Rogue One Rogue One Box Office Prediction Thread

[Greens]

The Force Awakens is en route to becoming the third biggest movie of all time.

Will Rogue One come close to this success, or do you think the main trilogy films will continue to be the main draw?

 

[jokesonm3]

If this movie delivers quality-wise, then it could be the Number One film of 2016.

Batman v Superman, Civil War and Finding Dory however are gonna try to claim that spot too, so:

Bad: $700M - $800M

Good: $850M - $1,05B

Amazing: $1.2B +

 

[NewYorkSpider]

I think this has a chance to make it to $1B , especially if Darth Vader makes an appearance.

 

[writer0327]

Already it's the most anticipated film of 2016 according to Fandango. That's over Civil War, BvS, Finding Dory, etc.

I'm going for $1.5B worldwide.

 

[Vincanws]

If this movie delivers quality-wise, then it could be the Number One film of 2016.

Batman v Superman, Civil War and Finding Dory however are gonna try to claim that spot too, so:

Bad: $700M - $800M

Good: $850M - $1,05B

Amazing: $1.2B +

I think the repeat viewings will definitely be determined by how good this is.. and it's looking pretty good by the little concept art we have. I have high hopes, I think the director is a talent, although his potential has not been fully tapped yet. Here's hoping he pulls something special out of the bag with this. All that being said, I'm not so sure of the writer talent on this movie. Time will tell.

 

[GREEN =w= DAY]

this film will definitely do very well in the box office. the fact that it's a Star Wars film and it is following the well received Force Awakens is more than enough to guarantee that Rogue One will make bank.

 

[DieSmiling]

I can't imagine it will come close to TFA considering it just won't have that anticipation as the first Star Wars film in 10 years and the first to feature the original cast since 1983, but I would imagine it's still going to be a massive event.

Domestically I think it's going to be 400m+ easily... Hard to know the ceiling.

Worldwide it should be over a billion pretty easily IMO.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

In light of the new trailer, do ya'll think it has the mass appeal to cross a billion?

 

[third3ye]

I think it wouldn't be unreasonable to see this film doing $1b to $1.2b. The fan base alone will take this to over $600-$700m. This won't have the halo effect or broader cross-generational family appeal that Ep7 had, so no way it's going to do $2b, but on the upside it could do over $1.5b.

 

[TX85]

I have doubts that it'll beat TFA but I sure hope it does at least 1b

 

[Sithborg]

It won't beat TFA. I think $400 million is a good high point for it domestically.

Though, I can see the action being a bit more appealing in China.

 

[psylockolussus]

At least $300 million in North America.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

$350 million domestic, $550 million WW, $900 million total. Probably too conservative. May revise later.

 

[Sithborg]

See, it is going to have the holiday to help, just like TFA. I can see it crossing $400.

 

[writer0327]

I said $1.5B and I'm sticking to it, although further trailers may change my opinion.

 

[Lord]

Around a billion. Hopefuly, it will be much bigger in China than Episode VII was.

 

[writer0327]

Is it possible to add a poll to this to track responses?

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Box office threads used to always have polls.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

175 m OW
625 m DOM
1.4 billion WW

 

[DarthSkywalker]

All da money.

 

[Filmfan93]

I say somewhere around $1,1-1,2 billion. It carries the nostalgia from the OT and just as TFA, it will bring new fans to the franchise as well (although not as many). I just feel angry that there will be so many misinformed and lazy people that won't have done even slightest research and will walk straight into this expecting it to be Ep.8 and complain afterwards. This might give it a bit of a bad WOM in some areas. Hopefully, this won't happen.

 

[Chesterfield]

I'm pretty sure with Vader showing up in this, it's only going to help escalate the figures to some degree. This film will make nothing less than a billion.

 

[JB33]

This will be another billion dollar film for Disney. I'm pretty sure. It looks spectacular!

 

[writer0327]

I have no doubt in my mind that this film is destined for $1.5 billion. The trailers have been absolutely amazing. Visually stunning and just enough information to whet the appetite without giving away the whole movie. The weekend right before Christmas is the perfect release date. Its first 3 weekends are going to be humongous. And there's Vader. Nuff said.

 

[Inhuman117]

The Movie will be Easy get a Billion