Far From Home Spider-Man: Far From Home ---- Official Box Office Prediction Thread

[Kuwolski]

Go Spidey! Go!
As long as it makes a billion it's all good. Don't give Sony the option to pull out.

TASM:
Budget: 200- 230 m
Box Office: 262 DOM, 496 m OS, 758 m total

TASM 2:
Budget: 200- 293 m
Box Office: 203 m DOM, 506 m OS, 709 total (-49 m)

Homecoming:
Budget: 175 m
Box Office: 334 m DOM, 546 m OS, 880 m total (+171 m)

FFH:
Budget 160 m
Box Office: ?? - 350 m+ DOM, 550 m+ OS, 900 m + total (+)

The cold hard numbers don't make me worry about Sony in the least. Marvel Studios gives them bigger bang for their buck and the franchise is trending in the right direction across the board.

 

[The Duh]

Seeing those numbers, to think that Tom Rothman of all people insisted on a 275 million budget for the first MCU Spidey solo venture...

Pretty sure Feige and Amy insisting on a lower budget must've made him and Sony execs really happy. And FFH having a lower budget than Homecoming while making MORE can only be the best possible result Sony could ask for.

 

[spiderman2]

I give it a 50/50 shoot at getting to 800 ww by end of sunday.

https://www-forbes-com.cdn.ampproje...r-from-home-approaches-800-million-worldwide/

 

[spiderman2]

Seeing those numbers, to think that Tom Rothman of all people insisted on a 275 million budget for the first MCU Spidey solo venture...

Pretty sure Feige and Amy insisting on a lower budget must've made him and Sony execs really happy. And FFH having a lower budget than Homecoming while making MORE can only be the best possible result Sony could ask for.

Yeah and for big action movies ffh budget us not bad at all and its action and cgi was a big step up from hc yet it cost less.

 

[spider-neil]

Yeah and for big action movies ffh budget us not bad at all and its action and cgi was a big step up from hc yet it cost less.

The effects are more grounded and realistic in Homecoming. The effects are more 'out there' and ambitious with FFH.

 

[8ulk87]

All things considered HC and FFH had the same budget.

The $10-15 mil difference is RDJs paycheck. The most expensive "cameo" of cinematic history.

Both MCU Spidey films have a total cost of around $275 mil (with marketing). $575 mil WW was the breaking even point.

P.S. SM FFH global opening stands at $356,3 mil WW (with 3day from China). #20 of all time beating Homecoming which now sits at #21.

Boxofficemojo All time WorldWide opening weekends records CORRECTED - V2.1

 

[I Am The Knight]

All things considered HC and FFH had the same budget.

The $10-15 mil difference is RDJs paycheck. The most expensive "cameo" of cinematic history.

Both MCU Spidey films have a total cost of around $275 mil (with marketing). $575 mil WW was the breaking even point.

P.S. SM FFH global opening stands at $356,3 mil WW (with 3day from China). #20 of all time beating Homecoming which now sits at #21.

Boxofficemojo All time WorldWide opening weekends records CORRECTED - V2.1

RDJ's role in HC wasn't a cameo. He had like three scenes in the movie.

 

[spider-neil]

RDJ's role in HC wasn't a cameo. He had like three scenes in the movie.

1. Meets Peter in his car
2. Saves Peter from drowning
3. Saves the ferry
4. Offers Peter Iron Spider

More than 5 minutes. Definitely more than a cameo.

 

[8ulk87]

RDJ's role in HC wasn't a cameo. He had like three scenes in the movie.

1. Meets Peter in his car
2. Saves Peter from drowning
3. Saves the ferry
4. Offers Peter Iron Spider

More than 5 minutes. Definitely more than a cameo.

Yeah i know thats why i wrote
"cameo"
instead of
cameo

 

[spiderman2]

The numbers website now has the movie at 847 million. That seems high has it also has os at 184 million for monday-sunday. Considering usa it made 84 million 184 for os in that time period seems to high. Hard to believe its os numbers would be over double that with china having made so much of its money already. If os really made that much then its os hold is incredable.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

 

[8ulk87]

Well if the OS numbers are indeed correct then Captain Marvel ($1128,3 mil) , Aquaman ($1148 mil) and CA Civil War ($1153,3 mil) will all bite the dust then.

 

[spiderman2]

So boxoffice mojo has the movie at 815 and that is with out sat usa numbers. So i guess around 850 by the end of sunday ww is in play. What a great hold then. I think 1.2 billion is now in play! Have not seen any sat numbers yet. China at almost 187 million. Does it get to 200 or is the movie getting pullee now?

 

[spiderman2]

Well if the OS numbers are indeed correct then Captain Marvel ($1128,3 mil) , Aquaman ($1148 mil) and CA Civil War ($1153,3 mil) will all bite the dust then.

Its a crazy hold if true. 1.2 billion i think is in play and i think 400 usa is in play to. Both os and usa holds were both crazy good. I think most people thought maybe it coukd reach 800 by end of sunday at most. I dont think anyone had it at around 850.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

FWIW here’s BOR:

 

[spiderman2]

So by end of sunday will be only behind spiderman 3 and hc both os and ww and usa and will pass those sometime next week maybe even before weekend when it xomes to os and ww. Will take a little bit longer for usa.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Its a crazy hold if true. 1.2 billion i think is in play and i think 400 usa is in play to. Both os and usa holds were both crazy good. I think most people thought maybe it coukd reach 800 by end of sunday at most. I dont think anyone had it at around 850.

At this rate it could hit a billion next weekend (tho I think it will take a few days more).

 

[spiderman2]

FWIW here’s BOR:

100 os wow! Even if you take the Italy number away it still made a little bit more than double usa.

 

[spiderman2]

Also just saw the Italylay number for its ow is about double hc. Hc did like 3 million ow and finished at 10 million there compared to ffh and its 6 million ow there.

 

[spiderman2]

At this rate it could hit a billion next weekend (tho I think it will take a few days more).

Yeah may take a little bit longer. This Last week it made 270 ww. If the movie drops 50% next week that would mean 135 and would put it at 982 by end of weekend 3.

 

[spiderman2]

Its only about 4 million behind were hc was after its 4th weekend usa wise after just 2 weekends! Now i know it got a holiday and 3 more days being out in like comparison because of the tuesday release but still. So hc took like 24 days to get to 278 million far from home will only take 14-15 days to get to that. Will be interesting to see how the amount of days compare when it hits 300 million. Hc took 35 days to get to 300. Ffh will get there some time next week has it only needs 25 million or so. Should hit it on thursday/friday. If its friday that would be day 18 about half what it too hc to get

 

[8ulk87]

Total Lifetime Grosses
Domestic: $274,529,305 32.4%
+ Foreign: $572,500,000 67.6%
= Worldwide: $847,029,305

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

‘Crawl’ To Try To Bite Some Space At Box Office In Wake of ‘Spider-Man: Far From Home’ – Deadline

Like we said last weekend in our mid-summer report, when smaller films like Paramount’s Crawl (now estimated at $12Mopening in 3rd after a $4.2M Saturday, -3% from Friday) and Fox’s Stuber (still $8Mafter $2.9M Saturday, -6% from Friday) fail to pop, much of that has to do with (1) what they are inherently as product, or (2) a distribution/marketing fumble. And, yes, you still have behemoths like a Sony/Marvel movie Spider-Man: Far From Home and Disney’s Toy Story 4 vacuuming up most of the dollars in a given weekend, respectively making $45.3M and $20.7M.

Spider-Man: Far From Home Lassos $847M Global, Tops Franchise Offshore – Deadline

The arachnomania continues as Sony/Marvel’s Spider-Man: Far From Home captured another $100M from the international box office this weekend, lifting the offshore cume to $572.5M. That sends the Tom Holland-starrer sailing past 2007’s Spider-Man 3 to become the top offshore grosser of the franchise. With $847M through Sunday globally, FFH is within slinging distance of both Spider-Man 3 ($891M unadjusted final) and Spider-Man: Homecoming ($880.2M).

Overseas, FFH, which began rollout in China on June 28, is tracking ahead of both Captain Marvel (+10%) and Homecoming (+44%) in like-for-like markets and at today’s rates. Italy, the last market to swing in, stuck a terrific landing with $6.1M, to best both Homecoming (+75%) and fellow Avenger Captain Marvel (+11%).

 

[KaijuDude1992]

Great second weekend for FFH. It should end up around $1.1-$1.2B WW now and easily become the highest grossing Spider-Man movie of all-time.

 

[8ulk87]

$191,8 mil in China.

Top Superhero films in China - $80 mil + .

01. Avengers EndGame (2019) - $630 mil.
02. Avengers Infinity War (2018) - $359,5 mil.
03. Aquaman (2018) - $298,3 mil.
04. Venom (2018) - $272,2 mil.
05. Avengers AoU (2015) - $240,1 mil.
06. Spider-Man FFH (2019) - $191,8 mil and counting...
07. CA Civil War (2016) - $180,8 mil.
08. Captain Marvel (2019) $154,1 mil.
09. Ant-Man & the Wasp (2018) - $121,2 mil.
10. Iron Man 3 (2013) - $121,2 mil.
11. X-Men Apocalypse (2016) - $120,8 mil.
12. X-Men Days of Future Past (2014) - $116,5 mil.
13. Spider-Man Homecoming (2017) - 116,3 mil.
14. CA The Winter Soldier (2014) - $115,6 mil.
15. Thor Ragnarok (2017) - $112,2 mil.
16. Doctor Strange (2016) - $109,2 mil.
17. Logan (2017) - $106,2 mil.
18. Justice League (2017) $106,1 mil.
19. Ant-Man (2015) - $105,4 mil.
20. Black Panther (2018) - 105,1 mil.
21. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (2017) - $100,7 mil.
22. Batman V Superman DoJ (2016) - $95,8 mil.
23. The Amazing SM 2 (2014) - $94,4 mil.
24. Wonder Woman (2017) - $90,5 mil.
25. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) - $86,3 mil.
26. The Avengers (2012) - $86,3 mil.
27. Big Hero 6 (2014) - $83,8 mil.