Summer 2011 box office predictions - Part 1

[dark_b]

no no no. we willl not ignore the 3D bump. 3D is important. and when the numbers are not super mega boom big then its ''interesting ''

 

[Dr. Evil]

Next week: Horrible Bosses vs. The Zookeeper.

Who wins the box office battle?

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Zookeeper by a large margin.

 

[terry78]

Shut.....up.

 

[Dr. Evil]

Zookeeper by a large margin.

Unfortunately, that'll probably be the case.

 

[flickchick85]

Family-friendly versus R-rated. It's not even a contest.

 

[Spideyfan93]

I say 40 million winner with Zookeeper,

And 25 million for Horrible Bosses.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

zookeeper, but I'll be seeing horrible bosses

 

[Doctor Jones]

Zookeeper could make a nice sum, but it could as disappointing as well. It could do solid until HP comes out and then people will flock to that.

 

[Doctor Jones]

So not all jokes are timeless, that doesn't mean that folk shouldn't use contemporary gags in films.
and when you say things like using twitter is dating the movie as well, it seems like you are just looking for things to complain about because it is a Micheal Bay movie, and an easy target.

edit: Just for the record, i posted this up before I read your specific reply to my post, but it still applies to that.

Then you should know I do not hate Michael Bay. I still don't. I love some of his films and love his whole demeanor in approach. He just gets carried away at times.

That's a bit of a lame excuse. Bay gets hate here, but I think people just don't like him. It could be bandwagoning in some places, as a collective place of opinions, few people sometimes don't think for themselves but some people just find his films obnoxious. I found this movie obnoxious apart from the action and robots.

 

[Bunker]

I generally like Bay. Bad Boys II is pure insane stupidity, but it's entertaining as fu. The Rock is a legitimately good action film. TF3 is pretty much trash.

 

[Doctor Jones]

Yup. Bad Boys II was at least enjoyable and it relished in its ridiculous and over the top nature. It truly was Bay through and through. And the content fit his sensibilities. There was stuff from TF3 that belonged in a Bad Boys or another Bay film but not Transformers.

 

[MadVillainy]

http://blogs.indiewire.com/thompson...ormers_3_breaks_records_larry_crowne_fizzles/

1. Transformers: Dark of the Moon $97.4 million in its Friday-Sunday weekend at 4,013 theaters. $24,271 theater average. Domestic total: $162.1 million.
2. Car 2 (Disney) $25.1 million down 62% in its second weekend at 4,115 theaters. $6,103 theater average. Domestic total: $116 million.
3. Bad Teacher (Sony) $14.1 million down 55% in its second weekend at 3,049 theaters. $4,624 theater average. Domestic total: $59.5 million.
4. Larry Crowne (U/Vendome) $13 million in its first weekend at 2,973 theaters. $4,372 theater average. Domestic total: $13 million.
5. Monte Carlo (Fox/Regency) $7.6 million in its first weekend at 2,473 theaters. $3,073 theater average. Domestic total: $7.6 million.
6. Super 8 (Paramount) $7.5 million down 38% in its fourth weekend at 3,088 theaters. $2,429 theater average. Domestic total: $108 million.
7. Green Lantern (Warner Bros.) $6.27 million down 65% in its third weekend at 3,280 theaters. $1,912 theater average. Domestic total: $102 million.
8. Mr. Popper’s Penguins (Fox) $5.1 million down 50% in its third weekend at 2,861 theaters. $1,783 theater average. Domestic total: $50.1 million.
9. Bridesmaids (Universal) $3.5 million down 33% in its eighth weekend at 1,389 theaters. $3,090 theater average. Domestic total: $153.7 million.
10. Midnight in Paris (Sony Pictures Classics) $3.44 million down 18% in its seventh weekend at 858 theaters. $4,007 theater average. Domestic total: $33.6 million.

Im surprised Bad TEacher beat Larry Crowne. I read that Monte Carlo was supposed to be released in February; bad move IMO to change the date to July 4th weekend counter programming be dammed. GL will barely reach 120 domestic. I didnt know Bridesmaids was doing so well, I still havent seen it but if it's showing somewhere near me I might now.

 

[John McGuirk]

I saw Bridesmaids last night. Surprisingly funny, way funnier than Hangover 2.

 

[rashad]

'Transformers: Dark of the Moon' Dominates Overseas Box Office With $210 Million Bow
3:56 PM 7/3/2011 by Frank Segers

Michael Bay's movie, starring Shia LaBeouf, becomes Paramount's biggest foreign opening ever; meanwhile, "Larry Crowne" earns $3 million, while "Monte Carlo" takes in $1.3 million.

Transformers: Dark of the Moon exploded on the foreign theatrical circuit over the July 4 weekend, commanding $210 million in its resounding No. 1 opening surge at 9,075 overseas locations in 58 territories.

The third installment of director Michael Bay’s noisy, special effects-laden sci-fi adventure series – which has grossed a worldwide total of $1.545 billion thus far – took off like a roman candle overseas after midweek openings in many territories.

'Transformers: Dark of the Moon' Scores Third-Best Global Bow Ever
Distributor Paramount International said the film soared to the No. 1 spot in 57 of its opening markets with 70% of the action derived from 3D venues. Dark of the Moon is Paramount's biggest foreign opening ever, surpassing the $147 million offshore debut of 2008’s Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull.

Eye-popping debut numbers were logged throughout Asia. In South Korea, the take was $28 million from 1,107 situations, the market’s biggest opening ever. In Hong Kong, the per-site average was more than $118,000 for a $5.2 million gross, another market opening record.

All-time debut highs were also set in the Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore plus the United Arab Emirates, Peru and Panama. Opening records for a Paramount title were set in Brazil ($5.9 million from 376 situations), India ($4.3 million from 558 sites) and in Turkey.

Dark of the Moon’s mega-opening ranks as the second biggest of the year overseas after Disney’s Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides, which recorded $260.4 million in its first five days at 18,210 screens in more than 100 offshore territories. (Disney said Tides passed the $1 billion worldwide box office mark, grossing $1.008 billion with $774 million of the total coming from the foreign circuit after a $6.9 million weekend.)

The first two Transformer titles were more popular abroad than in the U.S. and Canada. 2007’s Transformers drew $389.8 million offshore versus $319.2 million domestically. 2009’s Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen grossed $434.2 million offshore versus $402.1 million domestically, as per Paramount figures.

Dark of the Moon’s opening surge beat by 51% the foreign debut of Revenge of the Fallen. Openings in China and Japan are due later this month.

Opening offshore day and date with its domestic bow was Summit International’s Larry Crowne, the comedy costarring Tom Hanks and Julia Roberts, which grossed a mild-mannered $3 million from some 1,220 locations in 10 overseas territories.

20th Century Fox’s romantic comedy, Monte Carlo, also entered the foreign fray with an even milder $1.3 million from 334 screens in 11 markets.

Pixar/Disney’s Cars 2, which topped foreign box office last weekend, finished in second place internationally this time, grossing $22.1 million from 19 territories, down by nearly half from the opening session. Foreign cume for director-coscripter John Lasseter’s animation adventure comedy stands at $82.2 million while the worldwide total gross is $198.3 million.
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/transformers-3-earns-372-mil-207282
Disney notes that so far, the Cars sequel has played about 35% of the international market and is outpacing in the same territories such previous Pixar outings as the 2006 Cars original by 123%, 2007’s Ratatouille by 67% and 2009’s Up by 57%. The biggest markets are Mexico (cume $16.4 million), Russia ($15.6 million), Brazil ($11.8 million) and Italy ($10.2 million). Openings in nine markets including Argentina and Spain are on tap this week.

DreamWorks Animation’s Kung Fu Panda, No. 3 on the weekend, pushed its international gross total to $374 million thanks to a $19 million round at 8,744 overseas locations in 56 territories. The Paramount release held well in France, drawing $2.6 million at 969 venues for a market cume of $15.1 million.

Fourth was Warner Bros.' The Hangover Part 2, which woke up to $8.9 million elicited from some 4,200 screens in 56 territories. Foreign cume for the highest-grossing R-rate dcomedy ever overseas comes to $300 million.
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/live-feed/shia-labeouf-jokes-transformers-3-207664
No. 5 was Universal romantic comedy Bridesmaids, which yielded $7.2 million from 1,204 playdates in 11 markets, raising its foreign cume to $34.8 million. Sony’s Bad Teacher, starring Cameron Diaz, nailed $6.7 million from 1,535 screens in 25 markets, for an overseas total take so far of $28.6 million.

Fox’s Mr. Popper’s Penguins starring Jim Carrey opened in five offshore markets (including a No. 5 bow in Australia), grossing $5.7 million overall from 1,611 screens in 22 territories. Early foreign cume stands at $11 million. Fox’s X-Men: First Class came up with $5 million from 4,449 spots in 52 territories for an overseas gross total of $197.2 million.

Super 8, the sci-fi adventures directed by J.J. Abrams, is slowing overseas, grossing $3.6 million on the weekend from 1,801 sites in 30 markets. Paramount says the film held the No. 1 spot in Japan with a second weekend take of $2.6 million from 324 locations.
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/tom-hanks-dons-man-spanx-203827
Cannes Festival top prizewinner Tree of Life tallied $1.1 million from some 960 spots in 21 markets, as per Summit International. A U.K. opening for the Terrence Malick title is on tap this week via Fox.

Top-grossing local language title in France was UGC Distribution’s L’eleve Ducobu (The Student Ducobu), a comedy about an amiable school dunce, which drew from 471 screens an estimated $2.1 million in its second round, up 10% from the prior weekend. Opening No. 4 in the market was another comedy, Pathe’s Les Tuche (The Tuches), about a slacker family that hits the lottery. Weekend take was an estimated $1.6 million from 400 sites.http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/monte-carlos-selena-gomez-leighton-207663

Other international cumes: Warner Bros.’ The Green Lantern, $33.3 million; Universal’s Fast Five, $391.4 million; Mars Distribution’s Omar m’a tuer, $2.8 million over two rounds in France only; Universal’s The Adjustment Bureau, $63.9 million; Mars Distrtibution’s Midnight in Paris, $13.6 million over eight rounds in France only; and Universal’s The Debt, $1.5 million.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/transformers-dark-moon-dominates-overseas-207885

 

[CelticPredator]

Then you should know I do not hate Michael Bay. I still don't. I love some of his films and love his whole demeanor in approach. He just gets carried away at times.

That's a bit of a lame excuse. Bay gets hate here, but I think people just don't like him. It could be bandwagoning in some places, as a collective place of opinions, few people sometimes don't think for themselves but some people just find his films obnoxious. I found this movie obnoxious apart from the action and robots.

People hate Bay because he makes action movies. That's fine if you didnt like DOTM...but you cant deny the insane amount of loathing for the guy around the internet....

He wont change.

 

[Doctor Jones]

And I respect the hell out of him for that. I love that he won't change. But some people just don't like his style in his action movies. I love it, but others don't. It could be somewhat bandwagoning, but it could just be how people feel about him. But those people don't matter in the end, as he is correct, people flock to his films. He makes movies for the people who like his movies. And they've been pretty consistant to far. He doesn't have to give a **** what people think. I love that about him.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

I love his ability to make his movies events and his ability to keep these movies under budget and on time. I still can't believe Transformers 3 costs less than $200 million.

 

[Doctor Jones]

You gotta hand it to him.

 

[rashad]

Top WW Box Office

Pirates 4 - $1.008 billion (4th $1 billion Disney film, 3rd highest gross internationally)
Fast Five - $599.3 million ($600 million on Monday, still has Japan release)
The Hangover Part II - $548.1 million (highest-grossing R-rated comedy overseas;$300M)
Kung Fu Panda 2 - $530.7 million
Rio - $470 million
Thor - $439.6 million
TF3: Dark of the Moon - $372.1 million
X-Men: First Class - $335 million

 

[terry78]

I think Bay gets hate because by all rights he should be making bombs like Uwe Boll but most of his stuff succeeds and people love it, regardless of their background. The foreign box office already proves it's not just some lowbrow American thing. Then you factor stuff like Chris Nolan admitting he loves Bay movies and fanboys just don't know what the **** to do with it.

 

[Doctor Jones]

Haha yeah, that's what I love about it. Just bring up Nolan loving Bay and there you go. Like I said, some people love his movies, others don't. Even acclaimed filmmaker like Nolan love him. So what does that say?

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

Nolan fanboys make up stuff like "Nolans saying that to be nice", just like how a poster rejected that Nolan said he liked Avatar as "Nolan not wanting to piss off Cameron".

Bull****

 

[rashad]

Some Nolan fanboys make up stuff like "Nolans saying that to be nice", just like how a poster rejected that Nolan said he liked Avatar as "Nolan not wanting to piss off Cameron".

Bull****

Yeah it's ridiculous when some do that.

I would love to be in a room with these three talking about film.

 

[Mrs. Sawyer]

And that is one badass picture.