Homecoming The Box Office Thread

[Shikamaru]

Way too early to tell, but it would be fun to look back on people's initial gut feelings and see how they change within the upcoming two years.

I don't think it's a stretch to say Sony's next film wouldn't have performed well, especially if it was the Sinister Six spinoff. More particularly, how do you see this performing compared with TASM2?

 

[LizardMan07]

Id add a poll Shika, that's always fun.

I think it'll do fantastically well, especially if Civil war and ultron give it a good lead up.

I'm predicting 900-1 billion

 

[Comic Book Guy]

Considering the buzz that will be surrounding this movie with the knowledge that it's the first Spidey film set in the MCU, I'd expect $800m. If it's really good it has the chance to crack a billion.

 

[Shikamaru]

Id add a poll Shika, that's always fun.

Done.

 

[Chip Chipperson]

somewhere between 900 mil and 1 billion

Spidey in the world of the MCU is just too big to comprehend

 

[XtremelyBaneful]

lets hope for $800 mill. it's gotta be more than $700 mill because that's what asm2 did and it was deemed a failure.

 

[LizardMan07]

If Sinister Six happened next year I'd be saying it would have made 500-600.

With Civil War and Avengers hype spidey could hit a billion.

 

[PeterBenParker]

^ That $700 mill would've been a great profit had Sony not reached too high with their unrealistic goals.

I voted for $700-800 mill.

 

[XtremelyBaneful]

^ That $700 mill would've been a great profit had Sony not reached too high with their unrealistic goals.

I voted for $700-800 mill.

you mean their budget was too high?

 

[PeterBenParker]

you mean their budget was too high?

That, but also expectations.

For some silly reason, they were wanting TASM2 to make 100 mill opening weekend and get a billion out of it by the time it was done in theaters.

All for the plans of TASM Universe, which were pretty poor (minus Venom, I always thought that character could his own in a film) looking back on it.

I was hyped for Sinister Six and everything else until the leaked e-mails surfaced, then I just wanted them to scrap everything, make a good TASM3 and finish the reboot franchise on a high-note before letting the rights expire so Marvel/Disney could get 'em.

 

[Saitou Hajime]

900 million-over 1 billion. Spidey's first appearance being in a MCU film gives the 2017 film an end run around reboot stigma, and it instills the same aura of anticipation that befalls most MCU solo films post-"big" film. If even the atrocious ASM2 could get 700 million, then a "bad" (ie not really) to great MCU Spidey film should make significantly more than that.

 

[PeterBenParker]

Glad this thread was made.

Now we'll just need a "Predict the Critical/Audience reaction/response thread" eventually.

 

[XtremelyBaneful]

Glad this thread was made.

Now we'll just need a "Predict the Critical/Audience reaction/response thread" eventually.

it's usually made a year-6 months before. this is a whole 2 years we got predicting.

 

[HanShotFirst]

Voted $800 mil - $900 mil. I expect no less.

 

[Shikamaru]

it's usually made a year-6 months before. this is a whole 2 years we got predicting.

That's the idea. I'm interested to see how people's predictions evolve.

 

[SoNicRaDiATioN]

850-1b

 

[Orba]

To be honest I think its hard to really put a figure on the box office potential. When it comes to merchandising Spider-Man is way bigger than any other hero so if they can get a Peter Parker that people like, and the film is well made then the franchise should be capable of crossing the $1 billion mark.

 

[Spider2099]

Since this is the first MCU Spider-Man film and also the second reboot I'm guessing this will continue the pattern of each Spider-Man film making less and less money. If they really build some hype with Civil War and the 2017 film is a critical success then I believe the sequel could easily make a billion.

 

[JOE]

When does the poll close? I'd like to vote after at least seeing the casting, plan for future MCU films, set pics and possibly a teaser.

 

[Ultron-5]

I think this will turn out like Batman Begins. It's the first Spider-Man movie since the franchise killer, so it will make money but it won't be a massive hit. If it's a good movie people will be excited for the next one and that one will do better.

 

[JOE]

I think this will turn out like Batman Begins. It's the first Spider-Man movie since the franchise killer, so it will make money but it won't be a massive hit. If it's a good movie people will be excited for the next one and that one will do better.

In all honesty I'd rather the movie land in the 700-800M range and be a fantastic movie than it make 900-1B and be crap. Of course if it's great and makes it to a billion, well that's just gravy.

I really think the Spider-Man movies will all feature at least one other MCU hero. Spidey is still injured, he needs a crutch.

 

[April Ludgate]

I voted 800-900 million. It's part of the MCU, so that alone helps the reboot. I could even see it grossing 1 billion.

I've read somewhere that one of the reasons TASM2 is considered a failure was because of its bloated marketing budget (the marketing wasn't very good either). Sony had a lot of confidence the movie would be a huge success, so they thought it would be fine to spend a lot of money on promoting it.

I'm not sure about this reboot making less and less money for its sequels since Iron Man 3 outgross its earlier installments. The fact that this is the third reboot could change that, though. People might be sick of Spider-man by now.

 

[Spider2099]

People are sick of bad Spider-Man movies. When you have three bad films in a row then people are going to lose interest. If the next film turns out to be amazing then people will be lining up to see it. People just want to see good movies.

 

[Spider2099]

Really though what's most important is that this next movie turns out to be *amazing* and not just a mediocre movie. It really has to outshine the last two TASM films but I can't imagine that'll be very difficult.

 

[JOE]

The MCU only has one amazing movie in it though.