Snikt! Wolverine's Box Office Predictions

[Peter McCabe]

This doesn't invalidate your opinion, but it also does nothing to support it.

thank you

that's all you needed to say

 

[Deaths Head II]

Those numbers ARE unreliable simply because they were required in an unreliable way. You don't need to be a tracking expert to point that out.

It's pointless arguing this anyway. The original post was just pointing out the wide appeal of this film and I agree.

 

[danoyse]

Once again, bold statements.

who are you to tell me my theories are unreliable if YOU are not a tracking expert either?

Its okay if we dont agree on MY numbers, but dont label them as incorrect if you yourself aren't sure if they are or not.

Because I work in marketing and I know what a tracking expert is...and you're not it. Those percentages are completely based on speculation and guesswork.

 

[Peter McCabe]

Because I work in marketing and I know what a tracking expert is...and you're not it. Those percentages are completely based on speculation and guesswork.

Fair enough.

 

[terry78]

I think this and Star Trek will do pretty decent, but not overwhelmingly ri-donk-ulous. Angels and Demons however....I predict a massive opening and some legs, even with Terminator.

 

[bunk]

I think this and Star Trek will do pretty decent, but not overwhelmingly ri-donk-ulous. Angels and Demons however....I predict a massive opening and some legs, even with Terminator.

Really? Da Vinci Code was so bad. I hope this one is better.

 

[chaseter]

I need to know the run time before I can make a prediction.

 

[Microchip]

Really? Da Vinci Code was so bad. I hope this one is better.

He MUST be joking or talking about something else. Tom Hanks isn't a draw right now, and another Da Vinci Code type movie isn't what'll revitalize his career. That movie'll probably get something like 80 million total.

 

[chaseter]

There are 5 different kinds of people this will appeal to:

-Comic Book fans (less than 10% of overall box office)

-Action movie fans (40% of overall box office)

-People that like watching a good popcorn movie to start the summer regardless of what it is (30% of box office)

-Comic Book movie fans/People that enjoy comic book movies as a genre (20% of overall box office)

-Hugh Jackman fans (1-2% of overall box office)

*Creepy post number...

80% of statistics are made up on the spot.

 

[chaseter]

He MUST be joking or talking about something else. Tom Hanks isn't a draw right now, and another Da Vinci Code type movie isn't what'll revitalize his career. That movie'll probably get something like 80 million total.

Yeah no...it will make more...much more.

 

[bunk]

Well can't do worse critically.

 

[BMM]

He MUST be joking or talking about something else. Tom Hanks isn't a draw right now, and another Da Vinci Code type movie isn't what'll revitalize his career. That movie'll probably get something like 80 million total.

I have no idea how Angels and Demons will perform. Domestically, the Da Vinci Code did fine, but internationally it made a killing.

 

[Stretch2643]

Well movie revenues are up lately, as they always are when the economy my takes a tumble. Add that to the fact that this movie has pretty mass market appeal as far as action goes, and it's opening as the first really big blockbuster event of the summer, and I think you're going to see some really big numbers (regardless of how well it is reviewed...)

 

[danoyse]

I have no idea how Angels and Demons will perform. Domestically, the Da Vinci Code did fine, but internationally it made a killing.

I can't tell either. Many thought Angels & Demons was a far better book than DaVinci Code (it was), so there's still a lot of anticipation for it. If it's as mediocre as the DaVinci Code movie was, who knows?

 

[FaT_tONle]

I think Angels and Demons will underperform... like an MI: 3... becase its release date is too competitive. I don't know why Sony was so wrapped up in a May release against a stacked lineup of films due out that month. Would have been better for a spring or winter release.

 

[chaseter]

Yes it would do much better as a winter release but lets not be naive and think it won't do well.

 

[terry78]

I'm sticking to my surprise blockbuster status for A&D....come the next couple of months, we'll see what happens. You know how fickle the audience is.

 

[Spider-Vader]

If it has good WOM, I think it could reach 300 mil+. If not then it'll be somewhere in the early 200 mil range. Not really a big summer, unless Star Trek gets really good WOM, I don't see it being big & that'll mean Wolverine won't have any real trouble until Terminator.

 

[rayc1971]

i am a wolverine fan but you guys are nuts if you think it will gross 250 millon or more!ill say it will do about 175 to 200 mil tops.witch will be good enough for a sequel.star trek and terminator are going to be huge! with christian bale in salvation it could out gross the previous terminator films!

 

[Spider-Vader]

Terminator will be huge. I don't think Star Trek will. Star Trek is seen as an uber nerd thing, even by someone like me who considers himself a nerd.

 

[Spider-ManHero12]

I'd say $250+ million, IMO.

 

[EnDz0n3]

I think there'll be a lot of "Speedracers" this year. Tops of that list will be "A Night in the Museum" Also think Star Trek and Angels & Demons (this more than Star Trek) will underperform.

Da Vinci Code was big because of the controversy it had surronding it. Take the controversy away and add a previous film that let down a majority of those that were anticipating it (aka Da Vinci) and you've got Angels and Demons...

 

[chaseter]

I still need to know the run time to know where Wolverine will fall in the crowded summer.

Harry Potter or Transformers will battle it out for first followed by Terminator and Star Trek with Wolverine bringing up the rear for top 5. UP or Night at the Museum 2 may even beat Wolverine....it will be close.

 

[EnDz0n3]

I still need to know the run time to know where Wolverine will fall in the crowded summer.

Harry Potter or Transformers will battle it out for first followed by Terminator and Star Trek with Wolverine bringing up the rear for top 5. UP or Night at the Museum 2 may even beat Wolverine....it will be close.

I agree with this somewhat. I think it'll be HP then Transformers and Terminator and Wolverine battling for 3rd spot. Up could be the upset, though after Incredibles, I really can't see how any animated film can one "Up" it . To me Incredibles was the be all end all of animated flicks.

Was never into any of the HP films, havent seen a single one...though i shouldnt be badmouthing the franchise considering i worked on the game...LOL. Transformers movie franchise is trash, though i will still most likely watch it. I'm rooting against Terminator, mostly because of McG at the helm and with *****e Bale starring. Like i said Night at the museum will most likely bomb...the second weekend of May seems to always be bad luck...remember Van Helsing (1st weekend of May) having a bigger opening than Troy (2nd weekend), and of course, Speed racer..

 

[chaseter]

If Wolverine is near 2 hours and is a good movie, then it might be 3rd but in no way will it beat HP6 or TF2. If it is 90 something minutes and badly paced and forced then it will be 5th or possibly 6th after UP.