The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[spiderman2]

I picked 950 million has I think it will make between 900 million and 1 billion. I think the lowest it could make is 800 million. The amazing spider man made about 750 million and that was with being a reboot and with coming out close to dark knight rises witch had a lot of hype after dark knight and the advengers that had a lot of hype being the first team up super hero movie. This year there is no movie coming out around the same time that is even close to having has much hype has rises and advengers did back then. There was also that midnight shooting that happened and after words moves ticket sales went down for like a week or 2 if not for that it may have made an extra 20 million then you are talking about 770 million and with how much better this movie is looking then the first one its hype is a lot higher. So with more hype not going up agest 2 big movies there is no way that the movie wont make at least 30 million more to get to 800 million.

Batman begins made only about 374 million witch so that reboots are not going to do great even if they are good has batman begins was a lot better then a 374 million dollar movie when it comes to how good it was and compared to the amazing spider man 753 million and most people would agree that batman begins was superera to the amazing spider man. I think that shows that even though batman is popular that spider man is more popular. I know batman begins didn't have 3d and the amazing spider man did but even if the amazing spider man didn't have 3d it would have made a good amont more then batman begins even though begins was a lot better movie. So with that I can see this movie making around the same amount has dark knight rises or dark knight has spider man is more popular and it has 3d with those movies did not. Even if say the movie makes a billion it will probly sale less tickets then any of the first 3 spider man movies has spider man 2 made the least at like 780 million but that was with out 3d and that was 10 years ago so inflaution. If reviews come out and it sounds really good I could even see the movie making like 1.1 or 1.2 billion.

 

[Andrew Lucas]

1.4 billion, its accurate.

 

[Picard Sisko]

I still think going that far above a billion is a stretch. Don't get your hopes up.

 

[Andrew Lucas]

Oh c'mon Picard, don't ruin the vibe.

 

[Picard Sisko]

Not trying to ruin the vibe, but just trying to be realistic about it. I estimated $800-900 million, and I think that would be a fantastic BO gross.

 

[Andrew Lucas]

Not trying to ruin the vibe, but just trying to be realistic about it. I estimated $800-900 million, and I think that would be a fantastic BO gross.

Gotcha,i might run my estimations again.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I'm greedy.

I want 900+ m.

 

[JOE]

I want 1.6B, but I'll settle for half.

 

[MrSpyder]

Definitely more than the first up to 1B total

 

[GuestStar2004]

$850 would be realistic because then TASM3 would go up even more

it could surprise and make 900 mil to a 1b, it certainly has the hype to

 

[Avenging Spidey]

Some interesting data I've seen posted on the boxoffice.com boards regarding The Amazing Spider-Man 2's hype on Facebook:

Interesting stats for people who think TASM2 doesn't have any buzz. Cap 2 comes out in 3 days, and TASM2 still has 4 weeks, yet Sunday on Facebook, there were more people talking about TASM2 than Cap Am 2. IDK why, but they were. Cap 2 has passed it today, but they still shouldn't be this close when theyre 4 weeks apart. So its either TASM2 has higher early buzz, or Cap 2 has low late buzz. You can't try to create grey area or excuse here. IMO, the buzz for both is pretty good. Since January 13th, TASM2 has gained about 1.3 million likes. Cap has gained over 700,000, but under 1.1 million.

Also theres 2 SM pages on Facebook. One for the Webb series and one for the Raimi series, but the one for the Raimi series only posts TASM2 related things on it now. It has 10M likes and it measured 124,000 people talking. Its safe to say most of that traffic is for TASM2. So add that 124,000 with the 591,000 talking about TASM2 and that equals 715,000. Cap has 677,000 talking. Even if you take out SM's page, TASM2 is still only 86,000 people behind - 10,000 more than 1 NFL stadium could fit.

TASM2's biggest peak in 2014 was between 3/14-3/20 where it had 915,000 people talking. Cap's biggest peak was last week, 3/26-4/1 where 730,000 were talking. So it looks like more people buzzed about TASM2's trailer than Cap's actual pending release, at least on Facebook.

Yes, I'm aware it's only Facebook, but it still counts for something. I firmly believe social media plays a strong role in BO, especially for these kinds of films. If this has to be discounted, then so does any stat. If Cap is being predicted to do $90M+, I see no idea why TASM2 would be doing $70-80M and it still has 4 more weeks to build domestic buzz. Again, yes I realize its only FB, but the fact that is still engaging more posts than Captain America when its still 30 days versus 3 days shows that yes people are talking about it. If they arent, they arent talking about Cap either.

For comparison - 2M people are talking about Frozen, 359,000 for TF4, 1.58M for Rio 2, 18,000 for Transcendence, 79,000 for Godzilla, and 534,000 for Noah. Also 55,000 are talking about Sony Pictures, versus 96,000 for Marvel, though Marvel blows it out the water in likes.

Source: http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.p...r-tasm-club-rs-tracking-low-80s-ow/?p=1316910

I don't think there is a worst place to talk about The Amazing Spider-Man 2 in the internet than the boxoffice boards, and I find the "box office analysts" there biased as hell, but Jandrew does make some excellent points there.

 

[spiderman2]

some interesting stuff regarding Caption American it is being tracked to make 90 million on opening weekend and is being tracked to make more then 500 million world wide. The first one made around 374 million so that would be like around a 25% increase maybe more. The amazing spider man made 754 million if it has a similer increase 25% that would put the amazing spider man 2 around the 940 million dollar amount. The first caption American made about half has much has the amazing spider man if the amazing spider man 2 makes double what caption American 2 is being projected to make that would put the amazing spiderman 2 around the 1-1.1 billion dollar amount. I think the changes of it making a billion are relativite good. There have been other movies that have had big increase before. Batman begins to dark knight, iron man 2 to iron man 3.

 

[Spiderdevil]

Regardless,I think 800M is a lock

It will probably end around 900M with possibilities of crossing 1B if it is as good as the early reviews say

 

[Spiderdevil]

Edit:double post

 

[JOE]

Regardless,I think 800M is a lock

It will probably end around 900M with possibilities of crossing 1B if it is as good as the early reviews say

800M is not a lock by any means, not at this stage of the game.

 

[Picard Sisko]

Tickets are now on sale in the U.S.

 

[Spiderdevil]

800M is not a lock by any means, not at this stage of the game.

Well TASM made 750 sandwiched between TDKR and TA(Arguably two of most anticipated CBMs in a long time)

This time around TASM2 has almost all the hype to itself plus it seems like a better movie

But yeah SM2 type situations happen(it made less than SM1) but I still think 800M is a pretty safe bet

 

[SikeMullivan]

Tickets are now on sale in the U.S.

Not for me.

 

[Picard Sisko]

Well TASM made 750 sandwiched between TDKR and TA(Arguably two of most anticipated CBMs in a long time)

This time around TASM2 has almost all the hype to itself plus it seems like a better movie

But yeah SM2 type situations happen(it made less than SM1) but I still think 800M is a pretty safe bet

Keep in mind that it would have been really difficult for SM2 to top SM1. With inflation, Spider-Man 1 basically made about $1 billion. It was a huge event film at the time, so it's not that surprising that Spider-Man 2 didn't make more.

TASM1 was lucky to make the $750 million that it did. I see little to no reason for TASM2 not to make more.

 

[JOE]

Studios market movies in different ways. In this case, Sony is showing off. That's all I have to say.

Hope it reaches 1B, but I'm still sticking to my 800M prediction. It's a step in the right direction whichever way you slice it.

 

[Picard Sisko]

If it makes more money, then yeah, it's a step in the right direction. TASM3 could make a lot more than TASM2 but now I'm getting a little ahead of myself.

 

[JOE]

There was a good interview with one of the members of the Schmoes and they talked about over-marketing the film. Each side had some good points. They even referenced the Avengers movie with the falling Iron-Man scene. It spoiled it, but at the end of the day, it brought a ton of people in and it was bad***... However, we all knew it was going to happen when we saw him falling and it took the fun out of it.

 

[Picard Sisko]

Y'know, I don't think it took the fun out of that movie. It's one thing to see it out of context on your computer screen, but it's another to actually seeing it happen on the big screen within the context of the movie.

However, in that same interview on AMC movie talk, John Campea was also saying that Sony is doing this because they are very proud of their movie, and they want to make sure people are aware of it. Can you blame them?

 

[JOE]

Yeah but you know he's going to catch him... You can't tell me that if you didn't see that scene in the trailers but then saw it in the movie for the first time you wouldn't get goosebumps.

And no, you can't blame them at all. I'd be proud of it too, it's bruuuuuuutifurrrrrrrrr! :')

 

[Micromind]

Thought this was interesting, imagine if Cap America 2 makes near 900 mil.

Box Office: 'Captain America: Winter Soldier' Breaks Advance Ticket Sales Record

If the pace of advance ticket sales is any indication, Captain America: The Winter Soldier is poised to score the top April opening of all time and cross $90 million in its North American debut this weekend. Some even wonder if it could approach $100 million.

On Thursday, the $170 million sequel became the top-selling April title in Fandango's 14-year history, eclipsing Universal's Fast Five, which debuted to $86.2 million in late April 2011. Fandango rival MovieTickets.com is also reporting brisk sales.

Overseas, the critically acclaimed tentpole is already a hit, racing past the $100 million mark on Wednesday after scoring $75.2 million last weekend from 32 markets. Captain America 2 opens in Russia and Australia on Thursday, and in China on Friday.

In North America, Marvel and Disney are essentially kicking off the box-office summer season a month early by deciding to open Captain America 2 on the first weekend in April.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-captain-america-winter-693340

Looks like Captain America The Winter Solider is going to give TASM 2 and X-men DOFP a good competition in terms of Box Office collections.