.

Maybe it should have been named Trainwreck instead of the movie which may pass it this weekend??? Vacation and Trainwreck are only $17K and $19K behind it.

 

[Erzengel]

According to Boxofficemojo, down -906 to 1,675 (35.1%) theaters this weekend.

Ant-Man? Down to 1,690 (16.2%) theaters this weekend.

 

[Farren]

According to Box Office Mojo it made $253,860 domestic on Thursday (Wednesday oops!) .... for an average of $98 per screen.

 

[Iceman]

$98? Ha, I'd pay to book out the whole cinema for myself and put something else on.

 

[Quasar]

Can't wait for this to flop at the dollar theaters next!

 

[Themanofbat]

What's the average ticket price in the US? $10? $12

Those theatres are awfully empty... lol t:

 

[Erzengel]

$8.12. So about 12 people per theater.

 

[Quasar]

According to Box Office Mojo it made $253,860 domestic on Thursday .... for an average of $98 per screen.

Fox is hanging on to those precious, valuable rights with their death-grip claws!

 

[Spiderine]

So......is this turd on Redbox yet?

 

[Docker2.0]

Haven't posted here in a minute but just happen to look at proboxoffice.com and the the production budget is said to be $175M! Maybe it's old news to you guys but man and am I shocked because it looks so cheap.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Box office.com adds the marketing cost to the budget, that's what that 175mil number is about.

 

[Spiderine]

How ever much it was just have Disney write them a check and hand the property back over.

END THIS MADNESS NOW!