Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[KalMart]

Based on his previous resume... it wasn't the silliest idea WB ever made at the time.

Neither was Singer for Superman, really. But it came down to what they decided to do with Bats/Supes.....and unfortunately, they both deiced to give them nipples.

 

[CaptainCraig]

That Monday box office is only helping to toss more dirt on the casket and quicker.

If the daily drops continue at this horrid pace a 65% drop is going to be the minimum this coming weekend.

 

[KangConquers]

Green Lantern's 4th day was comparable to Thor's. I honestly never saw Lantern being a huge hit stateside; I figured like every comic book movie this summer it would stall below 200 M. The thing that's shocking me is how poorly it's doing internationally.

Basically the only reason Lantern's performance is considered "poor" is really based more on poor business decisions by WB (going significantly over budget) than based on a lack of people going to see this film; if they'd stuck with a 150 Million dollar production budget and a 50-75 million dollar advertising budget, then these numbers would be fine, and possibly lead to a sequel.

 

[Chewy]

Green Lantern's 4th day was comparable to Thor's.

Which is terrible for it, as it has June weekdays.

It is almost a million below the 4th day of both Hulk movies and both Fantastic Four movies.

 

[mace1]

This is the voice of a Warner Bros. studio exec. But Dan Fellman, president of domestic distribution for the studio, insisted the film's opening was "not a big miss at all." "Nobody here is upset. It's within the range of where we were looking," he said. "The question is now where we go. Any dollars that we left on the table over the weekend can certainly be made up mid-week, as all schools are out." Read more: http://www.kentucky.com/2011/06/19/1781483/green-lantern-is-no-1-at-the-box.html#ixzz1PsQYQdBu

 

[EML420]

Do people even go to the movies on week days. Week day numbers never seem to get has much attention has weekend number. I know people go I have a few times but weekends seem to be were the money is.

 

[The Sage]

This is the voice of a Warner Bros. studio exec. But Dan Fellman, president of domestic distribution for the studio, insisted the film's opening was "not a big miss at all." "Nobody here is upset. It's within the range of where we were looking," he said. "The question is now where we go. Any dollars that we left on the table over the weekend can certainly be made up mid-week, as all schools are out." Read more: http://www.kentucky.com/2011/06/19/1781483/green-lantern-is-no-1-at-the-box.html#ixzz1PsQYQdBu

Hard to believe that unless they lowered their own expectations.

My big question is what happens next regarding their DC Comic properties.

 

[TheVileOne]

But Dan Fellman with WB said if it made $5 million on Monday, all is forgiven.

 

[terry78]

Do people even go to the movies on week days. Week day numbers never seem to get has much attention has weekend number. I know people go I have a few times but weekends seem to be were the money is.

During the summer, yeah.

 

[Karelia]

This is the voice of a Warner Bros. studio exec. But Dan Fellman, president of domestic distribution for the studio, insisted the film's opening was "not a big miss at all." "Nobody here is upset. It's within the range of where we were looking," he said. "The question is now where we go. Any dollars that we left on the table over the weekend can certainly be made up mid-week, as all schools are out." Read more: http://www.kentucky.com/2011/06/19/1781483/green-lantern-is-no-1-at-the-box.html#ixzz1PsQYQdBu

Very interesting. Well, I guess if their not upset, a sequel is possible. Which I do hope it happens.

 

[Mysteryman]

They are not PUBLICLY upset.
With all the stories out there about how bad it tanked,
what else were they possibly going to say?

 

[Rock Sexton]

They are not PUBLICLY upset.
With all the stories out there about how bad it tanked,
what else were they possibly going to say?

I know ... LOL ... do some of these guys crossing fingers for a sequel think some WB exec is going to come out and blast this lackluster showing? Course not. That's bad for business. They're not going to be the ones to put the nail in their own coffin.

They compared it to Iron Man and Star Wars ..... they spent in the neighborhood of $350-$400 million on the production and marketing. Them thinking $53 million opening weekend was satisfactory is a bold-faced lie. They clearly needed close to $100 million to even have a chance. Especially with where it's situated this month among other movie releases.

 

[Deaths Head II]

When Dragonball Evolution came out and bombed in theaters, Fox claimed it met their expectations as well. Studios aren't going to admit a movie is doing poorly.

 

[craigdbfan]

Pretty much, yeah.

 

[Herolee10]

When Dragonball Evolution came out and bombed in theaters, Fox claimed it met their expectations as well. Studios aren't going to admit a movie is doing poorly.

What's ironic is that both films opened up in such similar ways; where the film opens up with a crawl towards space with someone narrating the prologue while we see animations/pictures of the main protagonist dissolve onto our screen (In a somewhat sandstorm like effect)

 

[Tony Stark]

This is the voice of a Warner Bros. studio exec. But Dan Fellman, president of domestic distribution for the studio, insisted the film's opening was "not a big miss at all." "Nobody here is upset. It's within the range of where we were looking," he said. "The question is now where we go. Any dollars that we left on the table over the weekend can certainly be made up mid-week, as all schools are out." Read more: http://www.kentucky.com/2011/06/19/1781483/green-lantern-is-no-1-at-the-box.html#ixzz1PsQYQdBu

OH MY!!!! That's the worst freaking spin job I've ever heard. They are trying to save face. The movie fell flat on it's face and depending on the drops this film has a better chance of not making 100M domestically than it does any hopes of recovering production costs.

 

[misjuevos]

funny thing is saying the movie is bad might get people interested in seeing it. people like to slow down for crashes so who knows they might be so curious as to why this movie is being put down so much.

 

[dark_b]

Very interesting. Well, I guess if their not upset, a sequel is possible. Which I do hope it happens.

are you joking or are you serious.

please tell me that you dont belive what a studio exec said about hes movie.

 

[kedrell]

funny thing is saying the movie is bad might get people interested in seeing it. people like to slow down for crashes so who knows they might be so curious as to why this movie is being put down so much.

That only works for Pirates, Twilight & Transformers.

 

[dark_b]

even if everyone would watch the movie once it would not be enough. blockbusters need to have repeat viewings.

 

[craigdbfan]

Exactly.

 

[Doc Phosphorus]

Has a studio ever expressed their disappointment with a film while the movie was still in theatres? They need to keep the machine going.

They'll keep making vaguely positive and noncommittal remarks about the future of the franchise, then in a few months announce that they're looking into a sequel just to keep the buzz alive for the home video release, and then you won't hear anything again.

Interviews with Ryan Reynolds will include remarks along the lines of "I'd love to return to that universe. We'll have to see. It was an honor to be part of it."

 

[Marvin]

That only works for Pirates, Twilight & Transformers.

Both those films have fans(especially the former). They make as much as they do partially because of repeat viewings.

Whens the last time a so bad it's good film broke 200mill domestic?
honest question.

And GL is at neither side of the spectrum.

 

[Hotwire]

At first I was wondering why people were calling this a flop, I mean it only came in $2 million under X-Men. Then I saw it cost $200 million to make. With Cars 2 opening Friday, and Transformers on Tue/Wed, poor Hal is toast!

 

[Marvin]

actually ignoring that it cost about 40-50 million more than most films in it's category. It's kinda weird to see people jump on the "flop" wagon when it made about 10 million less than the films they're calling great successes.

I mean if IM or Spidey opened with their 100plus million this year it would be one thing, but so far all three superhero films have opened with pretty much the same amount of mulah.
I just think people need to be consistent, that being said GL's budget really doesn't help the situation. I do love how quickly it became public knowledge.