Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

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This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]355309[/split]

 

[Green Day]

I did not see this thread and other movies already have box office prediction threads and this opens less then a month.
Anyways
for me
50m opening weekend
138m domestic
120m overseas
258m worldwide

 

[Poni_Boy]

Why are people saying it's only made $53 for the weekend? Does sunday not count anymore?

The 53 includes Sunday. It's a projection, not actual figures. It's why I don't post a box office report on our site until Mondays.

 

[Chewy]

Why are people saying it's only made $53 for the weekend? Does sunday not count anymore?

 

[Doctor Jones]

So now with Deadpool: If GL was a huge success a Deadpool film wouldn't be much of a possibility. Not that I was pulling for this to fail, but I always wanted one regardless of how this did. Could he still do it?

 

[Marvin]

he was supposed to be a mega draw at this point
now...it like if dead pool fails that would be like his 5th superhero failure?

 

[dnno1]

http://forums.superherohype.com/showpost.php?p=20652429&postcount=991

worldwide means nothing since it was not realesed worldwide. it comes out in july and august.

It was released in 18 countries outside the US this weekend. That's a worldwide figure. I am really sorry that this is happening. I kind of feel partly responsible. It really seems like the message being sent is that Green Lantern is a silly concept (yet I can think of other things that are just as silly that are classics). This isn't over yet. Let's see how much of a drop there is.

 

[Weadazoid]

Why do you feel responsible Dnno???

 

[S.A.A.D.]

I hope that Warner Brothers provides their two cents soon.

 

[Karelia]

I hope that Warner Brothers provides their two cents soon.

Me too, I'm really curious what they have to say about this.

 

[Weadazoid]

They aint gonna say a thing for a bit

 

[KalMart]

I hope that Warner Brothers provides their two cents soon.

I don't think they can afford it anymore this movie.



heh...j/k

 

[akfj]

Why do you feel responsible Dnno???

He's actually Geoff Johns.

 

[KalMart]

It was released in 18 countries outside the US this weekend. That's a worldwide figure. I am really sorry that this is happening. I kind of feel partly responsible. It really seems like the message being sent is that Green Lantern is a silly concept (yet I can think of other things that are just as silly that are classics). This isn't over yet. Let's see how much of a drop there is.

See, buddy, I TOLD you NOT to predict that the movie would be good and successful...it's like the kiss of death, with your track record.

 

[TheVileOne]

Marvin, he's not ****ing Tony Stark from Iron Man or Will Smith from ID4 either. I love how you compare ID4 to Inception too, totally LOL.

Doctor Jones, I don't solely blame Reynolds. I held off on him and gave him a chance and the benefit of the doubt. He failed to succeed my expectations. If you actually pay attention I give other reasons for causing the movie's failure. I mean it wasn't a terrible movie or anything. It was decent but it has failed with audiences.

 

[Tony Stark]

Major disappointment, but can't say I'm surprised given the terrible WOM.

I think you're pretty much looking at just north of $100 million.

This is going to be Superman Returns all over again, where the studio will hint at a sequel to save face but quietly pull the plug behind the curtain.

An absolute waste of money and talent.

 

[KangConquers]

I sadly see this doing about 230 Million worldwide now.

 

[Chewy]

This is going to be Superman Returns all over again, where the studio will hint at a sequel to save face but quietly pull the plug behind the curtain.

Or The Incredible Hulk, or Fantastic Four 2.

With budgets this size movies need to make proportionately more for the studio to actually move forward with a sequel.

 

[KangConquers]

Or The Incredible Hulk, or Fantastic Four 2.

With budgets this size movies need to make proportionately more for the studio to actually move forward with a sequel.

Exactly. One WB Studio executive said that their goal for SMR was $500 Mil WW. That was on a 270 M budget post advertising. Green Lantern has a $300 Mil budget after marketing...if we were assuming the bar would be raised proportionately, it'd fall in the mid-500s worldwide. B

Basically, WB was expecting an Iron Man, and they got a Ghost Rider or a Daredevil.

 

[Electrix]

Green Lantern's start landed behind X-Men: First Class's $55.1 million and Thor's $65.7 million, and its Friday-to-Saturday drop of 22 percent was steeper than those movies' eight percent. The gross was also less than The Incredible Hulk and the two Fantastic Four movies, and the attendance disparity was only greater. Green Lantern's estimated attendance was even lower than Daredevil and Ghost Rider.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3190&p=.htm

 

[jmc]

Why do you feel responsible Dnno???

Dnno was convinced the movie couldn't fail.

 

[jmc]

I sadly see this doing about 230 Million worldwide now.

I'm predicting less, if WB had released it worldwide they could have at least recouped some cash, but the ridiculous staggered release dates means bad word of mouth is just going to spread over the next few weeks.

 

[Gold Samurai]

150 million on marketing the film is where they dropped the ball . The 200 million budget for a superhero film while not cheap is not unheard of .


The Marketing cost nearly as much tells me the wb needs a new marketing dept .

And who really wants a Green lantern labeled Whopper?

 

[KalMart]

I'm predicting less, if WB had released it worldwide they could have at least recouped some cash, but the ridiculous staggered release dates means bad word of mouth is just going to spread over the next few weeks.

Thing is though...if the movie were really well received and successful in its North American opening...wouldn't it be good to have staggered releases so that it could build up extra buzz/good WOM to the later ones? I would think that was part of the initial plan, no? But if they recognized near opening that the movie was going to be ill-received, it was probably too late to change the release dates everywhere else.

 

[KangConquers]

And who really wants a Green lantern labeled Whopper?

Or colostomy bag.