The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread - Part 1

[DarthSkywalker]

I don't think it is the quantity of releases, and more the fact studios have this invisible rule that May-July is for blockbusters, October is Oscar season as well as horror film season, November-Xmas is a second wave of blockbusters for the holidays, and Jan-April is mostly romcoms.

These arbitrary release strategies restrict what blockbuster films will make more so than how many are being made.

Completely agree. Films like the first Hunger Games, and now Cap showed why this is so bad. The films simply each one another when you pack them together. The amount of releases is fine imo. After all, you never know what will stick.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Factor in all the hype surrounding the Sinister Six in the franchise, and I don't forsee the budget being controlled anytime soon, either. When you're planning on using six supervillains, that is going to make the budget pop up like a balloon.

Yep, it is going to cost more then Spider-Man 3. After all TASM2 cost $255m already.

I think a lot of it has to do with Disney. Ever since they bought Marvel and took over production of the films, the Marvel Studios films don't look cheap anymore. And Disney's marketing team is just top notch when they actually use it to promote their IPs.

MCU is now a premium product.

 

[Spider-Fan]

Yep, it is going to cost more then Spider-Man 3. After all TASM2 cost $255m already.


MCU is now a premium product.

Agreed on both accounts. This movie already cost roughly 255mil to make, without marketing costs. There is little hope that a TASM3 with the Sinister Six will be made for anything less than 300mil, and my guess would be it'd have to be at least 350. If this comes to fruition, then TASM3 is a MUST for reaching over the billion dollar milestone. If the Sinister Six is in fact the goal, that dream can't survive on roughly 800mil WW at the BO.

 

[Spider-Fan]

This BvS vs Cap 3 discussion has a thread guys. Please take this there, and let's keep this focused on Spidey.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Agreed on both accounts. This movie already cost roughly 255mil to make, without marketing costs. There is little hope that a TASM3 with the Sinister Six will be made for anything less than 300mil, and my guess would be it'd have to be at least 350. If this comes to fruition, then TASM3 is a MUST for reaching over the billion dollar milestone. If the Sinister Six is in fact the goal, that dream can't survive on roughly 800mil WW at the BO.

$300m doesn't sound crazy imo. The pressure on this film is insane at this point.

 

[Mr. Dent]

This BvS vs Cap 3 discussion has a thread guys. Please take this there, and let's keep this focused on Spidey.

Holy crap I forgot I was in a Spider-Man thread. I legit thought I was in Cap's section.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Holy crap I forgot I was in a Spider-Man thread. I legit thought I was in Cap's section.

For the sake of this films box office, don't make the same mistake at the movie theater. Don't buy a ticket for TWS and see TASM2 instead.

 

[Spider-Fan]

For the sake of this films box office, don't make the same mistake at the movie theater. Don't buy a ticket for TWS and see TASM2 instead.

LOL!!!! This cracked me up

 

[DarthSkywalker]

LOL!!!! This cracked me up

If the budget for TASM3 gets slashed and Doc Ock is missing one of his arms, I know who to blame.

 

[Spider-Fan]

If the budget for TASM3 gets slashed and Doc Ock is missing one of his arms, I know who to blame.

I blame society

 

[Donut]

Hmmmmmmmmm

 

[Spiderdevil]

Wow
2 month ago I would have thought it was impossible but there is fair chance of this making less than Cap2

TWS seems on course to hit 750M and TASM2 would maybe go till 700M looking at the International numbers so far

 

[Ms. Marvel]

Wow
2 month ago I would have thought it was impossible but there is fair chance of this making less than Cap2

TWS seems on course to hit 750M and TASM2 would maybe go till 700M looking at the International numbers so far

I don't even know what TWS is going to do anymore, the predictions keep rising.

TASM2 may over-perform in China and USA so $800 million is still a possibility.

 

[Joe_Kickass]

Wow
2 month ago I would have thought it was impossible but there is fair chance of this making less than Cap2

TWS seems on course to hit 750M and TASM2 would maybe go till 700M looking at the International numbers so far

Makes me wonder about Sony's supposed confidence in the film, because it certainly doesn't look to have been well-placed.

 

[JOE]

Godzilla on Spidey's tail isn't going to help either.

 

[miltonh]

Personally, I think it has to do with a new writer this week just doing a horrible job. Anita Bush usually does it and her assessment was pretty spot on. This person though is just baffling and makes me hope that Bush comes back because she usually does a great job.

I think Sony was always close to Deadline so... t: It's like with some fresh reviews on RT "The Amazing Spider-Man 2 is by no means unenjoyable; it's just all kinds of stupid. The best approach: don't think too hard about it all.". But I don't blame Sony however these early int'l release dates didn't help at all...

Yeah, Neighbors will do well. Could be around Knocked Up OW with inflation,I think.

 

[miltonh]

Also guys remember Sony sold merchandising rights back to Marvel 3 years ago (278M).

 

[spider-neil]

Do Sony own the right to make a live action TV series?
Obviously Disney own the right to animated TV.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Do Sony own the right to make a live action TV series?
Obviously Disney own the right to animated TV.

Disney owns all the television rights it seems.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

There are numerous reasons Cap 2 has more momentum than ASM2:

1) overwhelmingly positive reviews
2) A current and relevant message
3) Avengers effect
4) a previous film with a touching ending

All these add up to a B-list superhero defeating a flagship, A-list character at the box office.

 

[hippie_hunter]

I don't even know what TWS is going to do anymore, the predictions keep rising.

TASM2 may over-perform in China and USA so $800 million is still a possibility.

Yeah, that's why I'm holding off on judging the film's overall performance until the US and China numbers pull through. Those two markets are going to be the ones to save this film if it happens.

 

[JOE]

Agreed! ^ Those two carry the weight.

 

[(SUPERMAN)]

Opening Weekend US Box Office = $95 - $105 Million
Overall US Box Office = $225 - $275 Million
Overall International Box Office = $400 - $500 Million
Overall World Wide Box Office = $625 – $775 Million

 

[Joe_Kickass]

Opening Weekend US Box Office = $95 - $105 Million
Overall US Box Office = $225 - $275 Million
Overall International Box Office = $400 - $500 Million
Overall World Wide Box Office = $625 – $775 Million

I hope not, that would be pretty sad if so.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I keep going back and forth. I'm now thinking 85-95mil. I still wouldn't be surprised if it opened over 100mil though.