The Last Jedi The Last Jedi Box Office Prediction Thread

[StormC]

The main thing with Star Wars is Chinese audiences don't have nostalgia for it, and often find its Force mysticism hokey.

 

[InCali]

Christmas Eve has less people, but Christmas Day is one of, if not the biggest day of the year at the movie theater. But that will be a post weekend number. New Year's Eve and Day are the ones that are just unnaturally lower.

I did not know that. Still having a Monday holiday has got to help Sunday numbers. Well, maybe not....I guess people want those presents opened asap. LOL. Hadn't thought of Monday (Holiday) not being part of weekend numbers. I thought I had seen some sort of weekend number that included Monday holidays or something like that.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Curious about overseas numbers.

106 in 48 markets in the first two days.

http://deadline.com/2017/12/star-wa...-opening-international-box-office-1202226976/

 

[InCali]

106 in 48 markets in the first two days.

http://deadline.com/2017/12/star-wa...-opening-international-box-office-1202226976/

Is that good given the particular markets?

 

[DarthSkywalker]

106 in 48 markets in the first two days.

http://deadline.com/2017/12/star-wa...-opening-international-box-office-1202226976/

Thank you. t:

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Is that good given the particular markets?

A lot of markets opening as this year's best, and in a lot of places the second or third biggest opening of all time. So doesn't sound too bad. 25% behind TFA so far, but 63% ahead of Rogue One so far.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Is that good given the particular markets?

Based on imdb’s release date page it looks like it’s about every major market except China. Per the story it’s 25% behind TFA and 63% ahead of Rogue One. So it sounds solid to me so far.

 

[InCali]

A lot of markets opening as this year's best, and in a lot of places the second or third biggest opening of all time. So doesn't sound too bad. 25% behind TFA so far, but 63% ahead of Rogue One so far.

Yeah. I actually decided to put down my mimosa and take the time to read it myself rather than go with my initial impulse to put the onus on some hardworking soul to spoon feed me.

But thanks....yes, it sounds very strong to me. I'm still thinking that TFA could have planted some seeds in places that will sprout for TLJ.

 

[Sithborg]

All I know, I was looking at some early shows tomorrow at the fancy theaters around me, and they are at least 50% sold out. It is going to be a very, very good weekend for this movie.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

All I know, I was looking at some early shows tomorrow at the fancy theaters around me, and they are at least 50% sold out. It is going to be a very, very good weekend for this movie.

Other film studios would murder for Star Wars business. Even when it is "lesser".

 

[Sithborg]

Also a fun thing to look out for. There is a potential for TLJ to pull out ahead of JL's domestic box office at the end of Sun.

 

[StormC]

The only way a 200M+ opening weekend could be seen as disappointing is if the Friday was 150 million.

 

[flickchick85]

Also a fun thing to look out for. There is a potential for TLJ to pull out ahead of JL's domestic box office at the end of Sun.

That's looking pretty unlikely. Still, it will surpass it this week for sure. Maybe Monday.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

That's looking pretty unlikely. Still, it will surpass it this week for sure. Maybe Monday.

If it comes in a 220m or higher, it will have done so. At least JL so far.

 

[InCali]

If it comes in a 220m or higher, it will have done so. At least JL so far.

it sounds on the high side, but not out of the question.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

it sounds on the high side, but not out of the question.

Well estimates keep moving up, as actual totals come in.

 

[Mjölnir]

General audiences and fans are enjoying it. The over the top fanboys are not. They are the very small minority.

Some people here really come with the consistent insulting and diminishing of people that don't like it. This is starting to sound like the old Nolan Batman boards, which is not a compliment.

 

[InCali]

Well estimates keep moving up, as actual totals come in.

Noted. It feels a lot like the 1st GotG movie to me.

 

[flickchick85]

I doubt it crosses $210m.

EDIT: Ok I take that back, I was looking at old numbers, lol.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

Some people here really come with the consistent insulting and diminishing of people that don't like it. This is starting to sound like the old Nolan Batman boards, which is not a compliment.

If people don't like it, people don't like it. What people are reacting to is the over the top reaction from those inside the fandom who are reacting as if their house was set on fire.

Plenty disliked TFA. Plenty inside the fanbase acted like it was the worst thing in Star Wars history. This does not reflect public sentiment, which is the obvious question here.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

I doubt it crosses $210m.

Why? The weekend breakdowns continue to move up. Do you expect Sat and Sun to go really poorly? Well, relatively poorly.

 

[flickchick85]

See my edit.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

I did see. That makes a lot of sense. t:

 

[Mjölnir]

If people don't like it, people don't like it. What people are reacting to is the over the top reaction from those inside the fandom who are reacting as if their house was set on fire.

Plenty disliked TFA. Plenty inside the fanbase acted like it was the worst thing in Star Wars history. This does not reflect public sentiment, which is the obvious question here.

I've seen people tell me that people that disliked it were only caught in what they had decided that they want, despite me having told them that I didn't have any special expectations other than that I wanted this to be more new than TFA, and having explained details I disliked that have nothing to do with the OT (I'm still not sure whether I can say that I liked or disliked it overall, my SW fandom is still strong). So that definitely exists, and I've been seeing plenty of it.

I took the wording of your post to mean that there's those that love it, and then there's over the top fanboys. If you didn't mean that all that dislike it are that then fine, intent is what matters so I have no issue with that. Fanboyism is extreme on both sides of the coin.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

I've seen people tell me that people that disliked it were only caught in what they had decided that they want, despite me having told them that I didn't have any special expectations other than that I wanted this to be more new than TFA, and having explained details I disliked that have nothing to do with the OT (I'm still not sure whether I can say that I liked or disliked it overall, my SW fandom is still strong). So that definitely exists, and I've been seeing plenty of it.

I took the wording of your post to mean that there's those that love it, and then there's over the top fanboys. If you didn't mean that all that dislike it are that then fine, intent is what matters so I have no issue with that. Fanboyism is extreme on both sides of the coin.

Yes. Plenty exist. They do with every film. No films is universally beloved or praised. The idea here is general public sentiment.

The reaction is to the idea so far that this movie is being seen as the new prequel. Which is really, really interesting inside the fandom, as many saying it are doing so while being prequel fans.