Terminator Salvation: Box Office Prediction/Discussion

[terry78]

People were swearing up and down that Museum could never beat this movie. That's what predictions get you.

 

[Eggyman]

Ha! So much for the PG-13 rating, if it does come in #2. Incredibly disappointing, but if it sends a message to the studios not to puss out on ratings to make it more open to a wider audience, the better.

Great point.

Or they could go the other way and make #5 a U.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

Considering its under-performing $62 million opening (for the 5-day weekend) as well as its mixed-to-negative word-of-mouth, don't be surprised to see Salvation pull in less than Rise of the Machines domestically (which opened higher and had a better reception among critics and the general public!)

The foriegn numbers probably won't save it this time either - i.e. the lack of Arnold.

 

[Heretic]

they need to go ahead and put Arnold in the commercials...

And the box office prediction business is awfully fine tuned when they know totals not only from a day that hasnt ended, but the next day as well.

 

[Matt]

This is incredibly embarrassing for Warners.

 

[FaT_tONle]

So do you think that it will go up or fall today? I'm thinking a 5 to 10% increase but I wouldn't be surprised if it fell today.

I don't know... you are the resident box office Guru on the hype... what do you see next weekend???

And all I can say is... didn't Watchmen gross more in 5 days? That's sad... Thank God WB has Potter this year because this is flop number two. Luckily they did not produce this film.

 

[Rishi]

I can't believe people who are interested in this are thinking of not seeing it.

This is a movie that needs to be seen on a big screen, with great sound. If you want a T5, go and see this. You owe it to yourself

 

[Eric Brooks]

I can't believe people who are interested in this are thinking of not seeing it.

well most of these people are drones who let critics do their thinking for them instead of judging for themselves

oh, and they all live in rich hollywood neighborhoods where it costs $15 a pop to see a movie

so yea, I wouldn't try to rack your brain around their logic either, not worth it

 

[Hurm...]

oh, and they all live in rich hollywood neighborhoods where it costs $15 a pop to see a movie

so yea, I wouldn't try to rack your brain around their logic either, not worth it

:facepalm

 

[Sentinel X]

I cant believe NATM won. I never thought T4 would make as much money as everyone was saying but I never thought NATM would beat it either. I thought that movie would've been this years Evan Almighty.

Oh well.

 

[Prison Mike]

well most of these people are drones who let critics do their thinking for them instead of judging for themselves

oh, and they all live in rich hollywood neighborhoods where it costs $15 a pop to see a movie

so yea, I wouldn't try to rack your brain around their logic either, not worth it

JAL? Is that you...?

 

[Eggyman]

JAL? Is that you...?

Funny you mention that. I thought the same thing...

 

[Prison Mike]

Funny you mention that. I thought the same thing...

who knows...I'm sure there are people who have more than one username on here. And this Eric Brooks is very dead set against critics like JAL. eerie...

 

[FCEEVIPER]

This is incredibly embarrassing for Warners.

Nope, The Halcyon Co. owns it, WB/Columbia Pictures just distributes it. The Halcyon Company loses more on the ticket sales.


The WB and Columbia Pictures is like Legendary Pictures with the Dark Knight.

 

[FlawlessVictory]

Well, this certainly puts the final nail in the Terminator franchise. Combined with the cancellation of the tv series, it's clear there is just not enough audience interest in this franchise. Sucks too because there are things that I would have liked to have seen that now will never happen, such as the army of T-800's with their guns and Connor sending Reese back through time.

Lets face it though, this franchise should have never went past the second film. The third film was eh, just not necessary. I did however enjoy the hell out of this current film though. They could have just as easily though have put the future scenes I would have liked to have seen in this film and wrapped it up. But of course, everything has to be at least three films and milked as much as possible and now this series won't even get to a fifth film.

 

[TheVileOne]

Sucks to the PG-13, shorter runtime = MORE MONEY mindset.

EPIC FAIL.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

This is incredibly embarrassing for Warners.

Nope, The Halcyon Co. owns it, WB/Columbia Pictures just distributes it. The Halcyon Company loses more on the ticket sales.

Frankly, it's embarrassing for all parties involved. What was considered a major coup in getting Bale to headline the film (who was paid a fortune and inked a three-picture deal seperate from his Batman contract - which will now be a "one and out" situation) turned out not to matter at all to the general public.

Not to mention, spending millions of dollars for the sole purpose of putting Arnold on screen for barely a minute (i.e. paying Arnold for the rights to his likeness as well as the body double Roland Kickinger and the expensive CGI) proved to be utterly pointless.

 

[TheVileOne]

Huge blow to McG's career as well. He acted like the big tough Hollywood bigshot and talked up a huge game, really made it seem like he knew what he was doing. He'll be stuck back on TV shows for now.

This was supposed to help legitimize his career.

 

[Prison Mike]

I think they should start promoting this movie as the one where Bale had his rant. Maybe that will get people into the seats. Probably not, but it would be funny to see.

 

[FilmNerdJamie]

Huge blow to McG's career as well. He acted like the big tough Hollywood bigshot and talked up a huge game, really made it seem like he knew what he was doing. He'll be stuck back on TV shows for now.

Uh, no. McG is already up to his ass in pre-production on 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea: Captain Nemo for Disney next year.

The Terminator franchise might be dead, but it's foolish to go around saying McG's is too.

 

[Eggyman]

Uh, no. McG is already up to his ass in pre-production on 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea: Captain Nemo for Disney next year.

The Terminator franchise might be dead, but it's foolish to go around saying McG's is too.

It's not foolish at all. It's a mark against his already questioned 'talent'.

 

[Evil Twin]

Yeah, it's obvious that TS is going to be a relative disappointment at the box office, but it's no Cutthroat Island or Heaven's Gate style disaster. Heck, it's not even a Speed Racer type flop. It will end up like Watchmen making a modest return for the studio when everything is finally figured in.

Luckily for WB they have Harry Potter to bail out the Summer.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I don't know... you are the resident box office Guru on the hype... what do you see next weekend???

And all I can say is... didn't Watchmen gross more in 5 days? That's sad... Thank God WB has Potter this year because this is flop number two. Luckily they did not produce this film.

I've just been lucky this year.

Frankly, it's embarrassing for all parties involved. What was considered a major coup in getting Bale to headline the film (who was paid a fortune and inked a three-picture deal seperate from his Batman contract - which will now be a "one and out" situation) turned out not to matter at all to the general public.

Not to mention, spending millions of dollars for the sole purpose of putting Arnold on screen for barely a minute (i.e. paying Arnold for the rights to his likeness as well as the body double Roland Kickinger and the expensive CGI) proved to be utterly pointless.

Yeah. I think it's safe to say that if Bale was going to be some kind of draw it would be with this kind of movie. According the Mojo's estimates.

The movie did 14.98 friday, 14.75 sat and 13.27 today. For a total of 43mil. Yikes thats worst than I even thought it would do and I had it at number two.

 

[TheVileOne]

Uh, no. McG is already up to his ass in pre-production on 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea: Captain Nemo for Disney next year.

Well let's see if Captain Nemo doesn't fall apart sooner than later much like Frank Miller's Buck Rogers.

 

[Heretic]

First of all...Im not going to pay $15 bucks to see a movie that I dont think i'll like, just because I hope to eventually get another movie I might not like.

Second, this kind of sucks because at the end of T2 they could have just left us with happy thoughts...and now the franchise dies in the middle of a war for the future of the planet...kinda depressing to not see it actually come to an end in the story.