Rogue One Box Office Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'Rogue One: A Star Wars Story' started by Greens, Jan 4, 2016.

  1. Greens I am Danny DeVito

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    The Force Awakens is en route to becoming the third biggest movie of all time.

    Will Rogue One come close to this success, or do you think the main trilogy films will continue to be the main draw?
     
  2. jokesonm3 Jokes For Short.

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    If this movie delivers quality-wise, then it could be the Number One film of 2016.

    Batman v Superman, Civil War and Finding Dory however are gonna try to claim that spot too, so:

    Bad: $700M - $800M

    Good: $850M - $1,05B

    Amazing: $1.2B +
     
  3. NewYorkSpider EndGame

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    I think this has a chance to make it to $1B , especially if Darth Vader makes an appearance.
     
  4. writer0327 Registered

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    Already it's the most anticipated film of 2016 according to Fandango. That's over Civil War, BvS, Finding Dory, etc.

    I'm going for $1.5B worldwide.
     
  5. Vincanws Registered

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    I think the repeat viewings will definitely be determined by how good this is.. and it's looking pretty good by the little concept art we have. I have high hopes, I think the director is a talent, although his potential has not been fully tapped yet. Here's hoping he pulls something special out of the bag with this. All that being said, I'm not so sure of the writer talent on this movie. Time will tell.
     
  6. GREEN =w= DAY Registered

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    this film will definitely do very well in the box office. the fact that it's a Star Wars film and it is following the well received Force Awakens is more than enough to guarantee that Rogue One will make bank.
     
  7. DieSmiling Can't Be Stopped

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    I can't imagine it will come close to TFA considering it just won't have that anticipation as the first Star Wars film in 10 years and the first to feature the original cast since 1983, but I would imagine it's still going to be a massive event.

    Domestically I think it's going to be 400m+ easily... Hard to know the ceiling.

    Worldwide it should be over a billion pretty easily IMO.
     
  8. Tacit Ronin Registered

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    In light of the new trailer, do ya'll think it has the mass appeal to cross a billion?
     
  9. third3ye Registered

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    I think it wouldn't be unreasonable to see this film doing $1b to $1.2b. The fan base alone will take this to over $600-$700m. This won't have the halo effect or broader cross-generational family appeal that Ep7 had, so no way it's going to do $2b, but on the upside it could do over $1.5b.
     
  10. TX85 Registered

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    I have doubts that it'll beat TFA but I sure hope it does at least 1b
     
  11. Sithborg The Pink Devil

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    It won't beat TFA. I think $400 million is a good high point for it domestically.

    Though, I can see the action being a bit more appealing in China.
     
  12. psylockolussus Disco Mutant

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    At least $300 million in North America.
     
  13. SomeOldGuy Registered

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    $350 million domestic, $550 million WW, $900 million total. Probably too conservative. May revise later.
     
  14. Sithborg The Pink Devil

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    See, it is going to have the holiday to help, just like TFA. I can see it crossing $400.
     
  15. writer0327 Registered

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    I said $1.5B and I'm sticking to it, although further trailers may change my opinion.
     
  16. Lord All Mighty

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    Around a billion. Hopefuly, it will be much bigger in China than Episode VII was.
     
  17. writer0327 Registered

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    Is it possible to add a poll to this to track responses?
     
  18. MessiahDecoy123 Psychological Anarchist

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    Box office threads used to always have polls. :argh:
     
  19. MessiahDecoy123 Psychological Anarchist

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    175 m OW
    625 m DOM
    1.4 billion WW
     
  20. DarthSkywalker May the Force Be With You

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    All da money.
     
  21. Filmfan93 The Man in Black

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    I say somewhere around $1,1-1,2 billion. It carries the nostalgia from the OT and just as TFA, it will bring new fans to the franchise as well (although not as many). I just feel angry that there will be so many misinformed and lazy people that won't have done even slightest research and will walk straight into this expecting it to be Ep.8 and complain afterwards. This might give it a bit of a bad WOM in some areas. Hopefully, this won't happen.
     
  22. Chesterfield Registered

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    I'm pretty sure with Vader showing up in this, it's only going to help escalate the figures to some degree. This film will make nothing less than a billion.
     
  23. JB33 The Eternal Deviant

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    This will be another billion dollar film for Disney. I'm pretty sure. It looks spectacular!
     
  24. writer0327 Registered

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    I have no doubt in my mind that this film is destined for $1.5 billion. The trailers have been absolutely amazing. Visually stunning and just enough information to whet the appetite without giving away the whole movie. The weekend right before Christmas is the perfect release date. Its first 3 weekends are going to be humongous. And there's Vader. Nuff said.
     
  25. Inhuman117 Registered

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    The Movie will be Easy get a Billion
     

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