Logan Logan Box Office Prediction Thread

[henzINNIT]

It is just perfect that Logan beat XO: Wolverine. Congrats to Hugh and the team.

 

[righthooksrus86]

I'm old enough to remember that tickets were once cheap enough that I would go see a movie I loved several times. For example, I saw the first Spider-Man movie five times in theaters, and I saw Spider-Man 2 six times. No way would I think about doing that now, sadly. It takes a lot for me to want to see a movie in theaters more than once nowadays.

That said, I might be seeing Logan again this weekend. I have plans to hang out with a friend, and we decided that we're either going to see that or John Wick 2 (which I haven't seen yet).

Yea nowadays the whole movie experience costs like 60$ total including snacks and stuff lol. I gotta go see Logan again.

 

[Zero_Effect]

projections for Logan are at $10M today, and $35M for Wolverine’s second weekend, which reps a 60% decline and by Sunday a 10-day running cume that’s just under $150M.

http://deadline.com/2017/03/kong-skull-island-logan-weekend-box-office-get-out-1202040377/

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

http://deadline.com/2017/03/kong-skull-island-logan-weekend-box-office-get-out-1202040377/

Weekend B.O. for March 10-12 per industry Friday night estimates:

1.) Kong: Skull Island (20th/Leg), 3,846 theaters / $20M Fri. (includes $3.7M in previews) / 3-day: $52.5M /Wk 1

2.) Logan(Fox), 4,071 theaters (0)/ $10.8M Fri. (-67%) / 3-day: $36.7M (-58%)/Total: $151.5M/Wk 2

 

[SAUspartan]

Only a 58% drop would be great!

Seeing it in D-Box today with my dad... another $32. ��

 

[Snikt]

There a chance too that Kong could be front loaded on Friday. I still think Logan will be closer to $40 million.

 

[marvelrobbins]

Through friday Logan has 125 million domesticly.and 190 million overseas with
316 million WW.already outgrossed WW first X-men.

Thing is there is noway to adjust for inflation foregin box office.

Logan will this weekend past the wolverine's unadjusted 132 million domesticly and may past it's 146 million ajusted domesticly.First class unadjusted is at
146 million.

Logan is still likely to hit 200 million domesticly before leaving theaters.

 

[psylockolussus]

Not surprised that Kong is heading to #1. I have seen it and it is definitely better than the trailers which I thought were pretty meh.

 

[Snikt]

Through friday Logan has 125 million domesticly.and 190 million overseas with
316 million WW.already outgrossed WW first X-men.

Thing is there is noway to adjust for inflation foregin box office.

Logan will this weekend past the wolverine's unadjusted 132 million domesticly and may past it's 146 million ajusted domesticly.First class unadjusted is at
146 million.

Logan is still likely to hit 200 million domesticly before leaving theaters.

Its pretty much guaranteed to make over $200 million domestic

 

[marvelrobbins]

Its pretty much guaranteed to make over $200 million domestic

it's almost certain to hit 200 million.it may by monday make 151 million domesticly.That was figure deadline came with it projection for this weekend.

Logan will probally end up if you compare original unadjusted gross 5th highest grossing film in series domesticly and 6th if you compare it to the adjusted for inflation domestic gross.it's bound after it outgrosses the wolverine to outgross first class,Apocalypse,and possibly origins.

when you adjusted for inflation both Last stand and X2 are in the 300 million
range domesticly last stand 309 million and X2 308 million.and first X-men
rises to 252 million.showing how the original trilogy were bigger.even origins when adjusted comes to 208 million.be intresting to see if Logan can reach 208 million domesticly

 

[fancyarcher]

Looks like Logan couldn't beat the X-Men general frontloadness. A 56% second weekend drop is actually pretty decent for the film at this point.

 

[Sithborg]

That is actually a lot better than X-films tend to do.

 

[Greenlite]

Deadline says 39M/59% /150M ***

Anything under 60% for a superhero film is great nowadays.

So 230M is possible?

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

http://deadline.com/2017/03/kong-sk...-office-projections-logan-get-out-1202041809/

Logan also had a great Saturday seeing a 59% rise over Friday for a $16.5M Saturday, putting the Wolverine R-rated threequel at $39M in its second weekend, down 56% for a 10-day cume of $153.8M.

 

[Romannen]

Looks like Logan couldn't beat the X-Men general frontloadness. A 56% second weekend drop is actually pretty decent for the film at this point.

Hopefully everyone here sees it a couple of more times and gives it some legs. :P

 

[Snikt]

I saw it a 3rd at a 10:40 pm showing on Friday. Surprised there were about 15-20 of us for such a late show

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

http://deadline.com/2017/03/kong-sk...-office-projections-logan-get-out-1202041809/

Logan also had a great Saturday seeing a 58% rise over Friday for a $16.4M Saturday, putting the Wolverine R-rated threequel at $37.9M in its second weekend, down 57% for a 10-day cume of $152.7M.

 

[marvelrobbins]

Logan had less of a drop than DOFP had it's second weekend.it fell 57% VS DOFP 64%

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

http://deadline.com/2017/03/kong-sk...-international-box-office-results-1202041853/

The gorilla also faced off with the Wolverine in most markets as last week’s champ Logan landed another $70.3M for an overseas cume of $285.6M ($436.6M worldwide). The sophomore offshore frame reps a 56% drop from open with Fox/Marvel’s well-reviewed R-rated pic tracking nicely versus other X-Men titles.
As for Logan in IMAX, Hugh Jackman’s final turn as the X-Man added $1.8M on 438 screens including $1.4M in China for a cume of $27.1M.

In 79 markets, the 2nd frame overall is 20% bigger than X-Men: Apocalypse and 10% behind X-Men: Days Of Future Past at current exchange rates. With $5.9M in Brazil this session, Logan provided Fox with its biggest second weekend ever in the market. In China, the James Mangold-directed threequel is headed towards a phenomenal $90M. But it did lose some ground this frame to Amblin Entertainment’s A Dog’s Purpose which overtook the No. 1 slot in its 2nd walk around the Middle Kingdom block.

 

[psylockolussus]

Wow Kong actually opened bigger than the trackings. Yeah I had no doubt it would be at #1 and not Logan. Though the second weekend drop is not bad. But i really think Beauty and the Beast and Power Rangers wpuld really lead Logan to massive 3rd and 4th weekenddrops. I dont see it outgrossing X2.

 

[TheNewSlayer]

Logan has surpass all Wolverines movies in terms of Worldwide box office. And now is at fifth place among all 10 x-men movies.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/franchises/chart/?id=xmen.htm


Rank Title (click to view) Studio Worldwide Domestic / % Overseas / % Year
1 Deadpool Fox $783.1 $363.1 46.4% $420.0 53.6% 2016
2 X-Men: Days of Future Past Fox $747.9 $233.9 31.3% $513.9 68.7% 2014
3 X-Men: Apocalypse Fox $543.9 $155.4 28.6% $388.5 71.4% 2016
4 X-Men: The Last Stand Fox $459.4 $234.4 51% $225.0 49% 2006
5 Logan Fox $438.3 $152.7 34.8% $285.6 65.2% 2017
6 The Wolverine Fox $414.8 $132.6 32% $282.3 68% 2013
7 X2: X-Men United Fox $407.7 $214.9 52.7% $192.8 47.3% 2003
8 X-Men Origins: Wolverine Fox $373.1 $179.9 48.2% $193.2 51.8% 2009
9 X-Men: First Class Fox $353.6 $146.4 41.4% $207.2 58.6% 2011
10 X-Men Fox $296.3 $157.3 53.1% $139.0 46.9% 2000
TOTAL: $4,818.1 $1,970.6 40.9% $2,847.6 59.1% -
AVERAGE: $481.8 $197.1 40.9% $284.8 59.1% -

 

[marvelrobbins]

Logan has surpass all Wolverines movies in terms of Worldwide box office. And now is at fifth place among all 10 x-men movies.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/franchises/chart/?id=xmen.htm


Rank Title (click to view) Studio Worldwide Domestic / % Overseas / % Year
1 Deadpool Fox $783.1 $363.1 46.4% $420.0 53.6% 2016
2 X-Men: Days of Future Past Fox $747.9 $233.9 31.3% $513.9 68.7% 2014
3 X-Men: Apocalypse Fox $543.9 $155.4 28.6% $388.5 71.4% 2016
4 X-Men: The Last Stand Fox $459.4 $234.4 51% $225.0 49% 2006
5 Logan Fox $438.3 $152.7 34.8% $285.6 65.2% 2017
6 The Wolverine Fox $414.8 $132.6 32% $282.3 68% 2013
7 X2: X-Men United Fox $407.7 $214.9 52.7% $192.8 47.3% 2003
8 X-Men Origins: Wolverine Fox $373.1 $179.9 48.2% $193.2 51.8% 2009
9 X-Men: First Class Fox $353.6 $146.4 41.4% $207.2 58.6% 2011
10 X-Men Fox $296.3 $157.3 53.1% $139.0 46.9% 2000
TOTAL: $4,818.1 $1,970.6 40.9% $2,847.6 59.1% -
AVERAGE: $481.8 $197.1 40.9% $284.8 59.1% -

it will probally end up as number 3 WW in series behind Deadpool and DOFP

 

[Romannen]

I dont see it outgrossing X2.

It already has.

 

[TheNewSlayer]

it will probally end up as number 3 WW in series behind Deadpool and DOFP

Yeah, you're right. Maybe even by next week it becomes third place at worldwide box office in terms of X-Men movies.

 

[Superhero 101]

This is great news.