Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[Tacit Ronin]

People forget WB's annual cash cow, Harry Potter, is coming to an end. They need a new a new cow, and it seems DC Superhero flicks are mooing to the call.

 

[TheVileOne]

Green Lantern isn't.

 

[Poni_Boy]

Green Lantern isn't.

... "yeah, no **** "

 

[chiefchirpa]

Perhaps Aquaman will answer the call :-P

 

[FreeRadical]

Perhaps Aquaman will answer the call :-P

He talks to fish!

I like fish!

 

[Dreadstar]

SO can we all agree that GL was a disappointing failure at the box office and critically speaking (story, plot, character development, etc)

 

[jmc]

The numbers and reactions peaks for itself, I think it's safe to say WB cocked up big time.

 

[BigThor]

First Flight >>> GL live action

Yep, it's not even close.

 

[Gold Samurai]

When all is said and done we'll always have "First Flight"

 

[Dreadstar]

So why cant WB make anything successfully movie wise except Batman? LOL

 

[Nemesis Prime]

So why cant WB make anything successfully movie wise except Batman? LOL

Without Chris Nolan, none of WB's SH movies would've been a success. They should offer him lots of stocks of WB so he'll never leave. I am sure suits at the studio must be dreading life after Nolan with the BO failure of GL.

 

[MadVillainy]

So why cant WB make anything successfully movie wise except Batman? LOL

Because they dont get the right talent or IMO make some weird decisions.
I mean I know he is suggested for alot of things but Duncan Jones seems like a better choice for a sci fi movie than MArtin Campbell. Campbell on the other hand seems better for Green Arrow.

Without Chris Nolan, none of WB's SH movies would've been a success. They should offer him lots of stocks of WB so he'll never leave. I am sure suits at the studio must be dreading life after Nolan with the BO failure of GL.

I dont see why Nolan should be in charge of everything. Honestly, I dont want to see Nolan's influence on every DC movie

 

[Nemesis Prime]

Where can I find a reliable source for GL's total production budget? Some sites say $300 mil, while others report $200 mil. Thanks.

 

[Micromind]

Box Office Mojo puts GL Budget at 200 mil.

300 mil. according to New York Times is, Production Budget plus Marketing Costs, for big summer blockbusters, 75 mil to 100 mil marketing costs are the norm, so it is not something unusual.

 

[Son of Coul]

$200mil production budget. $300mil with marketing added. Most people/sites just use the latter number to add impact to its underwhelming BO return.

 

[Micromind]

I dont see why Nolan should be in charge of everything. Honestly, I dont want to see Nolan's influence on every DC movie

Nolan is not a type of director who would want to be associated with Comic Book movies, throughout his career, he just likes batman and Superman, even in case of Superman, he was not willing be anything more than a producer so that that movie project can get running back again.

 

[Episode29]

They've made it very clear that Man of Steel will be Zack Snyder film, not a Christopher Nolan one.

 

[KRIM]

I dont see why Nolan should be in charge of everything. Honestly, I dont want to see Nolan's influence on every DC movie

That really depends on what influences he brings to the films. Tonally, no his style is clearly not fit for more than a handful of the DC heroes. But in terms of how to handle the source material and bringing genuine artistic integrity into the genre and not treating it like fluff -- that is more than welcome.

Just look at how MOS is shaping up. I know it's Zack's film now, but Chris' involvement is evident. Snyder is switching up his style to approach the mythos from a hyper-realistic perspective. Instantly we could conceivably have a film that deals with real human interaction, emotions, and thought. That sense of tangibility is lost on most comic book films, which is why the drama in Nolan's films are so universally lauded. Contrary to fanboy overreaction, this approach does not at all translate to gritty and dark. Rather, a more intimate experience as the characters you are watching feel very 3-dimensional.

Also, MOS looks to have one of the most prestiged casts in a comic book film. Even before a single frame is shot, the production already carries heavy weight from the names attached.

 

[Tony Stark]

SO can we all agree that GL was a disappointing failure at the box office and critically speaking (story, plot, character development, etc)

Let's use this analogy to put it in perspective:

Dark Knight = grand slam home run.

Spider-man = home run with runners on 1st and 2nd

Iron Man = home run with runner on base.

X2: X-men United = inside the park home run

Thor = RBI double

X-men First Class = Base hit

Green Lantern = sacrifice bunt, runner stranded on 3rd.

 

[Rock Sexton]

$200mil production budget. $300mil with marketing added. Most people/sites just use the latter number to add impact to its underwhelming BO return.

Actually the numbers that were listed were $200 million for the film and $150 million for marketing, with talk that WB was underplaying another $50 million or so.

 

[KalMart]

Let's use this analogy to put it in perspective:

Dark Knight = grand slam home run.

Spider-man = home run with runners on 1st and 2nd

Iron Man = home run with runner on base.

X2: X-men United = inside the park home run

Thor = RBI double

X-men First Class = Base hit

Green Lantern = sacrifice bunt, runner stranded on 3rd.

Because it rolled foul with two strikes?

 

[akfj]

After Green Lantern, it's fourth and fifteen and WB are looking at a full-court press.

 

[J.Howlett]

It's done. It barely made 5 million yesterday. I'll always champion this film, even with it's flaws but 5 million on your first Monday is not good. Look for, at minimum a 60% drop this weekend. It's barely going to make 130 million domestically.

On to Rises and Man of Steel, it is...

 

[J.Howlett]

The scenario for WB is very simple.

They have Rises and Man of Steel for 2012. Batman will get some kind of refresh where it's in continuity with the Nolan films or use it as a reference. How long that new Batman refresh will last, that's up in the air.

If Man of Steel takes will to audiences and critics, you can pretty much see them doing another two Man of Steel films that'll take them to 2017 to 2018 (depends on if you have two years or three years between films).

And that's pretty much it, unless they can get Wonder Woman and Flash off and running but I think this box office of Green Lantern will put a stop to at least Wonder Woman. Flash? Maybe.

WB's only other options are to look at their imprint properties, for which I think they've had great quality pictures. But, none of those were "event" films.

 

[dark_b]

i hope WB doesnt think that the problem was the scifi and space elemnts. i hope they dont think tha the aliens were the problem.